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Grexit: end of the illusion
by John Weeks
openDemocracy, June 10
<https://opendemocracy.net/can-europe-make-it/john-weeks/grexit-end-of-illusion>

The negotiations between the Troika and Greece are a sham. Greek
submission to the neoliberal EU project or forced exit was the Troika
game plan from the moment Syriza formed a government.

[John Weeks is Professor Emeritus, School of Oriental & African
Studies, University of London, and author of 'Economics of the 1%: How
mainstream economics serves the rich, obscures reality and distorts
policy', Anthem Press, published earlier this year.]

Appearance and reality

For five months we have watched the attempt by the government of
Greece to renegotiate its debt with the notorious Troika (the European
Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary
Fund, with the German government very much the 500 pound cliché in the
room).

Or, so it appeared. We can now know that the reality was and is quite
different from appearances. The Syriza government and its creditors
are not and were not in conflict over debt servicing, but something
much more fundamental in which there could be no compromise. Greece
has the only EU government that opposes the alarmingly successful
project to solidify a neoliberal Europe.

Because of that opposition there will be no "agreement" between the
Greek government and the Troika. Indeed, from the moment Syriza formed
a government only two outcomes were possible: 1) the replacement of
the Syriza government with one again obedient to the neoliberal
project, or 2) or expulsion from the euro zone and the European Union.
With the Greek government enjoying overwhelming support, expulsion
becomes the only possibility.

The question for the Troika is, how? The absence of any formal
mechanism for expulsion of a member country from either the euro zone
or the EU quickly became the central problem of the Troika. This
problem would be and will be solved by creating conditions such that
it appears that the Syriza government chooses the outcome the Troika
desires.

That is the real story. It is very simple - force the Greek government
to withdraw in circumstances that allow the Troika to deny
culpability. Without knowing it, we have been following the manoeuvres
by the Troika to achieve that end. The drawn-out nature of the
conflict is a Troika strategy, to drain the Greek government of money
until it must accept what Prime Minister called "absurd" demands or
choose an increasingly costly exit from the euro zone.
. . .
At the beginning of June the Greek government had a payment to make to
the IMF. Given the inflexibility of the Troika, the announcement by
the Greek government to use a procedural device within IMF rule to
postpone payment is the rational response. I do not interpret this as
a move of desperation by a "cash-strapped, bankrupt" government.
Rather, it reflects the need to conserve euros for the long-expected
transition to a national currency, when the euro like the dollar will
be part of the government's foreign exchange reserves.

The Greek public debt cannot be paid in full and will not be. Even the
cast-iron austerian Wolfgang Schäuble must know that.  Greek
government submission to the neoliberal EU project or forced exit was
the Troika game plan from the moment Syriza formed a government.

Soon the negotiations that-never-were will no longer be. The challenge
facing the Greek government will be to convert expulsion from the euro
zone into escape from neoliberal Europe.

full at: 
<https://opendemocracy.net/can-europe-make-it/john-weeks/grexit-end-of-illusion>

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