Hi LT!

I've been doing a little homework on town demographics with the Assessors
office, and thought many of you might be interested in what we've found! If
you have additional data to share, please do.

Cheers,
Randi

How much of Lincoln’s population has turned over? A quick analysis:

Summary: In 15 years, 62.6% of the population has turned over since
2010 according
to public Census data
<https://censusreporter.org/profiles/06000US2501735425-lincoln-town-middlesex-county-ma/>.
With a more detailed look at MLS listings (which are incomplete, and do NOT
include rentals, which are 38% of the housing units) I found that there has
been a ~40% turnover in owner-occupied units in 10 years (2014-2024; see
table below), with a breakdown of roughly 50% turnover in condos, and 37%
turnover in single family houses. (Math is broken down below). There has
also been a ~17.5% total turnover since the onset of COVID.


   1.

   Turnover data from Census since 2010:
   
<https://censusreporter.org/profiles/06000US2501735425-lincoln-town-middlesex-county-ma/>


29.1% + 24.5% + 9% = 62.6% population has moved into town since 2010.


   2.

   Turnover data from MLS listings and town data since 2014:
   
<https://censusreporter.org/profiles/06000US2501735425-lincoln-town-middlesex-county-ma/>


CONDOS:

~50% (49.5%) since 2014 (199 sold /402 total)

SINGLE FAMILY HOUSES:

37% (37.1%) since 2014 (570 sold/1535 total)

TOTAL = 769 sold /1937 total = ~40% (39.7%) turnover in 10 years (2014-2024)

POST-COVID turnover: 339 sold /1937 total = ~17.5% turnover since COVID
began (2020-2024)



Year

# Single Family Homes sold (1,535 total units as of 2025)

# Condos Sold (402 total units as of 2025)

Total town population (#)

2014

64

12

6,362

2015

47

22

2016

56

18

2017

44

18

2018

61

18

2019

49

21

2020

61

18

7,014

2021

58

24

2022

43

13

6,855

2023

45

11

2024

42

24

6,996

TOTALS

570

199


Average # persons per household: 2.56 (Census data)


-- 
*Randi Rotjan, Ph.D. | she / her / hers | *
*Science Lead, Blue Nature Alliance <https://www.bluenaturealliance.org/>*
*Associate Research Professor, Dept. of Biology, **Boston University*
*http://sites.bu.edu/rotjanlab/ <http://sites.bu.edu/rotjanlab/> ** | **Google
Scholar
<https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=kjjMY3IAAAAJ&hl=en&oi=ao> *
*As of Fall 2025: Associate Professor, Dept. of Biology, Tufts University*
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