Iran War Weekly
April 8, 2012
 
Hello All – The purpose of the “Iran  War Weekly” is to  provide antiwar 
activists with information and analysis about the diplomatic and  military 
crisis that has followed from US and Israeli opposition to Iran’s  nuclear 
program.  The many  dimensions of this crisis – which now includes the domestic 
and international  conflicts arising from Syria’s internal uprising and 
civil war – are a challenge  to the antiwar movement. The mainstream media has 
responded to the complexity of  this crisis by framing events in black and 
white terms, and presenting them from  the perspective of the US government.  
My goal is to help with the development of an alternative analysis by  
drawing on dissenting and antiwar sources of information.  This is a learning 
process for me also,  and I very much welcome suggestions and (friendly) 
criticism, as well as  recommendations for content and better presentation.
 
Frank  Brodhead
Concerned Families of  Westchester (NY)
_fbrodhead@aol.com_ (mailto:fbrodh...@aol.com) 
.
This morning’s New York Times included a front-page article by  White House 
insider David Sanger,  “U.S. Defines Its Demands for New Round of Talks 
With Iran.”  The talks, set to begin soon between Iran and the five permanent  
members of the UN Security Council plus Germany, are the first since January 
 2011, and have been described by the Obama administration as Iran’s “last 
 chance” to resolve outstanding differences peacefully.  What is striking 
is that the “demands”  now include the closure and eventual dismantlement of 
Iran’s new uranium  enrichment plant at Fordo, seen as a threat to Israel 
because it is built into a  mountain and would be hard to destroy militarily. 
 Another new issue raised by the  “demands” is that Iran ship out of the 
country its supply of uranium enriched  for use in medical treatment and 
research, and that it cease production of such  enriched uranium.  The 
significance  of these “demands,” in my view, is that they indicate that the 
negotiations with  Iran are intended to fail, and in their failure to justify 
further sanctions  and/or make it appear that military action against Iran is 
the 
only practical,  remaining option for the United States and Israel.
 
While the uprising/civil war in Syria has its  roots in longstanding 
civilian grievances and the inspiration of the Arab  Spring, the “
internationalization” of the conflict forces opponents of war with  Iran to 
understand the 
role of Syrian events in the chances of peace or war with  Iran.  Pasted in 
below are several  articles that illustrate the internal dimensions of the 
Syrian conflict, as well  as excellent overviews by Gil Achcar, Alain Gresh, 
and Vijay Prashad.  Next week we will learn whether the  “cease fire” 
perhaps brokered by the UN’s Kofi Annan and the Arab League will  make a 
difference, and/or whether the military steps initiated by the recent  “Friends 
of 
Syria” meeting in Turkey will escalate the conflict.
 
FEATURED  ESSAYS
Thinking the Unthinkable on  Iran
By Jonathan Schell, The Nation [April 3, 2012]
---- Bush accompanied his policy on  Iraq with a great deal of 
neo-imperialist rhetoric that is absent from Obama’s  statements, but the 
fundamentals 
have been the same—a militarization of  disarmament leading to a policy of 
what could be called disarmament wars.  Disarmament wars threaten or occur 
when force becomes the chosen instrument for  preventing proliferation of 
weapons of mass destruction. Yet to conclude that  Obama merely inherited this 
policy from Bush would be too simple, for Bush, in  spite of all his 
preoccupation with 9/11, was not its originator, either. That  distinction goes 
to 
Bill Clinton, who in a widely forgotten episode went to the  brink of war in 
1993 to prevent North Korea from reprocessing plutonium for  nuclear weapons. 
In other words, disarmament wars are not the invention of Obama  or even 
Bush; they have been “on the table” of US policy for almost two decades.  The 
fact is that after the cold war ended the United States, by an almost  
unnoticed cumulative process, turned for the first time in the nuclear age to a 
 
policy of using force to stop proliferation. 
_http://www.thenation.com/print/article/167196/thinking-unthinkable-iran_ 
(http://www.thenation.com/print/article/167196/thinking-unthinkable-iran) 
 
