<http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/aug/22/reconciliation-libya-re
bels-gadaffi-nato


Reconciliation is crucial to rebuilding Libya


The rebels have so far shown restraint with Gaddafi's allies - good news for
a Nato fearful of a repeat of Afghanistan

Jonathan Steele

Guardian/UK: August 22, 2011

Now that the military battle for Libya
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/middle-east-live/2011/aug/22/libya-middle-e
ast-unrest-live>  is all but finished, the challenge for Nato is enormous.
Britain, France and the United States, in particular, have acted as the
decisive weapon on the rebel side and they bear a huge responsibility for
ensuring a calm and orderly transition.

It has long been apparent that Nato's agenda was regime change rather than
the humanitarian imperative of protecting civilians on which it based its
pleas to Russia and China not to block a UN security council resolution to
set up a no-fly zone in March.

Nato air power played a vital role in destroying Gaddafi's fixed-wing
aircraft in the early days after the resolution was passed. Later, Nato
attacks on his helicopters helped to level the pitch and make it easier for
the rebels to pursue their advance. Although the rebels often complained
that Nato was not doing enough, it is clear that without Nato they would
have been able to do very little at all.

The supply of radios and other communication equipment from Nato over the
spring and summer was vital and in the past few weeks British, French and
other special forces have been on the ground in Libya, helping the rebels to
co-ordinate the various anti-Gaddafi fronts and providing intelligence to
Nato helicopter pilots and the alliance's other target selectors.

It is an almost exact repetition of the way US aircraft and missiles enabled
the Northern Alliance warlords to capture Kabul from the Taliban a decade
ago. Three weeks later, with the help of US special forces as well as
massive bombing, Hamid Karzai and other anti-Taliban commanders entered
Kandahar, Afghanistan <http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/afghanistan> 's
second city.

Thanks to its crucial role in tipping the military scales in Libya, Nato and
the rebels are inextricably linked. Gaddafi had few supporters in the Arab
world but there is a justified perception on the Arab street that the rebels
are over-reliant on western support and that the overriding western motive
is access to Libya's oil. Hence the rebels' attempt to distance themselves
by calling for Nato to leave now.

Even among the nine states of the 22-member Arab League that voted in March
to support a no-fly zone (the rest were absent or voted against), discontent
with Nato's stretching of the UN resolution had become visible. For the same
reason the Syrian opposition is adamant that it does not want foreign
military support in its struggle against the Assad regime.

The best revolutions are homegrown as they were in Tunisia and Egypt. Those
who took to the streets in Tunis and Cairo's
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/egypt>  Tahrir square wanted to regain
their country's national dignity after decades of seeing their rulers doing
the bidding of France and the United States.

The new rulers in Libya face a long road ahead in establishing their
legitimacy on the Arab and African stage. The west will repeatedly insist,
as Barack Obama said on Sunday night, that Libya's future is in Libyan
hands. Nato cannot be expected to micro-manage every detail of the
post-Gaddafi arrangements, and the rebels' political leadership in the
National Transitional Council will not allow it anyway. But Nato cannot
pretend it has no responsibility for the way its allies behave.

The risk of score-settling and unjustified reprisals against members of
Gaddafi's tribe will be high. They may also be excluded unfairly from the
new dispensation as it moves towards a decent constitution and elections.

So far the rebels' actions have been correct and balanced. They have not
tortured or assassinated Gaddafi's two captured
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/aug/22/libyan-rebels-push-into-tripoli
>  sons. Calling on their own supporters to show restraint, their leaders
are pledging that the new regime will be inclusive.

The real test will come in the next few weeks, when the international
spotlight is off. The experience of post-Taliban Afghanistan is not
encouraging. Succumbing to triumphalism and impatience, a new administration
was put in place which marginalised large parts of the Pashtun population of
the south and restored warlords in power in Kabul, thereby undermining the
value of the expensively organised but easily manipulated new electoral
system. The Taliban soon found it had a fertile soil on which to reorganise.

Libya's ethnic makeup is obviously different, but the fact remains that it
is a disparate country with significant tribal differences which has never
had a central government that commanded much respect. Reconciliation must be
the key value in the forthcoming transition. In July, General Abdel Fattah
Younes, who spent years in Gaddafi's inner circle before defecting to become
the military chief in the rebel National Transitional Council, was
<http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-14336122>  murdered by other rebels.
It was not a good omen.

Even as Tripoli and Benghazi celebrate today, it is vital that the world
does not lose interest in the weeks ahead. If things go wrong, Nato will
share the blame.

 



[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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