Dear MARMAM community,
On behalf of my co-authors, I am pleased to share with you our latest
publication:

de Lima, R.C., Félix, F., Haase, B., Secchi, E. R. Antarctic sea ice as a
driver of humpback whale migration timing in the southeast Pacific. Polar
Biol 48, 92 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-025-03410-9

Abstract:
Understanding the drivers behind shifts in migration patterns is crucial
for managing human activities that may affect whale populations and for
assessing the ecological impacts of climate change on migratory species.
This study investigates environmental factors influencing the migratory
timing of humpback whales (Megaptera novaeangliae) in the Eastern Tropical
Pacific (Breeding Stock G), using systematic shore-based observations from
Ecuador between 2010 and 2023. We analyzed variables including Antarctic
sea ice extent (SIE) and chlorophyll-a concentration (as a proxy for
Antarctic krill density), the Oceanic Niño Index, Southern Annular Mode
Index, and the Peruvian Coastal Thermal Index to assess their relationship
with whale arrival dates and residency at the breeding grounds. Our
findings show significant interannual variability in migration timing. For
both with-calf and non-calf groups, SIE during the previous winter was
positively correlated with arrival dates, onset of calving, and time spent
at the breeding area. Broader sea ice extent likely enhances krill
recruitment, increasing prey availability and allowing whales to build
sufficient energy reserves to support longer stays at reproductive sites.
This study highlights the potential negative effects of Antarctic sea ice
loss on whale migration patterns. Krill fisheries should adopt
precautionary strategies that account for year-to-year variability in prey
availability to avoid disrupting whale foraging. Moving forward, it is
vital to monitor these changes continuously and to evaluate their broader
ecological consequences to ensure the long-term viability of migratory
marine species in a changing climate.

This study is part of the Whales & Climate research program (
https://whalesandclimate.org/).

Please feel free to email me if you are unable to access the article.

Sincerely,
Renan

-- 
*Renan C. de Lima, PhD*
Postdoctoral fellow
Laboratório de Ecologia e Conservação da Megafauna Marinha - EcoMega
Instituto de Oceanografia
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande (FURG)

*Phone*: +55(53)99718994 | *e-mail*: [email protected]
*RG:* www.researchgate.net/profile/Renan-Lima-2
*ORCID*: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9311-7085
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