Bank Stocks Outlook for the week - 09.12.2013 - 13.12.2013

www.rupeedesk.in

Stocks of banks will take cues next week from results of state assembly 
elections to be announced Sunday. We say stocks of banks are likely to 
trade with positive bias amid expectation of Bharatiya Janata Party winning 
most of the four state assembly elections. Exit polls indicate a strong 
showing by the BJP in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and Rajasthan, and this 
is largely factored in by the market. Short covering may continue among 
banking stocks if results come in line with the exit poll estimates. We 
believe the positive bias in the banking index will continue till it holds 
above 11300.

If BJP wins in Delhi as well, then it would be a major positive, with 
broader indices scaling lifetime highs. Bank stocks could rise further 
tracking gains in the broader market. Within banking space, PSU (public 
sector bank) stocks such as SBI (State Bank of India), UCO Bank, PNB 
(Punjab National Bank) would be benefit, based on their charts. Big players 
in private sector banks would also be a part of the rally. The strong 
reading of November US non-farm payrolls data, released post market hours 
yesterday, is unlikely to impact the market amid strong cues from the 
domestic market. Strong US data has renewed concerns over tapering of bond 
purchases by US Federal Reserve. Bank stocks are likely to trend with a 
cautious note on Thursday ahead of the release of inflation data based on 
Consumer Price Index (Combined). Retail inflation data is likely to give 
cues on Reserve Bank of India's stance on policy rates. RBI will detail its 
mid-quarter monetary policy review on Dec 18.

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Thanks and Regards,

Rupeedesk Research Team
Equity-Commodity-Currency-Nifty Options
www.rupeedesk.in
Contact : 044-24333577 /91-9841986753/91-9094047040
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