The Real Nuclear Outlaws: How  the US and Israel are Shredding the NPT
By Carl Boggs, Counterpunch [April 4,  2012]
---- While United States and Israeli  leaders, duly assisted by a 
warmongering media, ramp up war talk against Iran,  two troublesome pieces of 
information are ritually ignored.  First, even  American intelligence reports 
conclude that Iran is not close to building a  nuclear-weapons program. Second, 
it is the U.S. and Israel – not Iran – that  stand in flagrant violation of 
the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty  (NPT). 
_http://www.counterpunch.org/2012/04/04/the-real-nuclear-outlaws/_ 
(http://www.counterpunch.org/2012/04/04/the-real-nuclear-outlaws/) 
 
Our Men in Iran?
By Seymour M. Hersh, The New Yorker [April 6,  2012]
---- The M.E.K.’s ties with Western  intelligence deepened after the fall 
of the Iraqi regime in 2003, and JSOC began  operating inside Iran in an 
effort to substantiate the Bush Administration’s  fears that Iran was building 
the bomb at one or more secret underground  locations. Funds were covertly 
passed to a number of dissident organizations,  for intelligence collection 
and, ultimately, for anti-regime terrorist  activities. Directly, or 
indirectly, the M.E.K. ended up with resources like  arms and intelligence. 
Some 
American-supported covert operations continue in  Iran today, according to past 
and present intelligence officials and military  consultants. 
_http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/newsdesk/2012/04/mek.html_ 
(http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/newsdesk/2012/04/mek.html) 
 
Also useful: Juan Cole, “US Pentagon Trained Iranian terrorists in  Nevada,”
 Informed Comment [April 7,  2012] 
_http://www.juancole.com/2012/04/us-pentagon-trained-iranian-terrorists-in-nevada-hersh.html_
 
(http://www.juancole.com/2012/04/us-pentagon-trained-iranian-terrorists-in-nevada-hersh.html)
 ;  
and Sheila Musaji, ”The MEK and terrorism double standards,” The American 
Muslim [April 7, 2012] 
_http://theamericanmuslim.org/tam.php/features/articles/some-terrorist-groups/0019034_
 
(http://theamericanmuslim.org/tam.php/features/articles/some-terrorist-groups/0019034)
 
 
(Video) Iranian diplomat says IAEA  undermined recent talks to satisfy 
Israel and West
An interview with Gareth Porter,  from the Real News Network [April 3,  
2012] – 17 minutes. 
_http://warincontext.org/2012/04/03/video-iranian-diplomat-says-iaea-undermined-recent-talks-to-satisfy-israel-and-west/_
 
(http://warincontext.org/2012/04/03/video-iranian-diplomat-says-iaea-undermined-recent-tal
ks-to-satisfy-israel-and-west/) 
 
(Video) Iran, China’s Rise, and American  Strategy
>From Aljazeera [April 6, 2012] – 25  minutes
---- The Obama Administration has  committed itself to a policy under which 
it will be under enormous pressure to  sanction important Chinese companies 
and financial institutions of the People’s  Republic does not cut off—or 
at least radically reduce—its trade relations with  the Islamic Republic.  
Does  the administration really believe that, by threatening such sanctions, 
it can  compel Beijing to do serious damage to Chinese interests—and 
surrender its  strategic independence, to boot—by cooperating with unilaterally 
asserted U.S.  and European sanctions, which are already driving up the price 
of 
 oil?  The  Iranian nuclear issue is likely to turn out to be, on many 
levels, a major  turning point for America’s relative standing as a great 
power, 
in the Middle  East and globally. 
_http://www.raceforiran.com/iran-chinas-rise-and-american-strategy_ 
(http://www.raceforiran.com/iran-chinas-rise-and-american-strategy) 
 
IRAN  UPDATES
 
OVERVIEWS
Self-Defeating
By  Trita Parsi, The Daily Beast [April  3, 2012]
---- The Obama administration and  the US military strongly oppose an 
Israeli preventive strike against Iran’s  nuclear facilities. Their opposition, 
of course, is not rooted in any sympathy  with the repressive regime in 
Tehran. Nor is it necessarily rooted in America’s  already compromised military 
position in the region. It is because a strike  would not destroy Iran’s 
nuclear program. It would instead increase the  likelihood of a nuclear armed 
Iran down the road.  It would unravel the  international consensus against 
Iran.  It would undermine the Iranian  pro-democracy movement and fortify the 
regime’s grip on power. And, perhaps most  importantly, it would eliminate 
the current insight we have into the Iranian  nuclear program and provide the 
Iranians with a dash-out capability. 
_http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/04/03/self-defeating.html_ 
(http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/04/03/self-defeating.html) 
 
