The Path of War Timeline
By Larisa Alexandrovna and Muriel Kane, Raw Story
http://www.rawstory.com/exclusives/muriel/path_of_war_timeline_613.htm
A Policy Without a Home 1999-2001
January 26, 1998
The Project for a New American Century urges President Clinton to oust
Saddam Hussein. Among the eighteen signers are Donald Rumsfeld, Paul
Wolfowitz and John Bolton. (New American Century)
May-July 1999
In 1999, Mickey Herskowitz is hired to ghostwrite a campaign
autobiography for George W. Bush, an assignment that was later
withdrawn. Herskowitz later spoke about Bush for an article by
journalist Russ Baker: "He was thinking about invading Iraq in 1999...
It was on his mind. He said to me: 'One of the keys to being seen as a
great leader is to be seen as a commander-in-chief.' "
"According to Herskowitz, Bush's beliefs on Iraq were based in part on
a notion dating back to the Reagan White House - ascribed in part to
now-vice president Dick Cheney, Chairman of the House Republican Policy
Committee under Reagan. "Start a small war. Pick a country where there
is justification you can jump on, go ahead and invade."
"Bush's circle of pre-election advisers had a fixation on the political
capital that British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher collected from
the Falklands War. Said Herskowitz: "They were just absolutely blown
away, just enthralled by the scenes of the troops coming back, of the
boats, people throwing flowers at [Thatcher] and her getting these
standing ovations in Parliament and making these magnificent speeches."
(Guerrilla News Network)
December 1999
In December 1999, "Bush surprises veteran political chroniclers with
his blunt pronouncements about Saddam at a six-way New Hampshire
primary event: "It was a gaffe-free evening for the rookie
front-runner, till he was asked about Saddam's weapons stash," a Boston
Globe reporter penned. 'I'd take 'em out,' [Bush] grinned cavalierly,
'take out the weapons of mass destruction?I'm surprised he's still
there," said Bush of the despot who remains in power after losing the
Gulf War to Bush Jr.'s father? It remains to be seen if that offhand
declaration of war was just Texas talk, a sort of locker room
braggadocio, or whether it was Bush's first big clinker." (Boston
Globe; Also Russ Baker)
September 2000
The Project for a New American Century's "Rebuilding America's
Defenses" states: Though the immediate mission of those forces is to
enforce the no-fly zones over northern and southern Iraq, they
represent the long-term commitment of the United States and its major
allies to a region of vital importance. Indeed, the United States has
for decades sought to play a more permanent role in Gulf regional
security. While the unresolved conflict with Iraq provides the
immediate justification, the need for a substantial American force
presence in the Gulf transcends the issue of the regime of Saddam
Hussein. (New American Century)
January 2001
 From the moment he took office, Bush made noises about "finishing the
job his father started." (Time Magazine)
George Bush's former treasury secretary Paul O'Neill asserts that Bush
took office in January 2001 fully intending to invade Iraq and
desperate to find an excuse for pre-emptive war against Saddam Hussein.
"From the very beginning, there was a conviction that Saddam Hussein
was a bad person and that he needed to go," O'Neill said. "For me, the
notion of pre-emption, that the US has the unilateral right to do
whatever we decide to do, is a really huge leap." (Sunday Herald)
Testifying at his Senate confirmation hearing former General Colin
Powell, who was chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff during the Gulf
War, said Bush wanted to "re-energize the sanctions regime" and
increase support to Iraqi groups trying to overthrow Hussein. Powell
also said Hussein, "is not going to be around in a few years time."
(Air Force Magazine Online)
Vice President Dick Cheney, who was defense secretary during the war
against Iraq, has also suggested a Bush administration might "have to
take military action to forcibly remove Saddam from power," as has
current Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld. (Cato Institute)
February 16, 2001
Twenty-four US and UK warplanes bomb sites near Baghdad. Bombings
within the no-fly zones have previously been common, but these are more
widely noted and criticized. (CNN) April 2001
Cheney's energy task force takes interest in Iraq's oil. Strategic
Energy Policy Challenges For The 21st Century describes America's
"biggest energy crisis in its history." It targets Saddam as a threat
to American interests because of his control of Iraqi oilfields and
recommends the use of 'military intervention.'
