Hi.  The two essays offer different apects of the crisis, and some
important differences in POVs.  Fisk is strong on history and
the Times, on real-politic; both, in great contrast to the endlessly
recycled trash in the LA Times, making them even more valuable.
Ed


http://news.independent.co.uk/fisk/article2663199.ece

Welcome to 'Palestine'

Robert Fisk
The Independent: 16 June 2007

How troublesome the Muslims of the Middle East are.
First, we demand that the Palestinians embrace democracy
and then they elect the wrong party - Hamas - and then
Hamas wins a mini-civil war and presides over the Gaza
Strip. And we Westerners still want to negotiate with
the discredited President, Mahmoud Abbas. Today
"Palestine" - and let's keep those quotation marks in
place - has two prime ministers. Welcome to the Middle
East.

Who can we negotiate with? To whom do we talk? Well of
course, we should have talked to Hamas months ago. But
we didn't like the democratically elected government of
the Palestinian people. They were supposed to have voted
for Fatah and its corrupt leadership. But they voted for
Hamas, which declines to recognise Israel or abide by
the totally discredited Oslo agreement.

No one asked - on our side - which particular Israel
Hamas was supposed to recognise. The Israel of 1948? The
Israel of the post-1967 borders? The Israel which builds
- and goes on building - vast settlements for Jews and
Jews only on Arab land, gobbling up even more of the 22
per cent of "Palestine" still left to negotiate over ?

And so today, we are supposed to talk to our faithful
policeman, Mr Abbas, the "moderate" (as the BBC, CNN and
Fox News refer to him) Palestinian leader, a man who
wrote a 600-page book about Oslo without once mentioning
the word "occupation", who always referred to Israeli
"redeployment" rather than "withdrawal", a "leader" we
can trust because he wears a tie and goes to the White
House and says all the right things. The Palestinians
didn't vote for Hamas because they wanted an Islamic
republic - which is how Hamas's bloody victory will be
represented - but because they were tired of the
corruption of Mr Abbas's Fatah and the rotten nature of
the "Palestinian Authority".

I recall years ago being summoned to the home of a PA
official whose walls had just been punctured by an
Israeli tank shell. All true. But what struck me were
the gold-plated taps in his bathroom. Those taps - or
variations of them - were what cost Fatah its election.
Palestinians wanted an end to corruption - the cancer of
the Arab world - and so they voted for Hamas and thus
we, the all-wise, all-good West, decided to sanction
them and starve them and bully them for exercising their
free vote. Maybe we should offer "Palestine" EU
membership if it would be gracious enough to vote for
the right people?

All over the Middle East, it is the same. We support
Hamid Karzai in Afghanistan, even though he keeps
warlords and drug barons in his government (and, by the
way, we really are sorry about all those innocent Afghan
civilians we are killing in our "war on terror" in the
wastelands of Helmand province).

We love Hosni Mubarak of Egypt, whose torturers have not
yet finished with the Muslim Brotherhood politicians
recently arrested outside Cairo, whose presidency
received the warm support of Mrs - yes Mrs - George W
Bush - and whose succession will almost certainly pass
to his son, Gamal.

We adore Muammar Gaddafi, the crazed dictator of Libya
whose werewolves have murdered his opponents abroad,
whose plot to murder King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia
preceded Tony Blair's recent visit to Tripoli - Colonel
Gaddafi, it should be remembered, was called a
"statesman" by Jack Straw for abandoning his non-
existent nuclear ambitions - and whose "democracy" is
perfectly acceptable to us because he is on our side in
the "war on terror".

Yes, and we love King Abdullah's unconstitutional
monarchy in Jordan, and all the princes and emirs of the
Gulf, especially those who are paid such vast bribes by
our arms companies that even Scotland Yard has to close
down its investigations on the orders of our prime
minister - and yes, I can indeed see why he doesn't like
The Independent's coverage of what he quaintly calls
"the Middle East". If only the Arabs - and the Iranians
- would support our kings and shahs and princes whose
sons and daughters are educated at Oxford and Harvard,
how much easier the "Middle East" would be to control.

For that is what it is about - control - and that is why
we hold out, and withdraw, favours from their leaders.
Now Gaza belongs to Hamas, what will our own elected
leaders do? Will our pontificators in the EU, the UN,
Washington and Moscow now have to talk to these
wretched, ungrateful people (fear not, for they will not
be able to shake hands) or will they have to acknowledge
the West Bank version of Palestine (Abbas, the safe pair
of hands) while ignoring the elected, militarily
successful Hamas in Gaza?

It's easy, of course, to call down a curse on both their
houses. But that's what we say about the whole Middle
East. If only Bashar al-Assad wasn't President of Syria
(heaven knows what the alternative would be) or if the
cracked President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad wasn't in control
of Iran (even if he doesn't actually know one end of a
nuclear missile from the other).

If only Lebanon was a home-grown democracy like our own
little back-lawn countries - Belgium, for example, or
Luxembourg. But no, those pesky Middle Easterners vote
for the wrong people, support the wrong people, love the
wrong people, don't behave like us civilised Westerners.

So what will we do? Support the reoccupation of Gaza
perhaps? Certainly we will not criticise Israel. And we
shall go on giving our affection to the kings and
princes and unlovely presidents of the Middle East until
the whole place blows up in our faces and then we shall
say - as we are already saying of the Iraqis - that they
don't deserve our sacrifice and our love.

How do we deal with a coup d'etat by an elected
government?

***

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/17/world/middleeast/17assess.html?_r=1&th&emc=th&oref=slogin

News Analysis

Palestinian Split Poses a Policy Quandary for U.S.