The Increasingly Transparent  U.S.-Israeli Conflict of Interest 
By Paul Pillar, The National Interest [March 29,  2012]
---- Given—as several Israelis who  have been senior figures in the 
country's security establishment have noted—that  an Iranian nuclear weapon 
would 
not pose an existential threat to Israel, one  has to look to other reasons 
for the Israeli agitation about the Iranian nuclear  program. Besides 
Netanyahu's personal obsession, there are the broader Israeli  fears and 
emotions, 
the desire to maintain a regional nuclear-weapons monopoly  and the 
distraction that the Iran issue provides from outside attention to the  
Palestinians' lack of popular sovereignty. 
_http://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/the-increasingly-transparent-us-israeli-conflict-interest-6712_
 
(http://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/the-increasingly-transparent-us-israeli-co
nflict-interest-6712) 
 
Don’t Fear a Nuclear Arms Race in  the Middle East
BY Steven A. Cook, Foreign Policy [April 2,  2012]
---- Despite its flimsiness, it is  hard to ignore the utility of the 
Middle East's nuclear dominoes theory. For  those who advocate a preventive 
military strike on Iran, it provides a sweeping  geopolitical rationale for a 
dangerous operation. But the evidence doesn't bear  this argument out: If 
Washington decides it has no other option than an attack,  it should do so 
because Iran is a threat in its own right, and not because it  believes it will 
thwart inevitable proliferation in places like Turkey, Egypt,  and Saudi 
Arabia. It won't, for the simple reason that there is no reason to  believe 
these 
countries represent a proliferation risk in the first place. 
_http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/04/02/don_t_fear_a_nuclear_arms_race?page=full_
 
(http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/04/02/don_t_fear_a_nuclear_arms_race?page=full)
 
 
US POLICY
U.S. Defines Its Demands for New Round  of Talks With Iran
By David E. Sanger and Steven  Erlanger, New York Times [April 8,  2012]
---- The Obama administration and  its European allies plan to open new 
negotiations with Iran by demanding the  immediate closing and ultimate 
dismantling of a recently completed nuclear  facility deep under a mountain. 
They 
are also calling for a halt in the  production of uranium fuel that is 
considered just a few steps from bomb grade,  and the shipment of existing 
stockpiles of that fuel out of the country. That  negotiating position will be 
the 
opening move in what President Obama has called  Iran’s “last chance” to 
resolve its nuclear confrontation with the United  Nations and the West 
diplomatically. The hard-line approach would require the  country’s military 
leadership to give up the Fordo enrichment plant outside the  holy city of Qum, 
and with it a huge investment in the one facility that is most  hardened 
against airstrikes. 
_http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/08/world/middleeast/us-defines-its-demands-for-new-round-of-talks-with-iran.html?ref=world_
 
(http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/08/world/middleeast/us-defines-its-demands-for-new-round-
of-talks-with-iran.html?ref=world) 
 
Also useful: David  Ignatius, “Obama’s signal to Iran,” Washington Post 
[April 5, 2012] 
_http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/obamas-signal-to-iran/2012/04/05/gIQApVLDyS_story.html_
 
(http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/obamas-signal-to-iran/2012/04/05/gIQApVLDyS_story.html)
 ;  and Jason Ditz, “
Clinton Issues New Demands For ‘Commitments’ From Iran,” Antiwar.com [April 
3, 2012] 
_http://news.antiwar.com/2012/04/03/clinton-issues-new-demands-for-commitments-from-iran/_
 
(http://news.antiwar.com/2012/04/03/clinton-issues-new-demands-for-commitments-from-iran/)
 
