Alice Slater
Nuclear Age Peace Foundation, NY
446 East 86 St.
New York, NY 10028
212-744-2005
646-238-9000(cell)
www.wagingpeace.org
www.abolition2000.org

We may now care for each Earthian individual at a sustainable billionaire's
level of affluence while living exclusively on less than 1 percent of our
planet's daily energy income from our cosmically designed nuclear reactor,
the Sun, optimally located 92 million safe miles away from us.
Buckminster Fuller



-----Original Message-----
From: Ace Hoffman [mailto:rhoffman@...]
Sent: Saturday, April 16, 2011 7:00 AM
To: Recipient list suppressed:
Subject: Japan's biggest problem...

April 16th, 2011

Dear Readers,

It's hard to say what Japan's biggest problem is right now.

Is it mud in Fukushima Daiichi Unit 1, which is preventing proper cooling?
A criticality event and accompanying steam or hydrogen explosion of the
reactor pressure vessel cannot be ruled out, which would spew much higher
levels of deadly radiation throughout the site, likely causing complete
abandonment -- leading to more meltdowns and spent fuel pool fires.

Cracks in the reactor pressure vessel of Unit 2? These cracks are causing
highly radioactive water to leak out, making it difficult to approach many
parts of units 1, 2, and 3.

Cracks in Unit 4's spent fuel pool? That's where the fuel had just been
taken out of the reactor and is extremely "hot." They can't keep it covered
because the pool is leaking.

The cesium-131 that's showing up in Unit 4's spent fuel pool? It indicates
an ongoing chain reaction: A criticality! That's certainly very bad news!

The radioactive water that's evaporating and flowing into the ocean and
seeping everywhere? In some places it's 100 million times more radioactive
than the legal limits (billions of times above normal levels).

The aftershocks? There have been nearly a thousand since The Great Sendai
Quake of March 11th, 2011.

The effects of those aftershocks on other nuclear power plants as well as on
Fukushima Daiichi? That certainly could become their biggest problem very
quickly.

Public apathy in spite of it all? That's always a killer, just like mob
action is.

Public ignorance? Another killer.

A falling yen?

A plummeting world market for Japanese products, especially food products?

A criminal, inept, bankrupt Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)?

More than likely, the biggest problem facing Japan is STILL the official
lies and secrecy of the nuclear establishment: Government and industry
working in collusion to downplay the seriousness of this accident, and to
deny what this event portends for the future of nuclear power around the
world.

We're only just learning how much information TEPCO and the Japanese
government withheld right from the start: Lots. And we still haven't seen
any American spy satellite thermal imaging from those first few crucial
days. I find THAT very strange! But now we know why the U.S.S. Ronald
Reagan ran away -- those invisible clouds were thick with poison in those
early days. They still are.

I wonder what mattered most to the average Japanese citizen on March 10th,
2011, the day before the earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear tragedy?

Were they thinking about how badly they should shut down Fukushima Daiichi
and all the other old nuclear power plants they have in Japan -- about 55 --
and switch to renewable energy solutions?

Probably not.

Probably most Americans aren't giving it much thought now, either. If they
think about it at all, they probably think switching off the nuclear power
plants would be too difficult. But the only difficult part is convincing
ourselves to do it! Overcoming the ignorant belief that it CAN'T be done is
the hard part!

Right now, millions of Japanese are undoubtedly wondering if they should
continue to live just outside the official exclusion zone for Fukushima
Daiichi. Should they move further away? Where can they live in Japan
that's NOT near a nuclear power plant? Not many places!

There are reports that the Japanese government has been bulldozing hot
(radioactive) fuel into the ground, fuel which was blasted as far as a
kilometer from the reactor complex (most likely, from the explosion in
reactor unit 3).

Of course, retrieving the fuel isn't easy since you can't go near even a
little pellet of it. It's speculated they were "just" bulldozing a "safe"
(all things are relative, aren't they?) route to and from the reactor, and
plan to pick up the fuel pellets later.

If they can find them.

Will they ever try to retrieve the fuel from the water? Maybe
half-heartedly, but most will probably stay there, and drift with the tides,
and kill dolphins, whales, tuna and every other creature that comes near,
just as those pellets would kill us.

A dead zone will remain if they don't clean it up. Don't swim there. Tell
that to the dolphins, supposedly the most intelligent animal on earth
besides us. I can't believe we're all that much brighter, really. We show
so few signs of intelligence these days...

What a mess!

What can we do?

Here is a link to a chart produced by LLNL, showing their estimate that
Americans waste more than HALF the energy we "use"!

http://cdn.physorg.com/newman/gfx/news/hires/2011/usenergyuse.jpg

The chart shows that Americans waste more than TWICE the output of ALL our
nuclear power plants combined!