The report is linked to a veritable who's who of US hawks, oilmen and
corporate bigwigs. Commissioned by James Baker, the former US Secretary
of State under Bush Sr., it was submitted to Vice-President Dick Cheney
in April 2001 -- a full five months before September 11. It advocated a
policy of using military force against an enemy such as Iraq to secure
US access and control of Middle Eastern oil fields. (Sunday Herald)
Exploiting Tragedy September 2001 - February 2002
September 11, 2001
In his address to the nation on the evening of Sept. 11, Bush decides
to include a tough new passage about punishing those who harbor
terrorists. He announces that the U.S. will "make no distinction
between the terrorists who committed these acts and those who harbor
them." To many observers, the president's words set the tone and
direction for the Bush administration's policy on Afghanistan and Iraq.
(PBS)
September 12, 2001
According to Richard A. Clarke: "I expected to go back to a round of
meetings [after September 11] examining what the next attacks could be,
what our vulnerabilities were, what we could do about them in the short
term. Instead, I walked into a series of discussions about Iraq... I
realized with almost a sharp physical pain that Rumsfeld and Wolfowitz
were going to try to take advantage of this national tragedy to promote
their agenda about Iraq...By the afternoon on Wednesday [after Sept.
11], Secretary Rumsfeld was talking about broadening the objectives of
our response and "getting Iraq."
"On September 12th, I left the video conferencing center and there,
wandering alone around the situation room, was the president. He looked
like he wanted something to do. He grabbed a few of us and closed the
door to the conference room. "Look," he told us, "I know you have a lot
to do and all, but I want you, as soon as you can, to go back over
everything, everything. See if Saddam did this. See if he's linked in
any way."
"I was once again taken aback, incredulous, and it showed. "But, Mr.
President, Al Qaeda did this."
"I know, I know, but - see if Saddam was involved. Just look. I want to
know any shred--" On the Issues ("Against All Enemies: Inside America's
War on Terror," by Richard A. Clarke)
September 13, 2001
Two days later, Wolfowitz expands on the president's words at a
Pentagon briefing. He seems to signal that the U.S. will enlarge its
campaign against terror to include Iraq: "I think one has to say it's
not just simply a matter of capturing people and holding them
accountable, but removing the sanctuaries, removing the support
systems, ending states who sponsor terrorism. And that's why it has to
be a broad and sustained campaign."
Colin Powell and others are alarmed by what they view as Wolfowitz's
inflammatory words about "ending states." Powell later responds during
a press briefing: "We're after ending terrorism. And if there are
states and regimes, nations that support terrorism, we hope to persuade
them that it is in their interest to stop doing that. But I think
ending terrorism is where I would like to leave it, and let Mr.
Wolfowitz speak for himself." (PBS)
September 15, 2001
Four days after the Sept. 11 attacks, Bush gathers his national
security team at Camp David for a war council. Wolfowitz argues that
now is the perfect time to move against state sponsors of terrorism,
including Iraq. But Powell tells the president that an international
coalition would only come together for an attack on Al Qaeda and the
Taliban in Afghanistan, not an invasion of Iraq. The war council votes
with Powell. Rumsfeld abstains. The president decides that the war's
first phase will be Afghanistan. Iraq will be reconsidered later. (PBS)
September 16, 2001
According to a 60 Minutes piece, citing Bob Woodward: "just five days
after Sept. 11, President Bush indicated to Condoleezza Rice that while
he had to do Afghanistan first, he was also determined to do something
about Saddam Hussein. "There's some pressure to go after Saddam
Hussein. Don Rumsfeld has said, 'This is an opportunity to take out
Saddam Hussein, perhaps. We should consider it.' And the president says
to Condi Rice meeting head to head, 'We won't do Iraq now.' But it is a
question we're gonna have to return to,'" says Woodward. (CBS News)
October 2001
The New Yorker's Seymour Hersh writes: "They call themselves,
self-mockingly, the Cabal-a small cluster of policy advisers and
analysts now based in the Pentagon's Office of Special Plans. In the
past year, according to former and present Bush Administration
officials, their operation, which was conceived by Paul Wolfowitz, the
Deputy Secretary of Defense, has brought about a crucial change of
direction in the American intelligence community. These advisers and
analysts, who began their work in the days after September 11, 2001,
have produced a skein of intelligence reviews that have helped to shape
public opinion and American policy toward Iraq. They relied on data
gathered by other intelligence agencies and also on information
provided by the Iraqi National Congress, or I.N.C., the exile group
headed by Ahmad Chalabi.
