Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week - 09.12.2013 - 13.12.2013

www.rupeedesk.in

Stocks of most capital goods and engineering companies are seen moving up 
next week as investors see an uptick in order inflow. Investors are 
accumulating stocks of capital goods companies, expecting positive business 
environment after the upcoming general elections. Capital goods and 
engineering sector has been affected by policy bottlenecks in power 
projects, slowdown in public spending and sluggish industrial capital 
expenditure activity for almost two years now. Early sign of a change in 
central government is largely one of the reasons that the stocks of the 
sector are seeing a revival. According to exit polls, the Bharatiya Janata 
Party is likely to win assembly election three of five states that went to 
polls recently and this boosts the chance of the BJP, which is being 
perceived as more growth-friendly party, coming back to power at the Centre 
next year.

There are some signs of stabilisation. Revenue growth of the capital goods 
companies was flat on an average in the past quarter (Jul-Sep). That is 
positive considering earlier quarters were marked by a decline in profits. 
If the growth sustains and order inflow trend broadens for the next few 
quarters, policy decisions after the elections would give a positive fillip 
to the industry. Margins and profits of the capital goods companies will 
improve in the quarter-ended December and order inflow in the second half 
of the current financial year will be better than the first half. Investors 
are particularly positive on companies that have exposure to overseas 
markets such as Crompton Greaves and Larsen & Toubro. Overseas orders and 
faster execution of orders are expected to add to operating margins of the 
industry players. Earnings from overseas operations hedge against rupee 
depreciation and also gives a broader market for the companies to operate, 
cutting down their dependence on one market. The domestic market is also 
showing signs of revival.

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Thanks and Regards,

Rupeedesk Research Team
Equity-Commodity-Currency-Nifty Options
www.rupeedesk.in
Contact : 044-24333577 /91-9841986753/91-9094047040
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