 
U.S. intelligence gains in Iran seen as  boost to confidence
By Joby Warrick and Greg Miller, Washington Post [April 7, 2012]
---- The surveillance has been part  of what current and former U.S. 
officials describe as an intelligence surge that  is aimed at Iran’s nuclear 
program and that has been gaining momentum since the  final years of George W. 
Bush’s administration. At a time of renewed debate over  whether stopping Iran 
might require military strikes, the expanded intelligence  collection has 
reinforced the view within the White House that it will have  early warning 
of any move by Iran to assemble a nuclear bomb, officials said.  The expanded 
espionage effort has confirmed the consensus view expressed by the  U.S. 
intelligence community in a controversial estimate released publicly in  2007. 
That estimate concluded that while Iran remains resolutely committed to  
assembling key building blocks for a nuclear weapons program, particularly  
enriched uranium, the nation’s leaders have opted for now against taking the  
crucial final step: designing a nuclear warhead. 
_http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-sees-intelligence-surge-as-boost-to-confidence
/2012/04/07/gIQAlCha2S_print.html_ 
(http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-sees-intelligence-surge-as-boost-to-confidence/2012/04/07/g
IQAlCha2S_print.html) 
 
A 'closing window' on Iran blocks  out realistic diplomacy
By Tony Karon, The National [United Arab Emirates]  [April 4, 2012]
---- 'I believe there is a window of  time to solve this diplomatically but 
that window is closing," President Barack  Obama said last week about the 
nuclear standoff with Iran. …  There may be three related elements at  work. 
First, there is Israel threatening unilateral military action based on its  
own red lines and on its own timetable unless Iran yields. Then there's the 
fact  that Mr Obama's Iran strategy was designed by Dennis Ross, who has 
since  returned to his old job at a think tank created by the pro-Israel lobby 
Aipac.  And then there's Mr Obama's concern with securing his re-election in 
November,  which requires tough-guy posturing on Iran to counter charges 
from his  Republican opponents, egged on by Israel's alarmism, about being 
"weak" in the  face of an Iranian "danger". 
_http://www.thenational.ae/thenationalconversation/comment/a-closing-window-on-iran-blocks-out-realistic-diploma
cy#full_ 
(http://www.thenational.ae/thenationalconversation/comment/a-closing-window-on-iran-blocks-out-realistic-diplomacy#full)
 
 
Media  Tutorial
State-dominated media and Iran 
By Glen Greenwald, Salon.com [April 5, 2012]
---- The New York Times this morning is  prominently featuring a long 
article documenting the Terroristic aggression  of Iran, as evidenced by that 
country’s attempts to exert influence and foment  unrest in Afghanistan: 
because, as all decent people know, only tyrannical  fanatics would attempt to 
interfere in Afghanistan. 
_http://www.salon.com/2012/04/05/state_dominated_media_and_iran/singleton/_ 
(http://www.salon.com/2012/04/05/state_dominated_media_and_iran/singleton/) 
 
ISRAELI  POLICY
Israeli Experts Mum on Iran Attack  to Support Bibi’s Bluff
By Gareth Porter, Inter Press Service [April 03,  2012]
----- A striking feature of the  Israeli political landscape in recent 
months has been the absence of a serious  debate among national security 
figures 
on the issue of the threat of war with  Iran. It is  well-known that many 
prominent former military and intelligence officials  believe an attack on 
Iran would be disastrous for Israel. After an initial blast  at the idea of 
striking Iran by two former high-ranking officials last year,  however, very 
little has been heard from such national security figures. The  reason for 
this silence on the part of the national security sector, just as the  Israeli 
threat of war was escalating sharply, appears to be a widespread view  
among Israeli national security analysts that Prime Minister Benjamin  
Netanyahu’
s threat to attack is a highly successful bluff. 
_http://original.antiwar.com/porter/2012/04/02/israeli-experts-mum-on-iran-attack-to-support-bibis-bluf
f/_ 
(http://original.antiwar.com/porter/2012/04/02/israeli-experts-mum-on-iran-attack-to-support-bibis-bluff/)
 
 
Also useful: Gareth Porter, (Video) “Is Netanyahu Bluffing?”  Gareth 
Porter interviewed on the Real News Network [April 6, 2012] – 13  minutes - 
_http://warincontext.org/2012/04/06/video-is-netanyahu-bluffing/_ 
(http://warincontext.org/2012/04/06/video-is-netanyahu-bluffing/) ;  and 
 