According to the Pentagon adviser, Special Plans was created in order
to find evidence of what Wolfowitz and his boss, Defense Secretary
Donald Rumsfeld, believed to be true-that Saddam Hussein had close ties
to Al Qaeda, and that Iraq had an enormous arsenal of chemical,
biological, and possibly even nuclear weapons that threatened the
region and, potentially, the United States. (New Yorker)
Also according to Seymour Hersh, in the fall of 2001, an unsupported
allegation by Italian intelligence that Iraq had been attempting to buy
uranium from Niger in 1999 was snatched up by Cheney:
Sometime after he first saw it, Cheney brought it up at his regularly
scheduled daily briefing from the C.I.A., Martin said. "He asked the
briefer a question. The briefer came back a day or two later and said,
'We do have a report, but there's a lack of details.' " The
Vice-President was further told that it was known that Iraq had
acquired uranium ore from Niger in the early nineteen-eighties but that
that material had been placed in secure storage by the I.A.E.A., which
was monitoring it. "End of story," Martin added. "That's all we know."
According to a former high-level C.I.A. official, however, Cheney was
dissatisfied with the initial response, and asked the agency to review
the matter once again. It was the beginning of what turned out to be a
year-long tug-of-war between the C.I.A. and the Vice-President's
office. (New Yorker)
November 21, 2001
60 Minutes further cites Bob Woodward: "President Bush, after a
National Security Council meeting, takes Don Rumsfeld aside, collars
him physically, and takes him into a little cubbyhole room and closes
the door and says, 'What have you got in terms of plans for Iraq? What
is the status of the war plan? I want you to get on it. I want you to
keep it secret.'"
Woodward says immediately after that, Rumsfeld told Gen. Tommy Franks
to develop a war plan to invade Iraq and remove Saddam - and that
Rumsfeld gave Franks a blank check," Woodward says. (CBS News)
Late 2001
By the end of 2001, diplomats were discussing how to enlist the support
of Arab allies, the military was sharpening its troop estimates, and
the communications team was plotting how to sell an attack to the
American public. The whole purpose of putting Iraq into Bush's State of
the Union address, as part of the "axis of evil," was to begin the
debate about a possible invasion. (Time Magazine) January 29, 2002 In
his State of the Union Adress, Bush calls Iraq part of an "axis of
evil," and vows that the U.S. "will not permit the world's most
dangerous regimes to threaten us with the world's most destructive
weapons." (White House)
February 13, 2002
Ken Adelman, a onetime assistant to Donald Rumsfeld, writes that the
conquest of Iraq would be a cakewalk: "I believe demolishing Hussein's
military power and liberating Iraq would be a cakewalk. Let me give
simple, responsible reasons: (1) It was a cakewalk last time; (2)
they've become much weaker; (3) we've become much stronger; and (4) now
we're playing for keeps...
In 1991 we engaged a grand international coalition because we lacked a
domestic coalition. Virtually the entire Democratic leadership stood
against that President Bush. The public, too, was divided. This
President Bush does not need to amass rinky-dink nations as "coalition
partners" to convince the Washington establishment that we're right.
Americans of all parties now know we must wage a total war on
terrorism. (Washington Post)
January-February 2002
The Niger uranium story becomes a matter of contention within the CIA;
By early 2002, the intelligence-still unverified-had begun to play a
role in the Administration's warnings about the Iraqi nuclear threat.
On January 30th, the C.I.A. published an unclassified report to
Congress that stated, "Baghdad may be attempting to acquire materials
that could aid in reconstituting its nuclear-weapons program." A week
later, Colin Powell told the House International Relations Committee,
"With respect to the nuclear program, there is no doubt that the Iraqis
are pursuing it." (New Yorker)
By early 2002 U.S. Ambassador to Niger Barbro Owens-Kirkpatrick was
asked about Iraq-Niger uranium trade; she informed Washington that
there was no basis to suspect any link. Then Cheney's office decided to
investigate the letters' substance. Former U.S. ambassador to Gabon,
Joseph C. Wilson (a man of exceptionally distinguished diplomatic
career), was (in his words) "invited out to meet with a group of people
at the CIA who were interested in this subject" and agreed to
investigate the content of the documents, which he had not seen. He
left for Niger in February, and made an oral report in March.
Meanwhile, during the same month, a four-star U.S. general, Marine Gen.
Carlton W. Fulford Jr., deputy commander of the U-S European Command
(the headquarters responsible for military relations with most of
sub-Saharan Africa) also visited Niger at the request of the U.S.
ambassador. He met with Niger's president February 24 and emphasized
the importance of tight controls over its uranium ore deposits.
