As Castro Fades, A Crop Of New Leaders

Interviews with two younger political figures suggest a
gradual opening both economically and socially.

By Tom Fawthrop
The Christian Science Monitor
December 27, 2006
http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/1227/p06s01-woam.html

HAVANA, CUBA

In a country that is in the process of bidding a long
farewell to its ageing revolutionaries, Mariela Castro
brings an expectation of change along with an air of
youthful passion. As the director of Cenesex (the
National Sex Education Center) Ms. Castro is eager to
consider where Cuba should go in a postrevolutionary
era.

"We have many contradictions in Cuba," says Castro, the
daughter of Raul Castro, Cuba's de facto leader and
brother of ailing President Fidel Castro. A Spanish
doctor arrived in Cuba last week, reenergizing
speculation about the health of the Cuban leader, who
has not been seen in public since undergoing surgery in
July. "We need to experiment and to test what really
works, to make public ownership more effective, rather
than simply adopting wholesale free-market reforms,"
Ms. Castro says.

Leaders like Ms. Castro may indicate the extent to
which a post-Castro Cuba may be willing to liberalize,
both economically and socially. As Cuba's old-guard
leadership fades, this new generation - made up
primarily of the sons and daughters of those who fought
in the 1959 Communist revolution - is perhaps more
sympathetic to economic reforms and more-liberal social
policies.

Nevertheless, Cuba-watchers and experts have ruled out
any dramatic lurch toward a liberal market economy that
might undermine the island nation's heritage as the
persistent holdout of traditional Communist policies.
More relaxed social attitudes may also evolve
gradually.

Still, no one doubts that change is afoot.

"The transition in Cuba has already taken place" and
this new generation has a key role to play, says
Richard Gott, a Latin American analyst and former
foreign correspondent for the London-based The Guardian
newspaper. "Carlos Lage will be the brains behind the
new government. He, together with Julio Soberon at the
central bank, will seek to chart a new economic
course."

Now Raul Castro has started to echo some of his
daughter's sentiments. Addressing university students,
he urged that they should ''fearlessly engage in public
debate and analysis," according to Granma, the
Communist Party newspaper.

Cuba is one of several Latin American countries that
once harassed homosexuals as a matter of policy. But
Mariela Castro, who is also an executive member of the
World Association for Sexual Health, insists that job
discrimination and mass arrests are a thing of the
past.

"[Homosexuals] still sometimes face arrest by bigoted
police" says Castro, adding that she has sometimes
clashed with the authorities in her efforts to release
gay men and women from prison.

"Now, society is more relaxed. There is no official
repression of gays and lesbians," she argues
confidently.

A writer turned politico

Cuban writer and culture minister Abel Prieto has also
emerged as an influential power broker in a changing
Cuba. Since joining the state bureaucracy and the
politburo, the long-haired, middle-aged minister still
exudes a passion for culture and a common touch.

In response to a question about the conflict of
interest between writers and the state, Mr. Prieto
laughs, saying that, "sometimes I feel like Dr. Jekyll
and Mr. Hyde, but I hope that artists and writers feel
that I am still one of them."

Unlike many members of the government, Prieto is very
candid as he speaks about allegations that the Cuban
government censors political websites.

"It would be a delusion to think we could hide that
torrent of information," he insists, referring to anti-
Castro websites. "The only possibility is to beat them
with a better concept of life."

Prieto also defended the arrest of the dissident writer
Raul Rivero in 2003.

"He was not arrested for his views, but for receiving
US funding for his collaboration with a country that
has besieged our island," argues the minister,
referring to the 45-year-long US trade embargo.

An avid fan of the Beatles since the 1970s when their
music was essentially banned by the Cuban state, Prieto
has led an appreciation campaign of John Lennon. In
2000, he unveiled a statue and dedicated "John Lennon
Park" to the musician's memory. Many Cubans joke that
he is not as much a Marxist-Leninist as a "Marxist-
Lennonist."

Prieto, because of a moment on Cuban television five
years ago, is known as one of the few Cabinet ministers
who has ever dared to challenge the president. Cubans
recall a news segment in which Castro and Prieto
appeared together.

After Castro blamed his minister for the fact that so
many artists were leaving the country to work abroad,
Prieto defended himself.

Millions watched as their supreme leader accepted his
error and apologized to Abel Prieto.

"Prieto is extremely important. He has carved out a
sizable space for cultural expression [for] many Cuban
artists and writers since he became minister of
culture," says Julia Sweig, director of the Latin
American Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations in
Washington.

In a Foreign Affairs article, written after a lengthy
visit to Cuba in November, Ms. Sweig indicated that
expectations were high among Cuban officials that the
government could move forward after Castro.

"People at all levels of the Cuban government and the
Communist Party were enormously confident of the
regime's ability to survive Fidel's passing," Ms. Sweig
wrote.

That confidence was apparent in Raul Castro's speech to
the opening session of the new parliament last week.
"Tell it like it is - tell the truth without
justifications, because we are tired of justifications
in this revolution," the acting president urged his
ministers, according to the youth newspaper Juventud
Rebelde.

US economic sanctions irrelevant

Attempts by the Bush administration to set the agenda
for change in Cuba, says Sweig, appear to be
increasingly irrelevant to the reality inside the
country, as a new generation gains increasing clout.

Gott, the Latin American analyst, says that both Ms.
Castro and Prieto are figures to watch.

"Mariela Castro is a more than competent member of the
Castro clan - she will have an important role in social
affairs," he says. "The genial Abel Prieto might well
be promoted from the culture ministry to something more
taxing."