Inside Bibi’s mind is a war waiting  to start
By Larry Derfner, 972 Magazine [March 24,  2012]
----  Netanyahu (and not just he) seems to have talked himself into  
believing a war with Iran will be relatively painless The question  of whether 
Israel will attack Iran or not has come down to a guessing game of  what’s 
inside Bibi Netanyahu’s head. He’s certainly given every indication that  he 
wants to do the deed. The idea that he’s bluffing is, I think, pretty  stupid; 
he’s been talking about bombing Iran for 10 years, and he’s hardly  alone 
among Israeli leaders. 
_http://972mag.com/bibis-mind-is-made-up-for-war/39128/_ 
(http://972mag.com/bibis-mind-is-made-up-for-war/39128/) 
 
Israelis to protest Iran attack amid  growing web campaign
Haggai Matar, 972 Magazine [March 20,  2012]
----  Following a growing number of online grassroots peace initiatives, 
activists are  calling for the first significant demonstration against the 
sounding war drums. First came the  Iranian women, with a series of video clips 
made especially for International  Women’s Day, speaking out against war 
from a feminist perspective. Then came the  Israeli reply, with the Coalition 
of Women for Peace publishing a declaration  stating they “oppose the 
inflammatory rhetoric of war mongers and the recently  advertised plan of the 
Israeli government to attack Iran. Such an assault is not  likely to stop the 
Iranian nuclear plan, but is likely to lead to regional war,  loss of human 
life and a long term environmental damage.” To this the Iranian  group 
responded with enthusiasm, and called for an end to militarization and  
sanctions. 
In an interview with Ha’aretz (Hebrew), one of the Iranian women said  that 
while her group began the struggle, resistance to the war is spreading  
throughout many groups in Iran. 
_http://972mag.com/israelis-set-to-protest-iran-war-amid-growing-web-campaign/38878/_
 
(http://972mag.com/israelis-set-to-protest-iran-war-amid-growing-web-campaign/38878/)
 
 
IRANIAN  POLICY
As Nuclear Talks Near, Iran Softens  Criticism of Turkey
By Rick Gladstone, New York Times [April 6,  2012]
---- Without specifically referring  to Mr. Erdogan or the nuclear talks, 
Mr. Mehmanparast said that the “remarks  made by different people should not 
have any negative effects on bilateral  relations.” He added that Mr. Erdogan
’s meeting with Iran’s supreme leader,  Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had been “
very positive and constructive.” The substance  of Mr. Erdogan’s 
discussions with Ayatollah Khamenei have not been disclosed.  But Mr. Erdogan 
visit 
came just after he met with President Obama at a summit  meeting in South 
Korea. There has been speculation since that Mr. Erdogan  carried a message 
from 
Mr. Obama to Iran’s leaders on the nuclear issue. 
_http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/07/world/middleeast/iran-softens-criticism-of-turkey-as-nuclear-talks-
approach.html?ref=world_ 
(http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/07/world/middleeast/iran-softens-criticism-of-turkey-as-nuclear-talks-approach.html?ref=world)
 
 
SANCTIONS
Impact of Iran Sanctions  Widens
By Rick Gladstone, New York Times [April 4,  2012]
---- The Iran sanctions effort led  by the United States appeared to be 
causing new fractures in the Iranian economy  on Tuesday, with leading oil 
companies in South Africa and Greece suspending  imports of Iran’s crude oil, 
further signs of emergency self-reliance emerging  in Iran, and an influential 
former Iranian president publicly challenging his  country’s anti-American 
stoicism. 
_http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/05/world/middleeast/impact-of-iran-sanctions
-widens.html?ref=world_ 
(http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/05/world/middleeast/impact-of-iran-sanctions-widens.html?ref=world)
 
 
Also useful: Howard LaFranchi, “What do Iran  sanctions cost you? About 25 
cents a gallon, experts say,” The Christian Science Monitor [April 5,  2012] 
_http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Foreign-Policy/2012/0405/What-do-Iran-sanction
s-cost-you-About-25-cents-a-gallon-experts-say_ 
(http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Foreign-Policy/2012/0405/What-do-Iran-sanctions-cost-you-About-25-cents-a-
gallon-experts-say) ;  and Juan Cole, “Why Romney is Lying about the Causes 
of high Prices at the  Pump,” Informed Comment [April 4, 2012]  
http://www.juancole.com/2012/04/why-romney-is-lying-about-the-causes-of-high-prices-at-t
he-pump.html
 