According to MSNBC, he also visited the country two months later. This
year, Fulford told the Washington Post that he had come away convinced
that Niger's uranium stocks were secure. (CounterPunch)
Fixing the Intelligence March - August 2002
March 2002
Seymour Hersh writes: "By early March, 2002, a former White House
official told me, it was understood by many in the White House that the
President had decided, in his own mind, to go to war... The Bush
Administration took many intelligence operations that had been aimed at
Al Qaeda and other terrorist groups around the world and redirected
them to the Persian Gulf... Chalabi's defector reports were now flowing
from the Pentagon directly to the Vice-President's office, and then on
to the President, with little prior evaluation by intelligence
professionals. (New Yorker)
" F___ Saddam. we're taking him out." Those were the words of
President George W. Bush, who had poked his head into the office of
Condoleezza Rice. It was March 2002, and Rice was meeting with three
U.S. Senators, discussing how to deal with Iraq through the United
Nations, or perhaps in a coalition with America's Middle East allies.
Bush wasn't interested. He waved his hand dismissively, recalls a
participant, and neatly summed up his Iraq policy in that short phrase.
The Senators laughed uncomfortably; Rice flashed a knowing smile. (Time
Magazine)
Dick Cheney carried the same message to Capitol Hill in late March. The
Vice President dropped by a Senate Republican policy lunch soon after
his 10-day tour of the Middle East - the one meant to drum up support
for a U.S. military strike against Iraq... Before he spoke, he said no
one should repeat what he said, and Senators and staff members promptly
put down their pens and pencils. Then he gave them some surprising
news. The question was no longer if the U.S. would attack Iraq, he
said. The only question was when. (Time Magazine)
As early as March 2002, Blair's foreign policy adviser, Sir David
Manning, assured Condoleezza Rice of Blair's deadset support for
"regime change." Days later, Sir Christopher Meyer, then British
ambassador to the US, sent a dispatch to Downing Street detailing how
he repeated the commitment to Paul Wolfowitz, the US Deputy Defence
Secretary. The ambassador added that Mr Blair would need a "cover" for
any military action. "I then went through the need to wrongfoot Saddam
on the inspectors and the UN Security Council resolutions." (Raw Story:
Manning; Raw Story: Meyer)
Manning returned from talks in Washington warning that Bush "still has
to find answers to the big questions," which included "what happens on
the morning after?... They may agree that failure isn't an option, but
this does not mean they will necessarily avoid it." The Cabinet Office
said that the US believed that the legal basis for war already existed
and had lost patience with the policy of containment. (Telegraph)
March 12-13, 2002
Manning meets with Condoleeza Rice. On March 14, he reports to Blair:
"I said that you would not budge in your support for regime change but
you had to manage a press, a Parliament and a public opinion that was
very different than anything in the States. . . . Condi's enthusiasm
for regime change is undimmed. But there were some signs, since we last
spoke, of greater awareness of the practical difficulties and political
risks." (Raw Story PDF)
March 17, 2002
Sir Christopher Meyer, British ambassador to the US, meets with Paul
Wolfowitz. The next day, he reports to Manning: "On Iraq I opened by
sticking very closely to the script that you used with Condi rice last
week. We backed regime change, but the plan had to be clever and
failure was not an option. It would be a tough sell for us
domestically, and probably tougher elsewhere in Europe. The US could go
it alone if it wanted to. But if it wanted to act with partners, here
had to be a strategy for building support for military action against
Saddam. I then went through the need to wrongfoot Saddam on the
inspectors." (PDF of memo; More at Telegraph)
March 8-25, 2002
Several leaked documents show the British government considering the
implications of shifting from an Iraq policy based on containment to
one of regime change, along with considerations to be addressed in
supporting Bush's objectives. A memo from the British Foreign Secretary
states: "The rewards from your visit to Crawford will be few. The risks
are high, both for you and for the Government. I just that there is at
present no majority inside the PLP for any military action against Iraq
...A legal justification is a necessary but far from sufficient
precondition for military action. We have also to answer the big
question - what will this action achieve?" (Iraq Options Paper - P F
Ricketts Memo - Jack Straw Memo)
May 2002
"Rumsfeld has been so determined to find a rationale for an attack that
on 10 separate occasions he asked the CIA to find evidence linking Iraq
to the terror attacks of Sept. 11. The intelligence agency repeatedly
came back empty-handed. The best hope for Iraqi ties to the attack - a
report that lead hijacker Mohamed Atta met with an Iraqi intelligence
official in the Czech Republic - was discredited last week.