By STEVEN ERLANGER
Published: June 17, 2007


JERUSALEM, June 16 - With the two Palestinian territories increasingly
isolated from each other by a week of brutal warfare between rival factions,
Israel and the United States seem agreed on a policy to treat them as
separate entities to support Fatah in the West Bank and squeeze Hamas in the
Gaza Strip.

The idea is to concentrate Western efforts and money on the occupied West
Bank, which Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and his Fatah faction
control, in an effort to make it the shining model of a new Palestine that
will somehow bring Gaza, and the radical Islamic group Hamas, to terms.

As Ehud Olmert, the Israeli prime minister, who arrives in the United States
on Sunday to meet with American officials, said, a Fatah government, shorn
of Hamas, "can be a new opening."

After the failure of the Palestinian unity government, Mr. Olmert said in an
interview with The New York Times, "I suggest we look at things in a much
more realistic manner and with less self-deceit."

But like all seemingly elegant solutions in this region, this one has many
pitfalls. It is entirely unclear whether Hamas would sit still during such
an effort, whether Mr. Abbas would be willing to ignore the 1.5 million
residents of Gaza or whether the separation strategy would gain the crucial
support of the Arab world.

As Daniel Levy of the Century Foundation and the New America Foundation in
Washington suggests, it's hard to imagine how Mr. Abbas could accept the tax
receipts Israel has been withholding from the Hamas government and use them
only for West Bankers. The Palestinians in Gaza and the refugee diaspora
would not stand for it, he says, and Fatah might lose more popularity than
it gains.

Mr. Abbas is already under pressure from some Arab governments, in
particular the Saudis, who mediated the national-unity government at Mecca,
to take Hamas at its word and try to recreate a shared government.

In a speech on Friday to an emergency meeting of the Arab League, Foreign
Minister Saud al-Faisal of Saudi Arabia said, "The Palestinians have come
close to putting by themselves the last nail in the coffin of the
Palestinian cause."

But he added, "It would be best for our Palestinian brothers to return to
their commitment to the Mecca agreement and work to carry it out."

Both the United States and Israel are reeling from the rapid and ignominious
collapse of Fatah in Gaza in recent days, despite significant injections of
American political and military advice and aid.

There is no question that, if they are to survive, Mr. Abbas and Fatah need
bolstering fast after the victory in Gaza of Hamas, which favors Israel's
destruction. The whole future of the two-state solution - an independent
Palestine living in relative peace with an independent Israel - seems ever
more at stake.

The United States and Israel are each searching for short- and medium-term
responses to a collapse neither saw coming. Both want to limit the regional
impact of the latest victory of radical Islam over Western-backed, secular
forces. And both are worried about the impact on Egypt, which is trying to
seal its border from Gazan refugees and where President Hosni Mubarak faces
a serious internal challenge from the Muslim Brotherhood, the radical
Islamist organization with which Hamas is affiliated.

Mr. Abbas and Fatah say they are committed to a two-state solution with
Israel. Whatever his weaknesses, which are manifold, Mr. Abbas still has the
legal authority as head of the Palestine Liberation Organization to
negotiate with Israel.

There is even talk of pushing Israel to negotiate with Mr. Abbas to create a
Palestinian state in provisional borders in much of the West Bank and East
Jerusalem, with Gaza left for another time - a way to use the road-map peace
plan President Bush endorsed. This idea was floated by a former Clinton
Administration official, Martin Indyk, now director of the Saban Center for
Middle East Policy at Brookings, in an opinion article published Friday in
The Washington Post.

For Mr. Olmert and Israel, the policy of treating the two territories
separately would also be a way to justify the continued sealing off of Gaza
from the West Bank on security grounds, to prevent the transfer of military
equipment and skill. And it would also take the pressure off Israel to lift
security restrictions on Gaza crossing points or to move very quickly to
withdraw more settlers and soldiers from the West Bank, let alone start
negotiating with Hamas.

But it is highly unlikely that Mr. Abbas, elected as president of all
Palestinians, will change his refusal to accept statehood in provisional
borders, or abandon all Gazans, many of whom would vote for Fatah if
given a chance, to their fate.

That means efforts to reach a shared political consensus will have to
continue, because Hamas is clearly not going to go away.

There is another problem with the idea of creating a beautiful West Bank
Palestine at relative peace with Israel and with fewer checkpoints and
restrictions. Hamas and Islamic Jihad, though kept underground there because
of the Israeli occupation, could produce havoc, Iraq style, with a few bombs
and suicide bombers. That would put a quick end to any easing of Israeli
security restrictions.

And Hamas may in turn make something of its new responsibilities in Gaza.
Without what it considers the troublemakers of the Fatah security forces,
some of whom had been engaging in crime and destabilizing acts, Hamas may
very well bring a new security to the people of Gaza. And if the customs
connection to Israel is broken, it may be able to work out a deal to ship
goods in and out of Egypt and create some jobs.

Still, Gidi Grinstein, a former Israeli negotiator who runs the Reut
Institute in Tel Aviv, said that with Hamas now confronted with real power
and responsibility for the welfare and security of Gazans, "this may turn
out to be a Pyrrhic victory for them," since they always wanted to share
such responsibility with Fatah.

Hamas, he said, is "more comfortable in the gray area where it addresses the
needs of the population but not the requirements of power." But Hamas may
find that it needs to deal with Israel and the compromises of politics in
ways that could bring it over time, as Yasir Arafat and Fatah were brought,
closer to the space in which two adversaries can negotiate a peace.



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