IRAQ SANCTIONS MONITOR Number 145 Friday, October 27, 2000 NEWS++++++LATEST Arms-deal charges strike at one of Gore's strengths. Former US foreign-policy officials cast aspersions on his judgment. . Democrats see a late-election political ploy. >From CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR, October 27th, 2000 Allegations that Al Gore cut a secret - and possibly illegal - deal with the Russians over arms sales to Iran have put the vice president where no candidate likes to be on the eve of an election: playing defense. Republican congressmen are charging that Mr. Gore may have violated US law - or at least used bad judgment - by signing a memorandum in 1995 that allowed Russia to continue selling arms to Iran without the threat of economic sanctions. It's an allegation that strikes at what has been viewed as a key Gore asset - foreign-policy expertise. This week's congressional hearings on the subject were prompted by documents leaked to the press. The allegations against Gore are that he and then-Prime Minister Viktor Chernomyrdin agreed to allow Russia to honor Soviet-era contracts and complete deliveries of non-nuclear arms to Iran, a country that the US considers a sponsor of international terrorism. In exchange, Moscow agreed not to sell any new weapons to the Mideast nation. Russian sales to Iran since this agreement was signed include a Kilo-class attack sub (featured in the film "The Hunt for Red October"), long-range torpedoes, and fighter planes. Republican senators say these are dangerous weapons in a dangerous part of the world, and that Congress should have been informed. After closed Senate hearings this week, the Clinton administration has refused to provide a text of the agreements, senators say. "What we do know now about the Gore-Chernomyrdin agreement and its implications for our interests abroad is disturbing," says Sen. Sam Brownback (R) of Kansas. "It is difficult for me to understand how this agreement is consistent with the Iran-Iraq Arms Non-Proliferation Act of 1992, a bill that the vice president himself introduced during his years in the Senate." The Gore campaign and the administration counter that these weapons do not imperil the US or its interests, and that the agreement helped prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, which advances American interests. They add that the agreement was reported by many media outlets at the time, and key House members were briefed on the meeting. "The arrangements discussed here today are manifestly in the interests of the United States and of the effort to halt nuclear proliferation," said Joseph DeThomas, deputy assistant secretary of State for regional nonproliferation in testimony Wednesday. "A partisan brawl that drags legitimately classified material into the newspapers ... can only benefit Iran." Moreover, other Democrats say, the timing of the hearings is suspect. Indeed, presidential contenders have historically faced charges and allegations in the final weeks before an election. George W. Bush faces a challenge of his own this week after a controversial new report cast dispersions on his success in turning around Texas schools. The Gore campaign jumped on this issue, and within 24 hours turned around a TV ad based on this report. It started airing in battleground states yesterday. Experts say it's not clear whether Russian arms sales to Iran have the same resonance with voters as education does. Foreign policy barely figures in opinion polls this election, and Iran no longer fires public emotions as it did in the 1980s. But the issue could influence some voters in a close race, especially after the recent terrorist attack on the USS Cole. It also raises important foreign-policy issues on the relationship between the executive branch and Congress. "What's at stake is a law that Al Gore and John McCain both supported," says Daniel Fisk of the Washington-based Heritage Foundation. "While the Congress has been willing to give the administration some flexibility, it's not willing to give a blank check." On Tuesday, former Secretary of State George Schultz and 10 other top foreign-policy officials said they were "deeply disturbed" by the agreement. "We also find incomprehensible that this agreement was not fully disclosed even to those committees of Congress charged with receiving highly classified briefings - apparently at the request of the Russian premier," the statement concludes. In response, former Rep. Lee Hamilton (D) of Indiana issued a statement that members of his staff had been briefed on the agreement in July 1995. "The judgment call many of us made in that meeting was that it made sense to get this kind of agreement," says a senior congressional aide who attended the meeting. But GOP senators and others are questioning whether this level of consultation was adequate. "I don't view a discussion of this issue as being a matter of supporting or repudiating either candidate," says Zbigniew Brzezinski, a former Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs