https://theconversation.com/whats-at-stake-in-trumps-war-on-huawei-control-of-the-global-computer-chip-industry-124079

> Silicon Valley may now be more popularly associated with software companies 
> such as Google and Facebook but it takes its name from the material most used 
> to make semiconductors.
> 
> Semiconductors – or computer chips – power everything from mobile phones to 
> military systems. The semiconductor industry sits at the centre of the modern 
> world.
> 
> This point is key to appreciating what’s going on in the US government’s 
> battle with Chinese technology giant Huawei.
> 
> The US actions do more than just keep Chinese technology away from critical 
> telecommunications infrastructure – something it has lobbied US allies to 
> emulate.
> 
> Read more: Explainer: why Chinese telecoms participating in Australia's 5G 
> network could be a problem         
> 
> They also choke off the global supply of semiconductors, and technology to 
> make semiconductors, to Huawei, thereby limiting China’s rate of 
> technological progress, economic development and ability to compete with the 
> US.
> 
> Executive ban
> 
> In May US president Donald Trump signed an executive order blocking US 
> technology companies dealing with Huawei. The order bans “any acquisition, 
> importation, transfer, installation, dealing in, or use of any information 
> and communications technology or service” without special approval.
> 
> Among the effects is that Google has stopped licensing its Android mobile 
> operating system to Huawei, limiting the Chinese company’s ambitions in the 
> global phone market.
> 
> But arguably the biggest consequence is blocking the sale of US 
> semiconductors, and semiconductor-making equipment and services.
> 
> Huawei is not only the world’s third-largest buyer of semiconductors but, 
> through its subsidiary HiSilicon, one of China’s biggest semiconductor 
> makers. Being shut off from US suppliers impedes both the competitiveness of 
> its products and the development of its own chip-making capacity.
> 
> A coherent strategy
> 
> The US Semiconductor Industry Association has urged the US government to 
> approve exemptions because there are no “national security concerns” in 
> selling semiconductors to Huawei for “non-sensitive” products such as phones. 
> It argues the ban only benefits foreign rivals.
> 
> But my research, based on financial data from Bloomberg, points to a coherent 
> strategy to preserve US dominance of the global semiconductor industry.
> 
> US corporations dominate the global semiconductor industry. The following 
> chart shows the world’s top 20 manufacturers by company value.
> 
> 
> Author provided
> Despite all the hype about the rise of China, Chinese involvement in computer 
> and electronics technologies is still typically restricted to lower-end 
> activities such as making and assembling components. US companies take the 
> lion’s share of profits through controlling the intellectual property in 
> design, branding and marketing of electronic goods.
> 
> Apple Corporation, for example, subcontracts Taiwanese company Hon Hai 
> Precision Industry to assemble its products. Hon Hai in turn employs up to a 
> million Chinese workers through subsidiary Foxconn, which makes products for 
> Apple along with other brands. In 2013 Hon Hai’s profit was US$2.6 billion. 
> Apple made US$33 billion – almost 13 times more. 
> 
> 
> Chinese workers at Foxconn’s Lunghua plant in the Chinese city of Shenzhen, 
> Guangdong province. Foxconn is the world’s largest manufacturer of electronic 
> components. YM Yik/EPA
> Based on everything Trump has said about China, this is the way he would like 
> to keep things.
> 
> China wants to become a global semiconductor player but lags far behind US 
> corporations in size and sophistication. It continues to rely heavily on 
> semiconductor imports. It spends more on importing semiconductors than on oil.
> 
> HiSilicon, like other Chinese companies, lacks the manufacturing experience 
> to produce advanced semiconductors at scale. For basic chip design it has 
> relied on British semiconductor design company Arm (owned by Japan’s 
> Softbank). Arm cut ties with Huawei in May to comply with US restrictions.
> 
> Finding a replacement for Arm won’t be easy. Most of the other big providers 
> of equipment, software and services for designing and making semiconductors 
> are American – such as Cadence Design Systems, Synopsys, Applied Materials 
> and Lam Research.
> 
> Long-term prize
> 
> Blacklisting Huawei on national security grounds can therefore be seen as a 
> way to hinder China’s semiconductor industry. It help keeps China in a 
> subordinate position as an assembly area for US corporations.
> 
> Trump’s Huawei strategy looks more coherent than many other parts of his 
> international agenda. The ban may also be hurting US companies, but the 
> longer-term prize is maintaining the hegemony of US companies in a vital 
> industry and keeping the American state in front of its geopolitical rival.
> 
> It appears we may be at the start of a new cold war that will play out across 
> technology industries – from the global semiconductor industry to 5G 
> networks, exascale computing, artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles, 
> robotics and gene editing.
> 
> Read more: Huawei is a test case for Australia in balancing the risks and 
> rewards of Chinese tech
> 
> These are battlefields on which the Trump administration has already 
> signalled it wants its allies to join it.
> 
> This potentially complicates the desire of a country like Australia, which 
> wants good relationships with both the US and China, its most significant 
> trading partner. Decisions such as blocking Huawei from tendering for 
> contracts for Australia’s 5G network could well be seen as evidence we are 
> far from neutral, instead being a deeply and willingly integrated part of the 
> US empire.


-- 
Kim Holburn
IT Network & Security Consultant
T: +61 2 61402408  M: +61 404072753
mailto:k...@holburn.net  aim://kimholburn
skype://kholburn - PGP Public Key on request 




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