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The problem with drawing sweeping conclusions from the local election results is obvious. Only a third of seats were contested, a disproportionate number of them Conservative held. No London seats were contested as far as I know. And a fairly small minority of voters participates in such elections anyway, many of them voting in ways that they would not in a general election. This point would have been moot in 2015, when these elections overlapped with the general election, and thus achieved a comparable turnout. But the turnout appears to be significantly lower this time.
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