in the Carter administration. "The issue is: Was there a secret agreement of which the Senate was not informed?" IEA ready to draw stks to meet Iraq oil threat >From BRIDGENEWS GLOBAL MARKETS, October 27th, 2000 IEA ready to draw on stocks to meet Iraq oil threat Paris--Oct. 26--1409 ET--International energy agency head Robert Priddle said Thursday that IEA member countries are ready to draw down stocks if Iraq cuts its oil supply to the international market. He acknowledged that with some 2.3 million per day supplied by Iraq, any disruption would be a "significant shock" to the market. He pointed out, however, that other oil producers, notably Saudi Arabia, would make good any slow down in supply. IRAQ: Oil cutback would be "short-sighted," White House says Washington--Oct. 26--1449 ET--Any attempt by Iraq to halt oil sales would be a "short-sighted" move by President Saddam Hussein, a White House spokesman said Thursday, responding to reports that Baghdad may cut back crude supplies if the United Nations objects to a switch in how Iraq sells its oil under a UN program. NYMEX Oil Review: Higher on concern about Iraqi exports New York--Oct. 26--1523 ET--Crude oil futures in New York rose Thursday on concern that Iraqi oil exports may be disrupted if the UN does not allow sales transactions to be conducted in euros rather than U.S. dollars. Dec crude ended up 79 cents at $33.75 per barrel. Dec Brent on London's IPE rose 61 cents to $31.97. U.N. compensation panel pays out dlrs 1.3 billion GENEVA (AP) _ The U.N. panel that oversees compensation for Iraq's invasion of Kuwait paid out nearly dlrs 1.3 billion Thursday, bringing the total payments so far to dlrs 9.4 billion. The payments by the U.N. Compensation Commission went to governments in 38 countries and one U.N. agency for distribution to individual claimants, corporations and the governments themselves. Claimants in Kuwait received the bulk of the money _ just over dlrs 1 billion, of which 80 percent was to be paid to companies or corporations _ while the United States received the second-largest amount, dlrs 47 million. Compensation awards approved by the commission are paid using 30 percent of the Iraqi oil sales approved by the U.N. Security Council. That figure will drop to 25 percent on Dec. 6. The commission has received around 2.6 million compensation demands for a total of some dlrs 320 billion from individuals, governments and corporations seeking to offset loss and damage caused by the invasion of Kuwait in 1990. Processing all the claims is expected to take several more years. The panel has given priority to smaller claims from individuals and companies, but last month it approved a dlrs 15.9 billion claim from the Kuwait Petroleum Company. The 15-nation panel's membership mirrors that of the Security Council. First Spanish flight lands in Iraq BAGHDAD, Oct 26 (AFP) - The first Spanish delegation to fly into Saddam International aiport in the campaign to end an air embargo on Iraq met officials from the regime on Thursday, officials said. The 35 politicians, businessmen, doctors and journalists landed in Baghdad on Wednesday night on a three-day solidarity mission, said Abdel Razak Al-Hashemi, head of Iraq's friendship, peace and solidarity organisation. The Spanish flight "confirms the refusal of the unjust embargo imposed on Iraq and the failure of American efforts to prevent the embargo from crumbling," said the former higher education minister. Russia, France and Turkey as well as numerous Arab countries have sent flights to challenge the decade-old sanctions regime since the reopening of Baghdad airport in August Two flights were due to touch down in Baghdad on Thursday, one carrying trade unionists from Damascus and the other 120 politicians and cultural figures from Cairo, however the latter has been cancelled, Iraqi officials said. Iraqi threat to stop oil supports bonds Oil prices could be in for more volatile trading after newswire reports that Iraq would suspend oil sales by Nov. 1 if the US did not pay with EURs for oil. Previously, Iraq has demanded that to be paid in EUR but the US has ignored such demands. If such a course of action was taken, oil prices would likely push sharply higher as Iraq produces about 2.7 mln barrels per day. Oil front futures are about 30 ticks higher on the news at 33.32 USD. Both Bunds and the EUR are also higher on the news. The Dec Bund is at 105.33, up eight ticks, with the currency at 0.8260 against the USD. Euro hits record low vs. dollar >From BRIDGENEWS GLOBAL MARKETS, October 26th, 2000 Euro hits new low vs. dollar; recovers on Iraq report London--Oct. 26--The euro has continued to probe fresh lifetime lows against the dollar, the latest being 0.8228, though it appears to be benefiting from a recent report that Iraq is threatening to suspend oil sales from Nov. 1 if the U.S. objects to its proposal that it be paid in euros rather than dollars. The European currency also hit a record low of 88.93 against the yen. Vice president calls for `turning a