http://www.hindu.com/2006/08/01/stories/2006080102850900.htm

The Hindu
August 1, 2006

Qana massacre and the Security Council
Siddharth Varadarajan

The primary role of any Chapter VII resolution or
expanded U.N. peacekeeping force must be to protect
Lebanon from Israeli aggression

-Given its track record, Israel will allow the U.N.
Security Council to stay its hand in Lebanon only if
this results in the deployment of a well-armed
U.S./NATO/European-led force - a force that would
complete Tel Aviv's stated war aims for it. This is
something that suits the Bush administration too.
-Thus, getting a `stabilisation force' on the ground
in Lebanon - and on Lebanon's border with Syria, as
Condoleezza Rice said on Monday - would be a
relatively low-cost alternative to the more direct
forms of military pressure on Damascus and Teheran
that Washington can ill afford to exert for the
moment.
-Like Bagram in Afghanistan, Camp Bondsteel in Serbia
and the enormous bases coming up all over Iraq, the
proposed stabilisation force under the overall control
of U.S. Central Command is likely to dig itself in.

Tel Aviv's announcement of a 48-hour suspension of air
operations following the international outcry over the
massacre of 56 Lebanese civilians - half of whom were
young children - is not so much an act of contrition
as an attempt to shift the American-Israeli war aims
against Hizbollah and Lebanon on to a higher, more
effective plane.

The fact that the Israeli authorities are granting
this `grace period' primarily in order to allow the
United Nations to evacuate any civilians who wish to
leave southern Lebanon is itself a blatant declaration
of the Olmert regime's intention to continue bombing
residential areas.

Serving notice on non-combatants and then flattening
their dwellings does not exonerate Israel's commanders
from culpability for violating the laws of war. Would
Israel protest any less if Hizbollah preceded its
barrage of Katyushas with a general warning to all
residents of Haifa and northern Israel that they leave
the area?

While the announcement of 48 hours breathing space is
intended to allow anti-Israeli opinion around the
world to settle down a little, its main purpose is to
give Washington time to try and impose on the
government of Fouad Siniora in Lebanon a NATO-led
"international stabilisation force" armed with a
`robust mandate' under Chapter VII of the U.N.
Charter.

The purpose of such a force would be to put into
effect Resolution 1559 - a non-binding resolution of
the Security Council passed in 2004 calling on the
Lebanese government to disarm Hizbollah and assert its
military control over the entire territory of Lebanon.
The purpose of the force would certainly not be to
facilitate a just political settlement and protect
Lebanon from the kind of aggression Israel has
regularly been launching since 1978.

Ever since UNIFIL (the U.N. Interim Force in Lebanon)
was first deployed 28 years ago, Israel has displayed
utter contempt for the presence of international
peacekeepers across the blue line.

In 1996, it bombed a U.N. post at Qana, killing more
than 100 civilians. Last week, it "accidentally"
killed four peacekeepers and refused to allow the U.N.
to join the investigation into the incident.

Surely America, France or Britain would not allow the
U.N. to probe an incident which occurred on their
territory, Dan Gillerman, Israel's Ambassador in New
York, argued lamely. Forgetting, conveniently, that
the flattened U.N. post at Khiyyam was on Lebanese and
not Israeli soil.

Mandate of U.N. force the key

Given its track record, Israel will allow the U.N.
Security Council to stay its hand in Lebanon only if
this results in the deployment of a well-armed
U.S./NATO/European-led force - a force that would
complete Tel Aviv's stated war aims for it. This is
something that suits the Bush administration too.

The U.S. sees Hizbollah as a powerful detachment of
"international terrorism" and a tool of Syria and
Iran. Thus, getting a `stabilisation force' on the
ground in Lebanon - and on Lebanon's border with
Syria, as Condoleezza Rice said on Monday - would be a
relatively low-cost alternative to the more direct
forms of military pressure on Damascus and Teheran
that Washington can ill afford to exert for the
moment.

Since the `war on terror' has been defined by American
ideologues as an `endless war', the U.S. will not
deploy in Lebanon unless it is confident of staying
there indefinitely.

Like Bagram in Afghanistan, Camp Bondsteel in Serbia
and the enormous bases coming up all over Iraq, the
proposed stabilisation force under the overall control
of U.S. Central Command is likely to dig itself in.

Therefore, if the Siniora government accedes to the
deployment of the kind of force George W. Bush and
Tony Blair have in mind, it might as well forget about
asserting sovereign control over its "entire
territory" for the foreseeable future.

But more dangerous than any symbolic affront to
national honour what this will entail is the very real
possibility that the `robust' international force
would be no more effective in disarming and defeating
Hizbollah than the Israeli armed forces have been in
the past two weeks.

Eventually, as Anglo-American casualties mount,
sectarian militias are likely to be promoted as a
conscious military strategy to undermine and contain
Hizbollah. If the Lebanese people are lucky, the clock
will be turned back to the chaos and mayhem that
plagued them in the 1980s. If they are unlucky, they
will become the next Iraq.

There is, of course, another alternative, if only the
world could find a way to insist that the U.S. and
Israel agree to it.

The starting point has to be the Israeli recognition
of a simple fact: that it is Israel's legacy of
disastrous wars against Lebanon that lies at the root
of the present problem.

Tel Aviv cannot take refuge under the claim that
Hizbollah attacked first. Israel remains in illegal
possession of Lebanese territory - the Sheba Farms -
and is thus an occupying power.

Secondly, there has hardly been a day since its
withdrawal from Lebanon two years ago that Israel has
not violated Lebanese air space or territorial waters.

Thirdly, Israel has refused to provide the Lebanese
government with a map of the thousands of landmines it
buried throughout its erstwhile occupation zone in
southern Lebanon, leading to the death and maiming of
Lebanese civilians on an almost monthly basis.

Fourthly, it is Israel that first placed civilians,
including its own citizens, at risk by
indiscriminately bombing Lebanese towns and villages.

Despite these provocations, the Lebanese people and
government are entitled to question the wisdom of
Hizbollah in unilaterally undertaking a mission to
abduct two Israeli soldiers from across the Blue Line.
And the seven-point formula presented by Prime
Minister Siniora contains within it all the elements
necessary for peacefully resolving the ongoing
conflict as well as addressing the security concerns
of Israel.

In a nutshell, what the Lebanese government and all
major parties in parliament (including Hizbollah) are
saying is that there should first be an unconditional
and immediate ceasefire.

A 48-hour suspension of air attacks is not the same
thing. The ceasefire would then be followed by a
number of steps, including an exchange of prisoners by
both sides; the return by Israel of the Sheba Farms to
Lebanon; an independent probe into the indiscriminate
bombing Israel launched; the deployment of the
Lebanese army all the way down to the border with
Israel; the disarming of Hizbollah as an independent
militia following national consultations; the
provision by Israel of maps indicating the location of
its land mines in southern Lebanon; and, finally, the
deployment of a U.N.-led blue helmet force, which
would help the Lebanese army ensure that Lebanon is
never again attacked by Israel.

This is the big package the Security Council must act
upon when it meets this week to resolve the crisis
caused by Israel's latest aggression. Substituting
this package for the one-point agenda of disarming
Hizbollah through military means and attempting to
dictate a broader political settlement with the
Damocles Sword of Israeli air strikes hanging over
Lebanon will only make matters worse.



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