"The White House's biggest fear is that U.N. weapons inspectors will be
allowed to go in," says a top Senate foreign policy aide. (Time
Magazine)
Throughout this period, and into 2003, Mr Blair was insisting in public
that war was not inevitable. In May 2002 he said Iraq would be "in a
far better position" without Saddam, but added: "Does that mean that
military action is imminent or about to happen? No. We've never said
that." (The Independent)
US/UK bombing of Iraq intensifies: Despite strict No-Fly Zone
guildeines, Rumsfeld had ordered a more aggressive approach What was
going on? There were very strict rules of engagement in the no-fly
zones. Rumsfeld later said this was simply to prevent the Iraqis
attacking allied aircraft, but a British Foreign Officers' remark told
more: In reality, the "spikes of activity" were designed "to put
pressure on the regime." (Sunday Times)
May 2002
Karen Kwiatkowski says: "From May 2002 until February 2003, I observed
firsthand the formation of the Pentagon's Office of Special Plans and
watched the latter stages of the neoconservative capture of the
policy-intelligence nexus in the run-up to the invasion of Iraq... I
saw a narrow and deeply flawed policy favored by some executive
appointees in the Pentagon used to manipulate and pressurize the
traditional relationship between policymakers in the Pentagon and U.S.
intelligence agencies. I witnessed neoconservative agenda bearers
within OSP usurp measured and carefully considered assessments, and
through suppression and distortion of intelligence analysis promulgate
what were in fact falsehoods to both Congress and the executive office
of the president. (Salon) June 1, 2002 In a speech at West Point, Bush
commits the United States to a doctrine of preemption: "Our security
will require all Americans?[to] be ready for preemptive action when
necessary to defend our liberty and to defend our lives." (White House)
July 21, 2002
Cabinet Office paper: Conditions for military action: "1. The US
Government's military planning for action against Iraq is proceeding
apace. But, as yet, it lacks a political framework. In particular,
little thought has been given to creating the political conditions for
military action, or the aftermath and how to shape it.
2. When the Prime Minister discussed Iraq with President Bush at
Crawford in April he said that the UK would support military action to
bring about regime change, provided that certain conditions were met:
efforts had been made to construct a coalition/shape public opinion,
the Israel-Palestine Crisis was quiescent, and the options for action
to eliminate Iraq's WMD through the UN weapons inspectors had been
exhausted.
3. We need now to reinforce this message and to encourage the US
Government to place its military planning within a political framework,
partly to forestall the risk that military action is precipitated in an
unplanned way by, for example, an incident in the No Fly Zones. This is
particularly important for the UK because it is necessary to create the
conditions in which we could legally support military action. Otherwise
we face the real danger that the US will commit themselves to a course
of action which we would find very difficult to support. (Sunday Times)
July 23, 2002
 From The Downing Street Memo, minutes of an official high-level meeting
between British and American officials: British intel MI6 director Sir
Richard Dearlove "reported on his recent talks in Washington...
Military action was now seen as inevitable. Bush wanted to remove
Saddam, through military action, justified by the conjunction of
terrorism and WMD. But the intelligence and facts were being fixed
around the policy. The NSC had no patience with the UN route, and no
enthusiasm for publishing material on the Iraqi regime's record. There
was little discussion in Washington of the aftermath after military
action.
"The Defense Secretary said that the US had already begun "spikes of
activity" to put pressure on the regime. No decisions had been taken,
but he thought the most likely timing in US minds for military action
to begin was January, with the timeline beginning 30 days before the US
Congressional elections.
"It seemed clear that Bush had made up his mind to take military
action, even if the timing was not yet decided. But the case was thin.
Saddam was not threatening his neighbours, and his WMD capability was
less than that of Libya, North Korea or Iran. We should work up a plan
for an ultimatum to Saddam to allow back in the UN weapons inspectors.
This would also help with the legal justification for the use of force.
(Raw Story; via Sunday Times)
MINISTERS were warned in July 2002 that Britain was committed to
taking part in an American-led invasion of Iraq and they had no choice
but to find a way of making it legal. The warning, in a leaked Cabinet
Office briefing paper, said Tony Blair had already agreed to back
military action to get rid of Saddam Hussein at a summit at the Texas
ranch of President George W Bush three months earlier. The briefing
paper, for participants at a meeting of Blair's inner circle on July
23, 2002, said that since regime change was illegal it was "necessary
to create the conditions" which would make it legal. . . .
