----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Bill Totten" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

Event Horizon

Comment on current events by the author of
The Long Emergency (Atlantic Monthly Press, 2005)

by Jim Kunstler
www.kunstler.com (July 14 2008)


There's a particular moment known to all Baby Boomers when Wile E
Coyote, in a rapture of over-reaching, has run past the edge of the mesa
and, still licking his chops and rubbing his front paws in anticipation
of fricasseed roadrunner, discovers that he is suspended in thin air by
nothing more than momentum. Grin becomes chagrin. He turns a nauseating
shade of green, and drops, whistling, back to earth thousands of feet
below, with a distant, dismal, barely audible thud at the end of his
journey. We are Wile E Coyote Nation.

Is there anyone in the known universe who thinks that the US financial
system is not fifty feet beyond the edge of the mesa of credibility?

Nothing will avail now. Not even if Sirhan Sirhan were paroled at noon
today and transported directly to the West Wing with a .44 magnum in
each hand (and a taxi driven by the Devil waiting outside to take him to
the US Treasury and the offices of the Federal Reserve).

It's hard to imagine what kind of melodramas were unspooling on the
Hamptons lawns this weekend, while everybody else in America was
watching Nascar, or plying the aisles of BJs Discount Warehouse for next
week's supply of mesquite-and-guacamole flavored Doritos, or having
flames and chains tattooed on their necks, or lost in a haze of valium
and methadrine.

With the death of the IndyMac Bank last week, and the GSEs Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac laying side-by-side in the EMT van on IV drips, headed
for the Federal Reserve's ever more crowded intensive care unit, there
was a sense of the American Dream having passed through the event
horizon that denotes the opening of a black hole.

What would happen if the US Government acted to bail out these feckless
enterprises (and what if they don't)? Either way, it's not a pretty
picture. If Mr Bernanke does start shoveling loans into the GSE black
hole, he'll further undermine the soundness of his own outfit and do
nothing, really, to repair Fannie and Freddie's structural problem of
having securitized too many loans that will never be paid back. If
instead Fannie and Freddie are flat-out taken over entirely by the US
government (and remember the Federal Reserve is not the government),
then the national debt will roughly double overnight - which will pound
the US dollar down a rat-hole.

Meanwhile, the foreign holders of those decrepitating dollars might not
rush to the redemption window, but they certainly would use them to buy
up every oil futures contract on God's not-so-green Earth as fast as
possible - they'd be dumb not to - which would leave American Happy
Motorists with gasoline prices north of $5 a gallon, and possibly north
of $10. (In that case, say goodbye to the airlines. In fact, say goodbye
to what passes for the rest of the US economy, including especially the
vaunted retail sector that supposedly counts for seventy percent of the
action.)

If Fannie and Freddie are left to die out on the desert floor, say
goodbye to the housing market, the major investment banks, countless
regional banks, the retirement accounts of virtually everyone in
America, the viability of all fifty states' governments, and the
day-to-day operating ability of all their municipalities - and very
likely the current incarnation of the world banking system.

This process is really out of control now. The bottom line is the
comprehensive bankruptcy of the United States. The Republican Party
under George Bush will be known as the party that wrecked America
(release 2.0). Painful as it is, Americans had better get a new "Dream"
and fast. It better be a dream based on the way the universe actually
works, which is to say an operating procedure run on earnest effort and
truthfulness rather than merely trying to get something for nothing and
wishing on stars. We might begin symbolically by evacuating Las Vegas
and calling in an air strike on the loathsome place - to register our
new reality-based attitude adjustment.

After that, we've got to get to work re-tooling all the everyday
activities of life, including the way we grow our food, the way we raise
and deploy capital, the way we do trade and manufacturing, the way we go
from point A to point B, the way we educate children, the way we stay
healthy, and the way we occupy the landscape. I know, it sounds like a
lot, maybe too much. But grok this: we don't have any choice if we want
a plausible future on this portion of the North American continent.

Of course, none of that is likely to happen. Instead, and under the
worst imaginable economic conditions, we'll probably embark on a
campaign to prop up the un-prop-up-able and sustain the unsustainable -
that is, defend every status quo habit and behavior that we're used to,
whether it can be salvaged or not. Of course, this would be a fatal
squandering of our dwindling resources, but it tends, historically,
to be the last act of the melodrama in any faltering empire.

The result, pretty soon into that process, will be social breakdown and
political upheaval. Every tattoo freak out there who has been prepping
for his own starring role in some kind of comic book armageddon will
finally get his chance to shine. Lots of people will get hurt and
starve. Property will change hands in a disorderly way. And at the end
of this process an American corn-pone Hitler may be waiting to set
everything and everyone straight.

The markets open in about an hour. Good luck everybody.

____________________________________

My new novel of the post-oil future, World Made By Hand, is available at
all booksellers.

http://jameshowardkunstler.typepad.com/clusterfuck_nation/2008/07/event-horizon.html

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***

This is a 5' view of the world and activities around
the space station taking the photographs.  Wonderful.
Ed
From: "HL Walkup" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
  Date: July 10, 2008 8:05:18 PM PDT
  To: "Margaret Goodale" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
  Subject: Fw: Check out New Page 1


  Click here: New Page 1





 


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