Telecom Stocks Outlook for the week (13-17.08.2012)

Current adverse regulatory environment and a disappointing quarterly result
from sector bellwether Bharti Airtel are expected to weigh on telecom
stocks in the coming sessions. Telecom stocks are expected to under-perform
the broad market in the medium term and currently investors have been
recommended reducing their exposure to the sector.

Bharti Airtel on Wednesday announced a disappointing set of numbers for the
Apr-Jun quarter, with net profit declining 24.2% on quarter to 7.62 bln
rupees, as sales were impacted due to higher service tax and regulatory
restrictions. In the futures segment, Bharti Airtel has seen significant
build-up of short positions. In the coming sessions, the stock is expected
to see consolidation between 250-290 rupees.

Delay in the commencement of the 2G spectrum auction process prolongs the
uncertainty for the telecom companies, whose balance-sheets are highly
stretched on account of high amount of debt raised for acquiring 3G
spectrum in 2010.

The government has appealed to the Supreme Court to extend the Aug 31
deadline for conducting the auction to November. Telecom service providers
have claimed that the final 2G spectrum reserve price and the Department of
Telecommunication's proposal to levy one-time spectrum fee on service
providers will add further pressure on their operations.

The Union Cabinet has set the base price for the auction 5 MHz of spectrum
in the 1,800 MHz spectrum bandwidth at 140 bln rupees, against 181.1 bln
rupees recommended by Telecom Regulatory Authority of India. Service
providers have termed the base price as high. The base price is seen
negative for incumbents such as Bharti Airtel, whose licences will come up
for renewal in 2014-15.

 By RUPEE DESK  [email protected]

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