From: Stasi <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

Subject: FT: Mighty China Strikes Fear Into Seoul

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Mighty China strikes fear into Seoul: Beijing's strength as a WTO member has
replaced North Korea as biggest threat to South Korean prosperity. Andrew
Ward reports

Financial Times, Nov 21, 2001
By ANDREW WARD


Until recently, the biggest threat to the lifestyle and prosperity of South
Koreans was the lingering possibility of invasion by their aggressive
communist neighbour, North Korea. But as that risk declines, a new danger is
emerging to take its place: China.

The fear is not of China's military might - Seoul and Beijing have developed
a cordial relationship in recent years - but of the Asian giant's growing
economic power and its implications for South Korea's slowing economy.

Reflecting the prospect of economic domination by China, some language
schools in Seoul report that demand for Chinese lessons is growing faster
than for English tuition.

South Korea's concern was brought into sharp focus last week when Beijing
was granted entry into the World Trade Organisation, freeing Chinese
manufacturers to offer fierce new competition in many of the global markets
that South Korean companies inhabit.

"South Korea is caught in a nutcracker between low-cost China and high-tech
Japan," says Phillip Won hyuk-Lim, an economist at the Korea Development
Institute (KDI), Seoul's leading economic forecasting and analysis
organisation.

In response to the threat, Jin Nyum, deputy prime minister and finance
minister, has called a meeting of economic ministers later this month to
draw up a strategy for coping with China's economic awakening.

The ministers will discuss how core South Korean industries, such as
semiconductor manufacturing, telecommunications and cars, can maintain their
technological lead over Chinese rivals so they can stay ahead in quality
terms even if they are undercut on price.

Mr Jin warned last month that while China was three years behind South Korea
in wireless technology it was catching up fast.

The summit will also address concerns that China, as Asia's biggest and fast
est-growing economy, could suck foreign investment away from South Korea.

However, the government believes China's WTO entry is as much an opportunity
as a threat, opening up a huge market that South Korean companies are well
placed to serve through the two countries' cultural ties.

The finance ministry has forecast that exports to China will increase by up
to Dollars 1.5bn every year once trade barriers are knocked down.

Samsung Electronics, the South Korean semiconductor and telecommunications
equipment maker, expects to increase sales in China by 20 per cent over the
next few years as an increasingly affluent consumer market develops in the
country.

Earlier this month, Samsung was chosen by China Unicom, a Chinese mobile
operator, to help develop third generation wireless services in the country.

LG Chem, a chemicals manufacturer, is also among the growing ranks of South
Korean manufacturers setting up plants or joint ventures in China, to
exploit the growing local market and the country's cheap labour.

But many South Koreans are sensitive about domestic companies investing in
China, fearing that jobs will be lost to Chinese plants and that technology
and expertise will be transferred to China, helping it close the gap in
quality.

South Koreans are also concerned about the prospect of cheap Chinese imports
flooding the domestic market. Last week, 10,000 farmers staged a violent
rally in Seoul to protest about the WTO agreement in Doha, which they said
would destroy the South Korean rice industry through reduced subsidies and
lowered trade barriers.

"It is true that Koreans are worried about expansion of the Chinese economy
and the threat of cheap imports," says Kang Bong-Kyun, president of the KDI.
"But I think we should be concentrating on the opportunity to supply 1.3bn
Chinese on our doorstep rather than worrying about them supplying 47m
Koreans."

Copyright: The Financial Times Limited 1995-1998

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