India and the Iran  sanctions
By Ramesh Thakur, Japan  Times [April 2,  2012]
---- India must balance relations  with Iran, Israel, Saudi Arabia and the 
U.S. India's defense minister recently  paid an official visit to Riyadh, 
the first such ever, and the two sides have  agreed to draft a road map for 
defense cooperation. But India also does have  good relations with Iran based 
on shared trade and security interests. Iran  supplies about 12 percent of 
India's oil imports. Delhi has also had a  long-standing interest in building 
a gas pipeline from Iran to India, but that  would have to run through 
Pakistan and therefore leave India exposed to its  enemy's good will in a 
future 
emergency. There has been an equally long-standing  convergence of 
strategic interests in Afghanistan and Pakistan that will outlast  the Western 
military involvement in Afghanistan. 
_http://www.japantimes.co.jp/text/eo20120402rt.html_ 
(http://www.japantimes.co.jp/text/eo20120402rt.html) 
 
SYRIA  UPDATES
 
Introduction
Two months ago, Syria expert Patrick  Seale outlined the multi-dimensional 
crisis in and with Syria as  follows:
"It’s at least a two- or possibly a  three-stage crisis. Internally in 
Syria, the situation is getting worse by the  day. At a higher level, there is 
a 
struggle between the United States, on the  one hand, and its allies, and 
its opponents like Russia and China... Then  there’s a third level, possibly, 
of Arab Gulf states like Qatar, for example,  even Saudi Arabia behind it, 
who are obsessed and worried by Iran, and they  think that Iran might stir 
up Shia communities in the region." 
_http://www.democracynow.org/2012/2/7/a_struggle_for_regional_supremacy_syria_ 
(http://www.democracynow.org/2012/2/7/a_struggle_for_regional_supremacy_syria) 
If anything, the layers of  complexity have deepened.  The Arab  League, as 
reflected in its recent meeting in Baghdad, is deeply divided.  The Kofi 
Annan/UN peace plan, endorsed  by the Arab League meeting, was immediately 
followed by steps to escalate the  war taken at the “Friends of Syria” meeting 
in Turkey. Whether the Assad regime  will act on its commitment to withdraw 
heavy weapons and troops from urban areas  by April 10th, and whether there 
will be a ceasefire on April 12,  remains to be seen.
 
OVERVIEWS
'There’s a fear that the fall of  Assad would lead to worse for Western 
interests and Israel.”
An interview with Gilbert Achcar, ZNet [April 5, 2012]
---- The Syrian National Council is  a heterogeneous combination of people, 
from the Muslim Brotherhood to people on  the left, especially the People’s 
Democratic Party, with a number of figures  linked to Western governments, 
the US or France in particular. The SNC is held  together by the pressure of 
various states intervening in the Syrian situation.  These states are 
actually pushing for a broader coalition to include other  groups, in addition 
to 
those who are already in the SNC. They are aiming at some  form of 
unification of the opposition, which would make it even more  heterogeneous 
than 
what the SNC already is. This said, the important point is  that the SNC is not 
a homogeneous rightwing force as depicted in some circles.  Within the 
council, there are some people who cannot be classified as rightwing,  but are 
rather progressives. 
_http://www.zcommunications.org/there-s-a-fear-that-the-fall-of-assad-would-lead-to-worse-for-western-interests-and-israel--by-gilber
t-achcar_ 
(http://www.zcommunications.org/there-s-a-fear-that-the-fall-of-assad-would-lead-to-worse-for-western-interests-and-israel--by-gilbert-achcar)
 