Adding those two facts together, it's easy to conclude that we could shut
down ALL the nuclear power plants in America -- and half the coal plants as
a bonus -- if we JUST stopped wasting electricity!

And that's without making a single improvement in gas mileage!

And without a single improvement in the 0.11% of energy we get from solar
power, or the 0.70% we obtain from wind, or the 0.37% we obtain from
geothermal sources. Raise those properly, and we could close ALL the
nuclear power plants and ALL the fossil fuel plants!

Is it "that simple"?

YES.

It's not even that hard.

Over 50 MILLION cars are produced each year around the world -- about 4
million of them in America. Plus trucks, buses, airplanes, buildings,
roads, bridges., rockets and yes: Weapons. Lots of weapons. We may be in
a slump, but there's lot's going on even so.

The average car lasts about ten years. With better maintenance (change your
oil!) and fewer accidents (drive defensively!) we could easily stretch that
to eleven -- without even building better cars -- couldn't we? (But if we
DO want more reliable cars, I know where we can get them -- cheap! A whole
boatload reportedly got sent back to Japan last week from Russia for being
"twice" as radioactive as normal...)

If the assembly lines for one year's output of automobiles were converted to
produce wind turbines instead, and one wind turbine equals 100 cars worth of
effort (which I think is not unreasonable...) then America could build
40,000 wind turbines instead, in just one year.

At 5 megawatts each, and 20% duty factor, not unreasonable figures, that
would produce an average daily output of 40,000 megawatts of energy. Pumped
storage and other peaker plants would take up the slack on calm days and, of
course, the better our national energy grid -- the more interconnected and
reliable it is -- the better this plan will work.

I think we could build half a MILLION wind turbines in a year, not merely
40,000. And I think we could still turn out a few cars, too.

If not, perhaps Japan can help us automate our manufacturing procedures and
improve the quality of our output?

I'm really sick of waiting for the other shoe to drop. Why don't we protect
ourselves? Who needs another warning?

We've seen earthquakes recently in three of the four "corners" of the "Ring
of Fire." The one that's missing is the United States' west coast, where
San Onofre, Diablo Canyon, and I are all located.

And of course, we've also had another warning: Tsunamis in the Pacific
Ocean which have already destroyed at least three reactors as radioactive
smoke, steam and water billow and waft and spew, and will probably continue
to do so for a decade or more. The 2004 tsunami that struck Indonesia
damaged a nuclear reactor complex in India, thousands of miles away from the
epicenter of the quake which caused the tsunami. Now we know how lucky we
really were back then!

We also know what happens when no one pays attention. In the intervening
years, all these old reactors could easily have been shut down. The warning
could have been heeded.

Besides the earthquakes and tsunamis, we've had other warnings: The root
causes of the nuclear catastrophes in Europe (Chernobyl) and the Far East
(Japan) were, in a word, negligence. On that count, America's surely been
VERY lucky! Negligence at the Davis-Besse nuclear power plant in Ohio in
2002 only caused a near-miss. Negligence, with or without an earthquake,
tsunami, tornado, or terrorism to push it along, has been a factor in scores
of near-misses at nuclear power plants in America and around the world.

Smart gamblers don't rely on luck. Smart gamblers either have an edge (a
cheat), or they don't gamble more than they can afford to lose -- they play
only for fun. At every nuclear power plant, somebody gambles with far more
than they can afford to lose: Your life. They're betting your life that
their luck will hold out, but luck never holds out forever.

Our fate doesn't have to be like that of Japan. Their's didn't have to,
either -- they had plenty of warnings.

We've had plenty of warnings too. We COULD be different from the Japanese.

We could heed the warnings. We could learn from their tragic mistakes.

Or we can learn for ourselves, the hard way.

Sincerely,

Ace Hoffman
Carlsbad, California, USA

The author has been learning about nuclear power since the 1960s. He was
born in the mid-1950s. His highly acclaimed book on nuclear power issues,
first published in 2008 and updated in 2010, is available for free download
at his web site: www.acehoffman.org

----------------------------------------------------------------------
LLNL energy usage chart was found here:
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Article by Lisa Zyga in Physorg.com:

http://www.physorg.com/news/2011-04-energy_1.html

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Contact information for the author of this newsletter:
----------------------------------------------------------------------


************************************************
** Ace Hoffman, Owner & Chief Programmer, The Animated Software Co.
** POB 1936, Carlsbad CA 92018
** U.S. & Canada (800) 551-2726; elsewhere: (760) 720-7261
** home page: www.animatedsoftware.com
** email: rhoffman@...
** To cease contact, please put "Unsubscribe-me-please" in the subject.
************************************************

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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