Caros colegas: Antes que a Lista se apague ( como parece, para tristeza de todos nos) gostaria de divulgar um artigo recentíssimo do nosso grupo, num tema fascinante e ainda pouquíssimo explorado com detalhes, os fundamentos lógicos da teoria das probalidades:
Paraconsistent Probabilities: Consistency, Contradictions and Bayes’ Theorem Juliana Bueno-Soler and Walter Carnielli Entropy 2016, 18(9), 325; doi:10.3390/e18090325 Special Issue Statistical Significance and the Logic of Hypothesis Testing, editor Julio Stern OPEN ACCESS: http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/18/9/325/htm This paper represents the first steps towards constructing a paraconsistent theory of probability based on the Logics of Formal Inconsistency (LFIs). We show that LFIs encode very naturally an extension of the notion of probability able to express sophisticated probabilistic reasoning under contradictions employing appropriate notions of conditional probability and paraconsistent updating, via a version of Bayes’ theorem for conditionalization. We argue that the dissimilarity between the notions of inconsistency and contradiction, one of the pillars of LFIs, plays a central role in our extended notion of probability. Some critical historical and conceptual points about probability theory are also reviewed. Keywords: paraconsistency; probability; contradiction; consistency; logics of formal inconsistency Open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0). Agradecemos ao Julio Stern pelo incentivo e pela abertura intelectual!! Walter -- Você está recebendo esta mensagem porque se inscreveu no grupo "LOGICA-L" dos Grupos do Google. Para cancelar inscrição nesse grupo e parar de receber e-mails dele, envie um e-mail para logica-l+unsubscr...@dimap.ufrn.br. Para postar neste grupo, envie um e-mail para logica-l@dimap.ufrn.br. Visite este grupo em https://groups.google.com/a/dimap.ufrn.br/group/logica-l/. Para ver esta discussão na web, acesse https://groups.google.com/a/dimap.ufrn.br/d/msgid/logica-l/719A4DC4-0656-48BC-8E27-5D3F56ED47A6%40gmail.com.
