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> On Feb 28, 2014, at 11:12 AM, Louis Proyect <l...@panix.com> wrote:
> 
> If Ukraine is about to undergo a Greek-style austerity program, that will 
> direct anger at the government, not at the Kremlin...Call me old-fashioned 
> but I think that imposing austerity will force Ukrainians to seek a permanent 
> solution to their woes. That's something nationalism has no answer for.

It's a possibility which concerns The Economist, and therefore, one can safely 
assume, the US and EU elites whose views it reflects.

The overthrow of the Yanukovych regime, the magazine observes, has "made two 
things clear. One is that the government is going to be controlled by Yulia 
Tymoshenko, Mr Yanukovych’s archrival, who was in prison until February 
22nd...More importantly, it demonstrated the level of Maidan’s mistrust of 
established politicians and its refusal to delegate the power it has won.

"The appointment of the interior minister, Arsen Avakov, was actually vetoed by 
Maidan. Vladimir Parasyuk, one of the Maidan leaders, said: 'As a citizen of 
Ukraine I won’t allow this. My conscience won’t let me.' He said the interim 
government had one night to decide, but it must present a new candidate. 
'Maidan will not disperse,' he went on. 'We will be a controlling organ and 
they should know that if they betray us, we will come to each one of them and 
demand answers on behalf of our dead comrades—the heroes of Ukraine.' The crowd 
cheered.

"None of the politicians, including the three opposition leaders Arseny 
Yatsenyuk, Vitaly Klitschko, a former boxer, and Oleh Tyagnibok, are trusted by 
Maidan. Witness the reaction to Ms Tymoshenko’s appearance on Maidan after her 
release from prison. In the Orange revolution she was treated like a messiah. 
This time, while people were glad to see that she had been freed, they knew 
better than to put their fate in her hands—or those of any other politician for 
that matter."

The "mistrust of established politicians" and evident refusal of the mass 
movement "to delegate the power it has won" is what in The Economist's view 
distinguishes the current uprising from the Orange Revolution to which it has 
often been compared:

"This revolution is more important than the Orange revolution of 2004, which 
was a response to Mr Yanukovych’s election to the presidency through a 
fraudulent run-off eventually overturned by the supreme court. While the other 
post-Soviet revolution at around the same time—Georgia’s 2003 Rose 
revolution—succeeded in resetting its country’s direction, the Orange 
revolution foundered. 

"Ukraine’s revolution-yet-to-be-named was largely brought about by the failure 
of that previous, more peaceful but frustratingly unsuccessful uprising to 
change the country’s dysfunctional political culture or build bridges between 
its regions, which have little by way of history to unite them. And what then 
degenerated into bitter farce may yet end up, this time round, in 
tragedy...There is little by way of an elite devoted to forging a new, modern 
nation state; the possibility of failure, a descent into chaos, 
insurrection—notably in the Crimea—or even secession remains stark.

The magazine supports the contention that austerity may well bring the class 
and ideological contradictions in the movement to the fore:

"Ukraine is in dire need of some sort of rescue package from the IMF and the EU 
if it is not soon to run out of cash. Any such support will be conditional on 
the country finally committing itself to structural reforms, including cuts in 
its vast energy subsidies, and to curbing corruption. The first will bring 
prompt pain to almost all citizens, the second will be resisted by many 
functionaries.

"For such commitments to merit credence, Ukraine needs a legitimate government 
that will sweep away the old political set-up—which is also what Maidan is 
demanding. The problem is that Maidan was not the only player in the 
revolution. A less visible battle has been going on between various Ukrainian 
oligarchs and the members of Mr Yanukovych’s extended family who took their 
place at the trough. These oligarchs used their money, influence and political 
fronts to pile on pressure.

"But although Mr Yanukovych provided oligarchs and Maidan with a common enemy 
in the run up to the revolution, the allies could well turn into adversaries in 
the aftermath. The oligarchs and their political place-men are creatures of the 
dysfunctional state that Maidan rejects; some will surely seek to use the 
revolution to regain their lost interests and restore the pre-Yanukovych status 
quo."

http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21597974-can-ukraine-find-any-leaders-who-will-live-up-aspirations-its-battered-victorious
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