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Louis and others have been highly critical of those who have drawn attention to 
the conflict between NATO and Russia over Ukraine, ostensibly because these 
same "neo-Stalinists, tankies, conspiracists" etc. and their dupes on the left 
have focused on it to detract from and misrepresent the more important mass 
democratic struggle in the country represented by Euromaidan. In fact, Ukraine 
has been a textbook example of how there can be no separation, especially in 
times of crisis, in relations between rival states and relations between the 
rival classes and/or nationalities they support on the ground. 

The complex interplay of these forces is currently revealed in the standoff 
between the new government based on the Ukranian-speaking majority and the 
Russian-speaking minority resisting it in the heavily industrialized Donbas 
region to the east. The intransigence of the Donbas protesters can't be 
explained other than in relation to the sharp disagreements between the 
European NATO countries about how strongly to to risk a confrontation with 
Russia over Ukraine. If there were unanimity within NATO and the EU about 
economic sanctions against Russia and military support to the Kiev authorities, 
the Donbas rebellion and the uneasy support for it by the Putin government 
would have dissolved by now. It may still do so under Russian pressure 
resulting from last week's accord with the US and EU in Geneva but that is not 
yet clear. More generally, the conflict between the western and eastern regions 
of the country can't be explained other than in the context of their 
geographic, cultural, and economic ties to the EU nations and to Russia 
respectively and the centrifugal class and ethnic pressures which these exert 
inside Ukraine.

*       *       *

Ukraine Accord Doubts Grow as Protesters Refuse to Disarm
By Stepan Kravchenko, Sangwon Yoon and Volodymyr Verbyany 
Bloomberg News
April 19, 2014 

Pro-Russian protesters, testing Russia’s willingness to help defuse the Ukraine 
crisis, are refusing to lay down arms even as the interim Ukrainian government 
pledged to abide by an accord reached in Geneva.

Acting Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk’s government suspended its 
anti-terrorist operations in the country’s east and expressed a readiness to 
pursue constitutional revisions. A protest leader in Donetsk refused to disarm 
and vacate seized property and public places until Yatsenyuk’s administration 
steps down.

The discord adds to skepticism about whether Ukraine, the U.S., and the 
European Union will be able to use the Geneva accord to hold Russian President 
Vladimir Putin accountable for de-escalating tensions he and his associates 
deny they’ve had any role in creating. U.S. and EU officials yesterday 
reiterated their readiness to deepen sanctions against Russia, which they say 
has massed troops near Ukraine’s border and is fomenting unrest after annexing 
Crimea last month.

The developments don’t mean Russia is “necessarily reneging on the deal, as it 
is more of an effort for them to test the deal” and see how they can “avoid 
sanctions without trying to change the situation on the ground,” said John 
Herbst, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine.

Full: 
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-18/ukraine-accord-doubts-grow-as-protesters-refuse-to-disarm.html

Energy Needs Curb Eastern EU Hunger for Russian Sanctions
By John Fraher  
Bloomberg News
April 18, 2014 

The European Union’s eastern members, once united in their opposition to Soviet 
rule, are now split over how to respond to Vladimir Putin’s Ukrainian incursion.

In one camp, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk and his Baltic allies argue that 
the EU and NATO need to face up to their historic responsibility and respond to 
Russian aggression with tougher sanctions. Others argue that such a stance is 
unrealistic given Europe’s dependence on Russian energy.

At a recent EU summit, conversation turned to energy sanctions, according to a 
person at the talks. At that point, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban 
intervened to say he can’t support a clampdown on Russia when Hungary relies on 
it for 80 percent of his energy, according to the person, who spoke on 
condition of anonymity because the debate was private.

The split highlights how Europe’s dependence on Russian energy is hobbling its 
ability to craft a united response that will deter Putin as he extends Russia’s 
reach into Ukraine. While the EU targeted individuals in initial rounds of 
sanctions and is threatening Russia with economic measures, it’s not clear how 
punitive they will be and will require unanimity to pass.

Full: 
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-18/putin-gas-splits-eastern-eu-over-russia-sanctions.html



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