Jan, Good idea. I'll work on it. Bernard On 7/04/2020 7:10 pm, [email protected] wrote: > I haven't read the papers and may not. Have you considered asking that > question to Andrew Probyn so he can ask about it in those briefings? > Or Phil Coorey even? Or other journos, maybe Kathryn Murphy > > Minister, where is the modelling you've actually been paying for from > ..xxxx ? > > Jan > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: > "Bernard Robertson-Dunn" <[email protected]> > > To: > "Link List" <[email protected]> > Cc: > > Sent: > Tue, 7 Apr 2020 18:10:08 +1000 > Subject: > [LINK] The government's coronavirus modelling > > > What really annoys me is when the government tries to do a snow job on > us all > > Scotty from marketing today put on his salesman's hat and tried to > convince the country that his presentation on coronavirus > modelling was > all they had. > > This was the slide deck he used: > > > https://s3.amazonaws.com/files.scribblelive.com/2020/4/7/2928378_340853142bc011a4-b1b9-4fd2-9358-d26f2130b1a5.pdf > > A few little details. > > There is nothing in those slides that applies to Australia. > > He references the University of Melbourne (Doherty Institute) pandemic > modelling team but not Quantium Health. > > According to this: > > > https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/mar/28/government-increases-spend-on-covid-19-data-analytics-as-it-declines-to-release-modelling > > "The health department upped its spend on a contract with Quantium > Health from $1.1m to $3.1m" > > Quantium Health is a Joint Venture between Discovery Ltd, and > Quantium Group > > Discovery Ltd is a South African Financial services company > > en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discovery > > and the Quantium group does data analytics. > > https://quantium.com/ > > Their web site says: "Translating raw data into actionable insight" > > It looks to me as though they have done a lot of economic > modelling but > a) don't want to own up to it and b) have done no pandemic modelling > beyond what others have done and released weeks ago. > > If you want to see what modelling has been going on around the world > look at this: > > https://coronavirustechhandbook.com/forecasting > > especially Imperial College work. > > > https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf > > Scotty said in his presentation that more realistic models and plans > will be developed and that the "Focus of future modelling is based on > real world Australian data" > > The government must have a lot of data already otherwise Quantium > Health > would have nothing to show for its millions. What modelling has the > government already done on that data but has not released? > > I can't believe they have been making decisions on the modelling they > released today. They may cunning but they are not stupid. > > IMHO, the big questions are "What is he hiding and why?" > > -- > > Regards > brd > > Bernard Robertson-Dunn > Canberra Australia > email: [email protected] > > _______________________________________________ > Link mailing list > [email protected] > http://mailman.anu.edu.au/mailman/listinfo/link > > > <http://www.avg.com/email-signature?utm_medium=email&utm_source=link&utm_campaign=sig-email&utm_content=emailclient> > Virus-free. www.avg.com > <http://www.avg.com/email-signature?utm_medium=email&utm_source=link&utm_campaign=sig-email&utm_content=emailclient> > > > <#DAB4FAD8-2DD7-40BB-A1B8-4E2AA1F9FDF2>
-- Regards brd Bernard Robertson-Dunn Canberra Australia email: [email protected] _______________________________________________ Link mailing list [email protected] http://mailman.anu.edu.au/mailman/listinfo/link
