http://www.thenation.com/doc.mhtml?i=20040920&s=zinn 

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The Optimism of Uncertainty
by HOWARD ZINN

[posted online on September 2, 2004]

In this awful world where the efforts of caring people often pale in comparison to 
what is done by those who have power, how do I manage to stay involved and seemingly 
happy? 

I am totally confident not that the world will get better, but that we should not give 
up the game before all the cards have been played. The metaphor is deliberate; life is 
a gamble. Not to play is to foreclose any chance of winning. To play, to act, is to 
create at least a possibility of changing the world. 

There is a tendency to think that what we see in the present moment will continue. We 
forget how often we have been astonished by the sudden crumbling of institutions, by 
extraordinary changes in people's thoughts, by unexpected eruptions of rebellion 
against tyrannies, by the quick collapse of systems of power that seemed invincible. 

What leaps out from the history of the past hundred years is its utter 
unpredictability. A revolution to overthrow the czar of Russia, in that most sluggish 
of semi-feudal empires, not only startled the most advanced imperial powers but took 
Lenin himself by surprise and sent him rushing by train to Petrograd. Who would have 
predicted the bizarre shifts of World War II--the Nazi-Soviet pact (those embarrassing 
photos of von Ribbentrop and Molotov shaking hands), and the German Army rolling 
through Russia, apparently invincible, causing colossal casualties, being turned back 
at the gates of Leningrad, on the western edge of Moscow, in the streets of 
Stalingrad, followed by the defeat of the German army, with Hitler huddled in his 
Berlin bunker, waiting to die? 

And then the postwar world, taking a shape no one could have drawn in advance: The 
Chinese Communist revolution, the tumultuous and violent Cultural Revolution, and then 
another turnabout, with post-Mao China renouncing its most fervently held ideas and 
institutions, making overtures to the West, cuddling up to capitalist enterprise, 
perplexing everyone. 

No one foresaw the disintegration of the old Western empires happening so quickly 
after the war, or the odd array of societies that would be created in the newly 
independent nations, from the benign village socialism of Nyerere's Tanzania to the 
madness of Idi Amin's adjacent Uganda. Spain became an astonishment. I recall a 
veteran of the Abraham Lincoln Brigade telling me that he could not imagine Spanish 
Fascism being overthrown without another bloody war. But after Franco was gone, a 
parliamentary democracy came into being, open to Socialists, Communists, anarchists, 
everyone. 

The end of World War II left two superpowers with their respective spheres of 
influence and control, vying for military and political power. Yet they were unable to 
control events, even in those parts of the world considered to be their respective 
spheres of influence. The failure of the Soviet Union to have its way in Afghanistan, 
its decision to withdraw after almost a decade of ugly intervention, was the most 
striking evidence that even the possession of thermonuclear weapons does not guarantee 
domination over a determined population. The United States has faced the same reality. 
It waged a full-scale war in lndochina, conducting the most brutal bombardment of a 
tiny peninsula in world history, and yet was forced to withdraw. In the headlines 
every day we see other instances of the failure of the presumably powerful over the 
presumably powerless, as in Brazil, where a grassroots movement of workers and the 
poor elected a new president pledged to fight destructive corporate power. 

Looking at this catalogue of huge surprises, it's clear that the struggle for justice 
should never be abandoned because of the apparent overwhelming power of those who have 
the guns and the money and who seem invincible in their determination to hold on to 
it. That apparent power has, again and again, proved vulnerable to human qualities 
less measurable than bombs and dollars: moral fervor, determination, unity, 
organization, sacrifice, wit, ingenuity, courage, patience--whether by blacks in 
Alabama and South Africa, peasants in El Salvador, Nicaragua and Vietnam, or workers 
and intellectuals in Poland, Hungary and the Soviet Union itself. No cold calculation 
of the balance of power need deter people who are persuaded that their cause is just. 

I have tried hard to match my friends in their pessimism about the world (is it just 
my friends?), but I keep encountering people who, in spite of all the evidence of 
terrible things happening everywhere, give me hope. Especially young people, in whom 
the future rests. Wherever I go, I find such people. And beyond the handful of 
activists there seem to be hundreds, thousands, more who are open to unorthodox ideas. 
But they tend not to know of one another's existence, and so, while they persist, they 
do so with the desperate patience of Sisyphus endlessly pushing that boulder up the 
mountain. I try to tell each group that it is not alone, and that the very people who 
are disheartened by the absence of a national movement are themselves proof of the 
potential for such a movement. 