new leaf` in relations with Turkey Text of report by Iraqi radio on 25th October Vice President Taha Yasin received (Lutfi Eth Dougan), Turkish writer, journalist, and former member of the Turkish parliament. Vice President Ramadan called for turning a new leaf in Iraqi-Turkish relations in a way that serves their interests by taking bold and scientific steps at the highest levels. Ramadan spoke about the importance of activating work on the oil pipelines between Turkey and Iraq, reviving the project of natural gas, and finding new border outlets. The vice president said that lifting the unjust embargo on Iraq will not come through an official Security Council resolution. The embargo is beginning to collapse and eventually it will be completely destroyed, he said. Ramadan recalled the flights to Iraq and the states' serious endeavour to develop relations with Iraq on all levels. For his part, Dougan said that Turkey wishes to strengthen its relations with neighbouring countries, especially Iraq, because the two countries have deep-rooted historical ties. He pointed out that the educated elite in Turkey show deep love for Iraq and exhort the government to work seriously to strengthen relations with Iraq. Russian company bids to take part in gas projects in Iraq Text of report in English by Russian news agency Interfax Moscow, 25th October: Russia's gas and oil company, Rosneftegazstroy (RNGS), is taking part in competitions for the right to develop natural gas fields in Iraq, the company's chief executive officer has announced. Projects RNGS has submitted bids on include a 180m-dollar plan to "maintain pressure" at the Rumaylah gas field, Ivan Mazur told Interfax. But the company's chances are slim because its competitors have made "dumping offers openly". RNGS expected, however, to win a role in a "casing-head gas utilization" project estimated at between 150m and 160m dollars, Mazur said. These competitions have been called by the Iraqi government. "We haven't made any special proposals to the Iraqi leadership," Mazur said. "Like all sober-minded people, we hope for the earliest possible lifting of the economic sanctions against that country, after which proper participation, including our company's, in Iraqi projects will be made possible." Russia's Aeroflot planning to open office in Iraq `soon` Text of report in English by Russian news agency Interfax Moscow, 26th October: Aeroflot plans to soon open an office in Iraq, the general director of the major Russian airline said. The order to open the office has already been signed, Valeriy Okulov told a news conference today. The airline expects flights to Baghdad to begin immediately after international sanctions against Iraq are lifted, Okulov said. Iraq pumping normal 800,000 bpd crude via Turkey pipelines BridgeNews Istanbul--Oct. 26--Iraq continued at 0930 GMT Thursday to pump the normal amount of about 800,000 barrels per day (BPD) through its twin, trans-Turkey pipelines, sources at their Ceyhan terminal said. They said that storage at the terminal was also nearly full at about 695,000 barrels of the total available 793,000 barrels. They could not comment on reports that Iraq has threatened not to implement any oil export contracts after Nov. 1. Iraq threatened Thursday to stop oil exports if the United States objects to a proposal that Iraq be paid in euros and not dollars for its oil exports, which are subject to limitations imposed by U.N. sanctions. The Ceyhan sources said that a tanker called the Silba was currently loading a 500,000 barrels shipment of Iraqi crude. PRESS RELEASE AS SANCTIONS CRUMBLE, THE OPPOSITION BUILDS! Aircraft from all over the world are now breaching sanctions on Iraq, landing in Baghdad, bringing not just humanitarian aid and solidarity, but some of the world's leading politicians and dignitaries. This weekend, in what will be the largest and most prestigious gathering of international opponents to the US and British-imposed sanctions policy, more than 50 delegates from 15 different countries will meet in Brussels to strengthen links and plot strategy for what is hoped will be the final push to demolish the blockade on Iraq. Among the delegates will be politicians, deputies and Members of Parliament from Europe and the Middle East. The European meeting of the Baghdad Conference is sponsored by the Mariam Appeal, the campaigning organisation set up by the Labour MP George Galloway. The conference will take place at the Metropole Hotel, 31, Place de Brouckere, B-1000 Brussels, BELGIUM on Sat 28th, and Sun 29th October. The inaugural session of the conference will be held at 11am in the Salon Ambassadeur. Members of the press and the electronic media are cordially invited to attend. Following the conclusion of the two-day meeting a Press Conference will be held on Monday October 30 at 10.00am in the Einstein Room of the Metropole Hotel to which, again, members of the media are invited. tel: +44 (0)20 7403 5200 fax: +44 (0)20 7403 3823 email: [EMAIL PROTECTED] web: www.mariamappeal.com