"It is just possible that an ultimatum could be cast in terms which
Saddam would reject," the document says. But if he accepted it and did
not attack the allies, they would be "most unlikely" to obtain the
legal justification they needed. Suggestions that the allies use the UN
to justify war contradicts claims by Blair and Bush, repeated during
their Washington summit in June, 2005, that they turned to the UN in
order to avoid having to go to war. (Sunday Times)
Late July 2002
"At the end of July 2002, they need $700 million, a large amount of
money for all these tasks. And the president approves it. But Congress
doesn't know and it is done. They get the money from a supplemental
appropriation for the Afghan War, which Congress has approved. ?Some
people are gonna look at a document called the Constitution which says
that no money will be drawn from the Treasury unless appropriated by
Congress. Congress was totally in the dark on this." (CBS News) August
2, 2002 Scott Ritter states: "Are the weapons that were loaded up with
VX destroyed? Yes. Is the equipment used to produce VX on a large scale
destroyed? Yes.
"The fact Tony Blair cannot put on the table any substantive facts
about a re-constituted Iraqi chemical weapons programme is proof
positive that no such evidence exists." (Tribune) August 7, 2002 Cheney
says of Saddam Hussein, "What we know now, from various sources, is
that he... continues to pursue a nuclear weapon." (New Yorker) August
2002
U.S., UK conduct secret bombing campaign. "The [air] attacks were
intensified from May, six months before the United Nations resolution
that Tony Blair and Lord Goldsmith, the attorney-general, argued gave
the coalition the legal basis for war. By the end of August the raids
had become a full air offensive. (Sunday Times)
Powell reports trouble getting U.S. allies on board for a war with
Iraq... As Bush leaves for an August vacation in Crawford, Texas, he
agrees to take his case to the U.N. and asks his advisers to start
preparing the speech. (PBS)
August 26, 2002
Cheney suggests Saddam had a nuclear capability that could directly
threaten "anyone he chooses, in his own region or beyond." (New Yorker)
September 5, 2002 When It became clear that Saddam Hussein would not
provide justification to launch the air war, the U.S. and UK launched
it anyway, beneath the cloak of the no-fly zone. More than a hundred
allied aircraft attacked the H-3 airfield, Iraq's main air defence
site. At the furthest extreme of the southern no-fly zone, far away
from the areas that needed to be patrolled to prevent attacks on the
Shias, it was destroyed not because it was a threat to the patrols, but
to allow allied special forces operating from Jordan to enter Iraq
undetected. (New Statesman) September 8, 2002 Cheney tells a TV
interviewer, "We do know, with absolute certainty, that [Saddam] is
using his procurement system to acquire the equipment he needs in order
to enrich uranium to build a nuclear weapon."
Condoleezza Rice says, "We don't want the smoking gun to be a mushroom
cloud"-a formulation that was taken up by hawks in the
Administration. (New Yorker)
September 9, 2002
The International Institute for Strategic Studies releases a report
that says Iraq was, "only months away if it were able to get hold of
weapons grade uranium . . . from a foreign source." The IISS had bad
information. Their argument was compounded by a UK Dossier that relied
on the IISS report. (US News) September 14,2002 Bush says, "Saddam
Hussein has the scientists and infrastructure for a nuclear-weapons
program, and has illicitly sought to purchase the equipment needed to
enrich uranium for a nuclear weapon." There was no confirmed
intelligence for the President's assertion. (New Yorker) September 16,
2002 Iraq unconditionally accepts the return of UN inspectors. (BBC)
September 17, 2002 Bush's National Security Strategy asserts that the
US will never again allow its military supremacy to be challenged and
embraces unilateral preemptive military strikes. (White House)
September 19, 2002 Washington Post cites the IISS report to show that
the aluminum tubes sought by Iraq were unlikely to have been intended
for a nuclear program. (Washington Post) September 24, 2002 George
Tenet and other senior intelligence officials brief the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee on Iraq's weapons capability as Congress prepares
to vote on authorizing war in Iraq. According to Seymou Hersh, this
briefing includes claims about both the aluminum tubes and the Niger
uranium. Two days later, Colin Powell will also cite the Niger uranium
before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. (New Yorker)
September 24, 2002
(the "sexed up" dossier) Tony Blair is convinced new sources of
intelligence from inside Iraq provide "persuasive and overwhelming"
evidence that Saddam Hussein is reassembling and expanding his weapons
programme... Blair is confident that the 55-page dossier on weapons of
mass destruction will convince many doubters. He told colleagues:
"Saddam is developing his weapons programme and doing it as fast as he
can." (Guardian)
September 26, 2002
Rice says Qaeda operatives have found refuge in Baghdad, and accuses
Hussein of helping Osama bin Laden's followers develop chemical
weapons. (CBS News)
Runup to War October 2002 - March 2003
October 2002
Seymour Hersh writes: "A set of documents suddenly appeared that
promised to provide solid evidence that Iraq was attempting to
reconstitute its nuclear program. The first notice of the documents'
existence came when Elisabetta Burba, a reporter for Panorama, a glossy
Italian weekly owned by the publishing empire of Prime Minister Silvio
Berlusconi, received a telephone call from an Italian businessman and
security consultant whom she believed to have once been connected to
Italian intelligence. He told her that he had information connecting
Saddam Hussein to the purchase of uranium in Africa.