Revolutionary change does not come as one cataclysmic moment (beware of such moments!) 
but as an endless succession of surprises, moving zigzag toward a more decent society. 
We don't have to engage in grand, heroic actions to participate in the process of 
change. Small acts, when multiplied by millions of people, can transform the world. 
Even when we don't "win," there is fun and fulfillment in the fact that we have been 
involved, with other good people, in something worthwhile. We need hope. 

An optimist isn't necessarily a blithe, slightly sappy whistler in the dark of our 
time. To be hopeful in bad times is not just foolishly romantic. It is based on the 
fact that human history is a history not only of cruelty but also of compassion, 
sacrifice, courage, kindness. What we choose to emphasize in this complex history will 
determine our lives. If we see only the worst, it destroys our capacity to do 
something. If we remember those times and places--and there are so many--where people 
have behaved magnificently, this gives us the energy to act, and at least the 
possibility of sending this spinning top of a world in a different direction. And if 
we do act, in however small a way, we don't have to wait for some grand utopian 
future. The future is an infinite succession of presents, and to live now as we think 
human beings should live, in defiance of all that is bad around us, is itself a 
marvelous victory.

***

COMMON SENSE FOR THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY, by Blase Bonpane


        "Blase Bonpane is a true guerilla for peace, an exception to the rulers.
         From the occupation of Iraq to the war at home; from the coup in Haiti to the 
prisons of the US,  
         Bonpane cuts through the lies to tell it like it is.
         For years, his commentaries have been broadcast over the airwaves of Pacifica 
station KPFK in   
         Los Angeles. Today, in a world dominated by occupation, war and a crackdown 
on civil liberties  
         and human rights, these commentaries become an essential counter-balance to 
the lies.   
         "Common Sense" is evidence that the voices of the silenced majority  can and 
must be heard."     
    
     -- Amy Goodman, Host of Democracy Now! 

    "Tom Paine was a pamphleteer who proclaimed the need for revolution in 1776. 
Common  
          Sense for the Twenty-first Century is based on the need for a moral 
revolution in our own time. 
          This was the call made by Dr. Martin Luther King.   
          This is the call today made by Blase Bonpane who rejects the ancient tools 
of clubs, spears, guns and  
           bombs while promoting the non-violent tools of dialogue together with 
militant grass roots action. Blase 
           believes firmly that we can have a  future of international participatory 
democracy directed toward  
           distributive justice. 
           Blase is a news commentator for KPFK in Los Angeles and host of the weekly 
radio program WORLD  
           FOCUS which is directed toward ending the war system and building a global 
peace system. This new  
           book also includes Blase's interviews with Chalmers Johnson, Jonathan 
Schell and the Reverend  
           James Lawson. 
           Blase and Theresa are the founders of the Office of the Americas on whose 
board I  
           have had the privilege of serving since its inception in 1983."
                  --Martin Sheen, Actor, Activist


BLASE WILL BE SIGNING HIS WORK ON SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 26TH, 2 TO 5 PM
AT THE DEBUT OF ARLINGTON WEST, BELOW:

----

COALITION AGAINST MILITARISM IN OUR SCHOOLS
PRESENTS

THE DEBUT OF
ARLINGTON WEST
A film by Peter Dudar & Sally Marr
Interviews w/ soldiers, military families & veterans at Santa Monica Pier
Sundays where over 1000 crosses honor the U.S. military fallen in Iraq.

With special guest,
author/poet/activist
LUIS RODRIGUEZ

Teachers, veterans, students, and families discuss how to stop
recruiting in our schools.
and
OPERATION OPT OUT
How to avoid being contacted by military recruiters (but hurry,
LAUSD deadline to file is October 22!)

Sunday Sept.26, 2-5 pm

Highland Bldg., 104 North Ave 56 at Figueroa in Highland Park
(www.highlandhall.com)

MUSICAL ENTERTAINMENT - REFRESHMENTS
Admission: $5 - Students free
CONTACT: (323) 664-0985 or (323) 650-8166
www.militaryfreeschools.org www.arlingtonwestfilm.com




[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]




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