Stocks of most capital goods and engineering companies are likely to move
in line with the market next week due to lack of sector-specific triggers.
Post the recent gains, there could be profit booking in stocks of some
companies in the sector. In the past three weeks, stocks of Larsen &
Toubro, Bharat Heavy Electricals, and Thermax have raised 14-25% in
anticipation of reforms by the government to boost the sector. The National
Stock Exchange's 50-share Nifty rose around 6.3% in the period. Although
the debt restructuring of state electricity boards is a step in the right
direction, it would not be enough to resolve the problems of the power
sector. The restructuring will improve the health of state electricity
boards but may not lead to additional order inflow for transmission and
distribution equipment manufacturers in the near term. State electricity
boards are unlikely to take up any meaningful capital expenditure in the
near term due to the financial restructuring.

The success of the restructuring would depend on states' willingness to
accept the terms and conditions of the proposal. Due to the restructuring,
state electricity boards are unlikely to give new orders for the next
two-three quarters. Outlook on the power sector is likely to remain bearish
until general elections in 2014 as no major reforms for the sector are
expected before that.


 By RUPEE DESK  [email protected]

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