She wanted to arrange a visit to Niger to verify what seemed to be an
astonishing story. At that point, however, Panorama's editor-in-chief,
Carlo Rossella, who is known for his ties to the Berlusconi government,
told Burba to turn the documents over to the American Embassy for
authentication. Burba dutifully took a copy of the papers to the
Embassy on October 9th.
George Tenet clearly was ambivalent about the information: in early
October, he intervened to prevent the President from referring to Niger
in a speech in Cincinnati. But Tenet then seemed to give up the fight,
and Saddam's desire for uranium from Niger soon became part of the
Administration's public case for going to war. (New Yorker)
October 10, 2002
Congress passes the Joint Resolution to Authorize the Use of United
States Armed Forces Against Iraq. (White House)
October 22, 2002
In October 2002, in a notable front-page article titled "For Bush,
Facts Are Malleable" (10/22/02), Washington Post reporter Dana Milbank
noted two dubious Bush claims about Iraq: his citing of a United
Nations International Atomic Energy report alleging that Iraq was "six
months away" from developing a nuclear weapon; and that Iraq maintained
a growing fleet of unmanned aircraft that could be used, inBush's
words, "for missions targeting the United States." While these
assertions "were powerful arguments for the actions Bush sought,"
Milbank concluded they "were dubious, if not wrong. Further information
revealed that the aircraft lack the range to reach the United States"
and "there was no such report by the IAEA." (FAIR)
November 8, 2002
The UN Security Council unanimously approves resolution 1441 imposing
tough new arms inspections on Iraq and requiring Iraq to declare all
weapons of mass destruction and account for known chemical weapons
material stockpiles on pain of "serious consequences." Iraq accepts
the terms of the resolution and UN inspectors return. (Iraqwatch)
November 15, 2002 The Committee for the Liberation of Iraq is formed
"to promote regional peace, political freedom and international
security through replacement of the Saddam Hussein regime with a
democratic government." An offshoot of the Project for a New American
Century, it has close ties to Ahmed Chalabi and is dedicated to
promoting the Bush administration's Iraq policies. (CounterPunch)
December 2, 2002
The British government is accused of double standards yesterday after
launching a dossier on Iraqi human rights abuses designed to soften up
public opinion ahead of a possible war. British foreign secretary Straw
defends the moves, and cites WMDs.
"He's got these weapons of mass destruction, chemical, biological and,
probably, nuclear weapons which he has used in the past against his own
people as well as his neighbours and could almost certainly use again
in the future," he said.
But the Foreign Office later retreats. It has repeatedly accepted that
Iraq does not have nuclear arms and a spokesman, clarifying the
position, said Mr Straw had been "referring to Saddam Hussein's
intention to acquire such weapons" (Guardian)
December 7-22, 2002
December 7:
Iraq submits a 12,000-page declaration on its chemical, biological and
nuclear activities, claiming it has no banned weapons.
December 17:
Colin Powell indicates there are problems with the declaration.
December 18:
Jack Straw indicates the UK believes Iraq is in material breach of the
UN resolution. The Ministry of Defense reveals ships are being
chartered to bring troops and equipment to the Gulf.
December 19:
Hans Blix says the declaration contains nothing new out its WMD
capacities and does not inspire confidence. The US immediately accuses
Iraq of being in material breach.
