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(This article contains an excellent graph which can not be attached at
this list. The article itself is behind a paywall. If you are interested
in this graph or if you would like to get the longer CSIS report on
which this article is based, you can contact me offline.)
Political protests have become more widespread and more frequent
The rising trend in global unrest is likely to continue
The Economist, Mar 10th 2020,
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FOR MANY Westerners, the mention of mass-protest movements conjures
images of long-haired youth demonstrating against the Vietnam war in
1968, or the toppling of the Berlin Wall in 1989. But the world has
experienced more political uprisings in the past few years than ever
before. In 2019 alone there were protests on every continent and across
114 countries—from Hong Kong to Haiti, Bolivia to Britain.
Such unrest is part of a growing trend, according to a new report by
researchers at the Center of Strategic and International Studies (CSIS),
a Washington-based think-tank. Using data from the Global Database of
Events, Language, and Tone—a repository of news articles—Samuel Brannen,
Christian Haig and Katherine Schmidt found that the number of mass
protests globally has increased by 11.5% per year, on average, since
2009. (Mass protests are defined as civilian anti-government protests,
regardless of size, and excluding riots and protests against non-state
entities). Even after adjusting for population growth, the authors
reckon that the number of demonstrators who have taken to the streets in
recent years exceeds that of either the anti-Vietnam War movement or the
Civil Rights movement.
Recent protests, despite their large numbers, seem more disparate than
those of the past. Many share similar themes—including slow economic
growth, climate change and government corruption—but are sparked by
local events. In Hong Kong protests triggered by a bill allowing
criminal suspects to be extradited to mainland China spiralled into a
broader struggle against the Chinese government’s influence. In Chile
demonstrations fuelled by a modest rise in subway fares broadened into
anger about inequality and the cost of living. Results have been mixed.
Some have brought about changes in government; others have been met with
brutal repression.
Smartphones and social media have revolutionised the way in which
demonstrations are organised, advertised and sustained. (Many
governments, including those of India, Pakistan, Syria and Turkey, have
responded to unrest by shutting down the internet.) Such tools also aid
the spread of information, both real and fake, deepening existing
political divides. None of these conditions are likely to change soon.
Mass protests have existed for centuries. But their increased frequency
may be here to stay.
--
Revolutionär-Kommunistische Organisation BEFREIUNG
(Österreichische Sektion der RCIT,
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