On Monday 20 April 2009 09:26:03 pm McTim wrote:

> Of course they will, it's how they will make their ROI. 

Agree.

Consortium members will want to dispose of capacity, either 
through:

a) their own use

or

b) IRU (Indefeasible Right of Use - look it up)

> So SEACOM builds to Mombasa (or Jinja if you believew
> their map), then KDN/KT-Orange build from Eldoret to
> Busia, MTN and UTL have already built to Busia, and they
> all want to charge the smaller ISPs for a ride on that
> glass.

Uganda will need more cables heading to the border in order 
to reduce the cost of the half-circuit to the coast.

This is the problem most landlocked countries face when they 
try to access submarine capacity. They cost of a full-
circuit that crosses one country or more can significantly 
increase the price of the overall service.

But the more cables there are, in all transit countries, to 
the cable landing station, the cheaper it will be. Cost of 
IP in the EU or U.S. (which is where most of the content is) 
is dirt cheap! The hit will be on the regional and submarine 
loops.

> It's actually coming DOWN from the ME, then on to SA. 

Quite right.

SEACOM isn't coming from South Africa to the other 
participating countries.

Looking at:

http://www.seacom.mu/network/overview.html

Both Mombasa and Dar Es Salaam have express fibre pairs to a 
branching unit that splits west to Egypt and Djibouti, and 
east to the U.A.E and India.

Heading South, Mombasa has express fibre pairs to Dar Es 
Salaam, Mozambique, South Africa and Madagascar.

> None of the budding ISPs can afford to duplicate what is
> already built/build on both sides of the border.

Their best bet is to strike a deal with a willing fibre 
owner.

Diversity to the coast is all necessary - not everything 
should route through Kenya. A direct cable between Uganda 
and Dar Es Salaam will provide, not only access to the 
Tanzania infrastructure, but also a protect path to SEACOM 
and other cable systems due to land at the coast.

It all costs money, though :-).

Cheers,

Mark.

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