December 22:
Iraq invites the CIA to come in an look for WMD's. (Guardian)
January 27, 2003
The UN arms inspectors' report indicate that no banned weapons have
been found but criticizes Iraq for not giving the inspectors full
access to facilities and scientists and not providing clear accounts of
certain materials. (Iraqwatch)
January 28, 2003
President Bush delivers the State of the Union address, stating: "The
British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought
significant quantities of uranium from Africa.... Saddam Hussein has
not credibly explained these activities. He clearly has much to hide."
Bush adds that the US is prepared to attack Iraq even without a UN
mandate. (White House)
Since October, the CIA had warned the administration not to use the
Niger claim in public. CIA Director Tenet personally persuaded deputy
national security adviser Stephen Hadley to omit it from President
Bush's Oct. 7 speech in Cincinnati. But on the eve of Bush's State of
the Union address, Robert Joseph, an assistant to the president in
charge of nonproliferation at the National Security Council (NSC),
initially asked the CIA if the allegation that Iraq sought to purchase
500 pounds of uranium from Niger could be included in the presidential
speech. A CIA official said he told Joseph that the agency objected to
the British including that in their published September dossier because
of the weakness of the U.S. information. (Washington Post)
January 31, 2003
The United States is conducting a secret 'dirty tricks' campaign
against UN Security Council delegations in New York as part of its
battle to win votes in favour of war against Iraq.
Details of the aggressive surveillance operation, which involves
interception of the home and office telephones and the emails of UN
delegates in New York, are revealed in a document leaked to The
Observer. (Observer) Katherine Gun, a British intelligence officer is
arrested in March on charges of passing secrets. She admits she leaked
a secret memo to a British newspaper about US-UK government
surveillance of the United Nations before the war in Iraq, and is later
freed. (Guardian)
February 5, 2003
Colin Powell makes a presentation to the UN, attempting to prove that
Iraq is evading the inspectors, continues to produce WMD's, and is
linked to al-Qaeda. (White House)
Powell cites the British dossier of February 3 as a "fine paper that
the United Kingdom distributed... which describes in exquisite detail
Iraqi deception activities." (Guardian) "Powell embellishes an
intercepted conversation about weapons inspections between Iraqi
officials to make it sound more incriminating, changing an order to
"inspect the scrap areas and the abandoned areas" to a command to
"clean out" those areas. He also added the phrase "make sure there is
nothing there," a phrase that appears nowhere in the State Department's
official translation. (FAIR; CommonDreams)
February 7, 2003
Downing Street is plunged into acute international embarrassment after
it emerged that large parts of the British government's latest dossier
on Iraq - allegedly based on "intelligence material" - were taken from
published academic articles, some of them several years old. (Guardian)
February 9, 2003
US rejects a French-German initiative to triple the number of
inspectors in Iraq. (Department of State) February 13, 2003 The
Washington Post reveals that, according to anonymous sources, two
Special Forces units have been operating in Iraq for over a month.
(Washington Post)
March 3, 2003
Britain and the United States have all but fire the first shots of the
Iraq war by extending the range of targets in the "no-fly zones" over
Iraq to "soften up" the country for an allied ground invasion. Pilots
have attacked surface-to-surface missile systems and are understood to
have hit multiple-launch rockets. (Guardian)
March 7, 2003
On March 7th, Mohamed ElBaradei, the director-general of the
International Atomic Energy Agency, in Vienna, told the U.N. Security
Council that the documents involving the Niger-Iraq uranium sale were
fakes. (New Yorker)
March 16, 2003
Dick Cheney states on Meet the Press: "We know he's out trying once
again to produce nuclear weapons and we know that he has a
long-standing relationship with various terrorist groups, including the
al-Qaeda organization. . . . We know that based on intelligence that
he has been very, very good at hiding these kinds of efforts. He's had
years to get good at it and we know he has been absolutely devoted to
trying to acquire nuclear weapons. And we believe he has, in fact,
reconstituted nuclear weapons. I think Mr. ElBaradei frankly is
wrong." (Mount Holyoke transcript)
March 19, 2003
War begins. (White House)
May-July 2003
The British Ministry of Defense's most senior biological weapons
expert and adviser to intelligence agencies on Iraq, Dr Kelly was the
anonymous source for BBC reports in May 2003 that a dossier used by the
Blair Government to justify invading Iraq had been "sexed up." After
being revealed as the BBC's source and grilled before a parliamentary
inquiry, Dr Kelly was found dead in July 2003. (The Age)
--------------------------------------------------------------
Mid-Missouri Peaceworks
804-C E. Broadway
Columbia, MO 65201
573-875-0539
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web site: http://peaceworks.missouri.org



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