 
Civil War or Foreign Intervention?  Deadlock over Syria
By Alain Gresh, Le Monde diplomatique [April 3,  2012]
---- The Ba’athist regime believed  Syria’s position within the axis of 
resistance meant it was safe from the  revolutionary movement that engulfed 
the region in 2011. But that was to reduce  the conflict over Syria to its 
geopolitical dimension, as a confrontation  between the imperialist and 
anti-imperialist camps, and to underestimate the  changes brought about by the 
Arab 
revolutions and the aspirations of the  Syrians. The regime miscalculated, 
because Syria has the same flaws as others in  the region: an authoritarian 
and arbitrary government, a greedy elite,  neoliberal policies that 
impoverish its people, and an inability to respond to  the aspirations of the 
young, 
who are more numerous and better educated than  their elders. Should we do 
nothing? There are other options than military  intervention. 
_http://mondediplo.com/2012/04/03syria_ (http://mondediplo.com/2012/04/03syria) 
 
Straining NATO on Short Syrian  Leash
By Vijay Prashad, Asia Times [April 05, 2012]
----  On February 18, I asked the Indian ambassador to the United Nations, 
Hardeep  Singh Puri, why there was no appetite for a strong UN resolution on 
 Syria. After all, the violence in Syria seemed to have already exceeded  
that in Libya. If the UN could pass Resolution 1973 (on Libya), why was it  
reticent to pass a similar resolution on Syria? Puri pointed his finger 
directly  at the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) states. They had 
exceeded  the mandate of Resolution 1973, moving for regime change using 
immense 
violence.  All attempts to find a peaceful solution were blocked. The 
African Union's  high-level panel was prevented from entering Libya as the NATO 
barrage began.  Any UN resolution that was sharply worded and that was not 
explicitly against a  humanitarian intervention would open the door to a 
NATO-style attack. That seems  to be the fear. 
_http://www.zcommunications.org/straining-nato-on-short-syrian-leash-by-vijay-prashad_
 
(http://www.zcommunications.org/straining-nato-on-short-syrian-leash-by-vijay-prashad)
 


A Secret Plot in  Syria
By Andy Warner, Slate [April 4, 2012]
---- An illustrated guide to the  1949 coup—possibly CIA-assisted—that 
plunged the country into decades of  political turmoil. 
_http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/history/2012/04/syrian_violence_was_the_cia_involve
d_in_the_1949_coup_that_plunged_the_country_into_decades_of_turmoil_.html_ 
(http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/history/2012/04/syrian_viole
nce_was_the_cia_involved_in_the_1949_coup_that_plunged_the_country_into_deca
des_of_turmoil_.html) 


INSIDE  SYRIA
Loyalty to Syrian President Could  Isolate Hezbollah
By Anne Barnard, New York Times [April 5,  2012]
---- Syria’s conflict is testing  Hezbollah’s longstanding contradictions. 
It relies on public support, yet  sometimes behaves autocratically; it is a 
national group founded to fight  Israel’s occupation of southern Lebanon, 
but owes its military might — and the  funds that rebuilt the south after the 
2006 war — to Iran’s desire to project  power; and it styles itself 
pan-Islamic, but it depends on rock-solid support  from Lebanese Shiites for 
whom 
it won long-denied power as it became the Middle  East’s most formidable 
militant group and Lebanon’s strongest political  force. Most  of all, 
Hezbollah won respect by sticking to its principles, even among rival  sects 
and the 
leftist cafe regulars in Beirut who are skeptical of its religious  
conservatism. Now it is paying a price for its politics of pragmatism in Syria. 
 
_http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/06/world/middleeast/hezbollahs-syria-policy-put
s-it-at-risk.html?ref=world_ 
(http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/06/world/middleeast/hezbollahs-syria-policy-puts-it-at-risk.html?ref=world)
 
 
Kurdish Bloc Withdraws From Syrian  Rebel Council
By Jason Ditz, Antiwar.com [April 5, 2012]
---- Kurdish factions have been  struggled to find a side in the Syrian 
Civil War, with the militant PKK openly  backing the Assad government, and 
threatening to escalate attacks on Turkey if  the nation invades. Indeed, 
Turkey’
s decision to abandon their long-time allies  in the regime and endorsing 
the SNC instead was seen by many analysts as chiefly  a function of the SNC’s 
more nationalist ambitions, with the hopes that they  would tamp down 
secessionist fervor in Syrian Kurdistan. The loss of the Kurdish  bloc from the 
SNC could weaken the rebels significantly in the nation’s  northwest, and 
could put the Kurds in a better bargaining position if the rebel  faction 
eventually collapses. 
_http://news.antiwar.com/2012/04/05/kurdish-bloc-withdraws-from-syrian-rebel-council/_
 
