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On Mon, Oct 11, 2010 at 8:04 PM, Leonardo Kosloff <holmof...@hotmail.com> wrote:

>
> Hi Prof. Perelman,

First of all, I don't think we use titles here.

> (by the way, you don't have any relation to Grigori Perelman?, he's one of the
> latest's winner of the Fields medalists -the biggest prize in math-, but he 
> rejected
> it http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grigori_Perelman),

I don't know if we are related, but his behavior suggests that we might be.

> Anyway, as I was reading I found this remark:
>
> "The economy would eventually recover from the crises, but
> these downturns could be long-lasting unless something else intervened,
> such as World War II.  The
> competitive pressures brought on by the economic crises encouraged replacement
> investment and the search for improved techniques, which eventually helped to
> make the economy stronger.  This process
> created enormous human costs, especially because recovery could many years."
>
>
> From what I've read on the 30's, mostly from Marxists, that
> seems to be the case. Yet, last week I found a new article by Anwar Shaikh, he
> says that

What Shaikh says is true.  The New Deal was having a positive  effect
on the economy, but in 1937, the budget cutters pulled the rug out
from the New Deal & the economy fell back down again until WW II.

I should have been more clear in what you cited.  Policies can shorten
the recovery time, but in the absence of such policies, a crisis can
take decades to recover.

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA
95929

530 898 5321
fax 530 898 5901
http://michaelperelman.wordpress.com

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