From: Sid Shniad, Wednesday, January 04, 2012
 
 
<http://mondoweiss.net/2012/01/mossad-chief-stop-calling-iran-an-existential
-threat.html>
http://mondoweiss.net/2012/01/mossad-chief-stop-calling-iran-an-existential-
threat.html
Mossad Chief: Stop calling Iran an 'existential threat'
<http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/7d31964139b5563cb7596367a55c7dca?s=36&d=http%3
A%2F%2Fmondoweiss.net%2Fsite%2Fwp-includes%2Fimages%2Fblank.gif&r=PG> 
 
by  <http://mondoweiss.net/author/paul-mutter> Paul Mutter 
Mondoweis  on January 3, 2012 
 
Wouldn't it be nice if the heads of our own national security agencies spoke
truth to power like this? Tamir Pardo, head of Mossad, had
<http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/mossad-chief-nuclear-iran-not-nec
essarily-existential-threat-to-israel-1.404227> this to say to a roomful of
Israeli ambassadors last week:
 
"What is the significance of the term existential threat?" the ambassadors
quoted Pardo as asking. "Does Iran pose a threat to Israel? Absolutely. But
if one said a nuclear bomb in Iranian hands was an existential threat, that
would mean that we would have to close up shop and go home. That's not the
situation. The term existential threat is used too freely." 

Not only is Pardo going on the record to say that this language, favored by
the very Prime Minister who appointed him to head Mossad, is overblown, but
he did it in front of a roomful of Avigdor Lieberman's people. This takes
guts: Defense Minister Ehud Barak recently found
<http://politicalcorrection.org/fpmatters/201111180003> himself in trouble
for going off message on Iran when he suggested that Israel is not the sole
motive force behind Iran's nuclear talk. 

Unfortunately in the U.S., the national security agencies have been
relatively quiet over Iran since the IAEA's latest, and misinterpreted
<http://thinkprogress.org/security/2011/11/09/365206/hawks-support-iran-atta
ck-iaea/> , report on Iran came out (for a debunking of such
misinterpretations, see
<http://original.antiwar.com/wellen/2011/11/29/no-really-iran-isnt-developin
g-nuclear-weapons/> here). The 2011 NIE, which
<http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/02/15/exclusive_new_national_i
ntelligence_estimate_on_iran_complete> has not yet been made available to
the public, reportedly concludes that "the [U.S.] intelligence community has
not determined that Iran has made the strategic decision to build a nuclear
weapon, it is working on the components of such a device." 

But as Ray McGovern and Elizabeth Murray remind
<http://consortiumnews.com/2011/12/30/urging-obama-to-stop-rush-to-iran-war/
> us, Leon Panetta is no Mike Mullen when it comes to standing
<http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/21/world/middleeast/pentagon-officials-quali
fy-panettas-iran-remarks.html?_r=1> down American chickenhawks
<http://www.lobelog.com/panettas-iran-comments-applauded-by-aipac-played-dow
n-by-pentagon/> , or Netanyahu and his Foreign Minister.

The danger today, I believe, is less that Israel will act unilaterally, but
that the U.S. will launch a preemptive war on Iran because Obama will be
convinced he has no other choice because of the mounting
<http://www.lobelog.com/?s=iran+hawk+watch> pressure from both conservative
and liberal hawks (not to mention neocons) over his Israel and Iran policies
in an election year. 

Hopefully, voices
<http://www.lobelog.com/dear-president-obama-its-not-too-late-for-diplomacy-
with-iran/> such as these will increasingly be heard over those clamoring
for regime change and airstrikes within and without the administration. So
far, though, Tehran, Washington and Tel Aviv are all off to a
<http://www.jta.org/news/article/2012/01/02/3090967/persian-gulf-tensions-mo
unt-as-us-engages-israel-on-iran> bad start in 2012.

About Paul Mutter
Paul Mutter is a contributor to Mondoweiss, Foreign Policy in Focus and the
Arabist. 
 <http://mondoweiss.net/author/paul-mutter> 


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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