(http://news.antiwar.com/2012/04/05/kurdish-bloc-withdraws-from-syrian-rebel-council/)
 
 
Syria: The virtue of civil disobedience 
By  Donatella Della Ratta, Aljazeera [April 6, 2012]
---- Civil disobedience is the only  way to mobilise people in big cities 
that are deemed to be regime strongholds in  Syria. Syrians' non-violent 
struggle is indeed inspired by a Syrian scholar,  Jawdat Said, who has been 
incarcerated many times for his writings on resisting  oppression through 
non-violence. In 2001, he wrote: "We live in a world in which  four fifths of 
its 
population live in frustration while the other fifth lives in  fear." 
Jawadat Said, born in 1931, lives in the Syrian Golan Heights and works  as a 
farmer. I wonder what he thinks of these youth, engaged in their civilised  
struggle against Goliath, far away from media spotlight, maybe closer to their  
people. 
_http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/04/20124283638298672.html_ 
(http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/04/20124283638298672.html) 
 
A PLETHORA OF  MEETINGS
Syria’s Assad Endorses April 10 Peace  Deadline
By Jason Ditz, Antiwar.com [April 2, 2012]
---- Faced with calls from the  international community to see some sort of 
progress on a negotiated settlement,  Syrian President Bashar Assad has 
agreed to an April 10 deadline to start  implementing Kofi Annan’s UN-backed 
plan. The deadline would have Syrian  government forces withdrawing from 
cities and granting humanitarian access, as  well as moving toward a full 
ceasefire within 48 hours of the deadline. The  first part should be easy 
enough. 
The second part would require the rebel  factions to stop fighting — and there
’s no indication so far they would consider  doing so. 
_http://news.antiwar.com/2012/04/02/syrias-assad-endorses-april-10-peace-deadline/print/_
 
(http://news.antiwar.com/2012/04/02/syrias-assad-endorses-april-10-peace-deadline/p
rint/) 
 
(Video) Arab League meeting in Iraq shows  deep divisions over Syria
Vijay Prashad interviewed on the Real News Network [April 6,  2012]
_http://warincontext.org/2012/04/06/video-arab-league-meeting-in-iraq-shows-
deep-divisions-over-syria/_ 
(http://warincontext.org/2012/04/06/video-arab-league-meeting-in-iraq-shows-deep-divisions-over-syria/)
 
 
Russia Accuses Group of Undermining Peace  Plan in Syria
By Anne Barnard and Rick Gladstone,  New York Times [April 5,  2012]
---- On Wednesday, differences  seemed to deepen between the United States 
and _Russia_ 
(http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/international/countriesandterritories/russiaandtheformersovietunion/index.html?inline=nyt-geo)
  over a 
solution to the crisis, with  Russian Foreign Minister Sergey V. Lavrov 
renewing his denunciation of Western  and Arab leaders grouped in the so-called 
“
Friends of Syria” coalition. The  grouping of dozens of countries met 
Sunday in Istanbul along with exiled  opponents of President Assad, and moved 
closer to direct intervention in the  fighting, with Arab nations pledging $100 
million to pay opposition fighters and  the Obama administration agreeing 
to send communications equipment to help  rebels organize and evade Syria’s 
military. Russia did not participate in the  meeting and Mr. Lavrov on 
Wednesday accused the body of undermining the peace  proposal put forward by 
Kofi 
Annan, the special envoy representing the Arab  League and the United 
Nations. 
_http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/05/world/middleeast/russia-accuses-group-of-undermining-peace-plan-in-syria.html?ref=world_
 
(http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/05/world/middleeast/russia-accuses-group-of-undermining-peace-plan-in-
syria.html?ref=world) 
 
(Video) “Friends of Syria” push civil  war
---- An interview with Vijay  Prashad, from the Real News Network  [April 
4, 2012] – 9 minutes _
http://warincontext.org/2012/04/04/video-friends-of-syria-push-civil-war/_ 
(http://warincontext.org/2012/04/04/video-friends-of-syria-push-civil-war/) 
 
 

 
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