_____________________________________________

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***

International Herald Tribune Tuesday, December 26, 2006

In Somalia, a reckless U.S. proxy war

By Salim Lone
Tribune Media Services

Nairobi - Undeterred by the horrors and setbacks in Iraq, Afghanistan and
Lebanon, the Bush administration has opened another battlefront in the
Muslim world. With full U.S. backing and military training, at least 15,000
Ethiopian troops have entered Somalia in an illegal war of aggression
against the Union of Islamic Courts, which controls almost the entire south
of the country.

As with Iraq in 2003, the United States has cast this as a war to curtail
terrorism, but its real goal is to obtain a direct foothold in a highly
strategic region by establishing a client regime there. The Horn of Africa
is newly oil-rich, and lies just miles from Saudi Arabia, overlooking the
daily passage of large numbers of oil tankers and warships through the Red
Sea. General John Abizaid, the current U.S. military chief of the Iraq war,
was in Ethiopia this month, and President Hu Jintao of China visited Kenya,
Sudan and Ethiopia earlier this year to pursue oil and trade agreements.

The U.S. instigation of war between Ethiopia and Somalia, two of world's
poorest countries already struggling with massive humanitarian disasters, is
reckless in the extreme. Unlike in the run-up to Iraq, independent experts,
including from the European Union, were united in warning that this war
could destabilize the whole region even if America succeeds in its goal of
toppling the Islamic Courts.

An insurgency by Somalis, millions of whom live in Kenya and Ethiopia, will
surely ensue, and attract thousands of new anti-U.S. militants and
terrorists.

With so much of the world convulsed by crisis, little attention has been
paid to this unfolding disaster in the Horn. The UN Security Council,
however, did take up the issue, and in another craven act which will further
cement its reputation as an anti-Muslim body, bowed to American and British
pressure to authorize a regional peacekeeping force to enter Somalia to
protect the transitional government, which is fighting the Islamic Courts.

The new UN resolution states that the world body acted to "restore peace and
stability." But as all major international news organizations have reported,
this year Somalia finally experienced its first respite from 16 years of
utter lawlessness and terror at the hands of the marauding warlords who
drove out UN peacekeepers in 1993, when 18 American soldiers were killed.

Since 1993, there had been no Security Council interest in sending
peacekeepers to Somalia, but as peace and order took hold, a multilateral
force was suddenly deemed necessary -- because it was the Islamic Courts
Union that had brought about this stability. Astonishingly, the Islamists
had succeeded in defeating the warlords primarily through rallying people to
their side by creating law and order through the application of Shariah law,
which Somalis universally practice.

The transitional government, on the other hand, is dominated by the warlords
and terrorists who drove out American forces in 1993. Organized in Kenya by
U.S. regional allies, it is so completely devoid of internal support that it
has turned to Somalia's arch-enemy, Ethiopia, for assistance.

If this war continues, it will affect the whole region, do serious harm to
U.S. interests and threaten Kenya, the only island of stability in this
corner of Africa.

Ethiopia is at even greater risk, as a dictatorship with little popular
support and beset also by two large internal revolts, by the Ogadenis and
Oromos. It is also mired in a conflict with Eritrea, which has denied it
secure access to seaports.

The best antidote to terrorism in Somalia is stability, which the Islamic
Courts have provided. The Islamists have strong public support, which has
grown in the face of U.S. and Ethiopian interventions. As in other
Muslim-Western conflicts, the world needs to engage with the Islamists to
secure peace.

***

Are They Out of Their Minds?
Please forward widely!
Dear friend of United for Peace and Justice,

With the situation in Iraq spiraling out of control, Bush Administration
officials have recently floated the idea of a "troop surge" -- sending as
many as 30,000 more troops to Iraq. With U.S. soldiers being maimed
and killed with growing frequency, and the number of U.S. deaths in Iraq
approaching the grim milestone of 3,000, this startlingly stupid plan can
only mean more deaths -- both U.S. and Iraqi -- and a deeper quagmire.

http://www.unitedforpeace.org

But far from rejecting it, leading Democrats, including Democratic Senate
Leader Harry Reid, have expressed support for the notion of sending more
troops to Iraq.

Obviously, they haven't been listening to the will of the people, whose
opposition to the war gave them control of the Congress. Only 12%
support sending more troops to Iraq -- the overwhelming majority want
the troops to come home now.

So we need to speak louder than ever:

1) Call or email the office of Senator Harry Reid and tell him you expect
the Democrats to follow the clear wishes of the electorate and bring the
troops home from Iraq.

Call Reid at 202-224-2158 or 202-224-7003 or email his chief of staff at
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

2) Plan to mark the 3,000th U.S. death with a vigil or other event in your
community. Under the slogan, "Not One More Death, Not One More Dollar,"
the American Friends Service Committee, a member group of UFPJ, is
coordinating events all around the country. Learn more at
www.afsc.org/3000

3) Now more than ever, be sure to join us in Washington, D.C., on
Saturday, January 27, for a massive peace march calling on Congress to
use its power to bring the troops home now! Leaflets, web banners, ride
and housing boards, and much more for this urgently needed protest are
available at www.unitedforpeace.org

With hopes for peace and justice in this holiday season,

UFPJ National Staff

P.S. As you make your end-of-the-year donations, we hope you will remember
United for Peace and Justice. Your financial support makes it possible for
us to keep doing this important work. Visit www.unitedforpeace.org/donate
or make a credit-card donation by phone at 212-868-5545.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Help us continue to do this critical work: Make a donation to UFPJ today.

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