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Egypt is Not Tunisia, But...

Saturday 15 January 2011

by: Emad Mekay   |  *Inter Press Service |
Report*<http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=54143>

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Cairo - "Where can I find a Tunisian flag?" The question flooded Egyptian
blogs, tweeter and Facebook pages minutes after news that popular protests
had forced out long-time Tunisian dictator Zine el Abidine Ben Ali.

Egypt is feeling the ripple effect from Tunisia already. Egypt’s 85 million
people constitute a third of the Arab population. Until Tunisians ousted
their autocratic ruler Friday evening after his 23 years in power, Egypt, a
regional trendsetter, was seen as the first candidate for regime change by
popular uprising in the Arab world.

John R. Bradley penned a book in June 2008 predicting a revolution in Egypt.
He said the country was slowly disintegrating under the twin pressures of "a
ruthless military dictatorship" at home and a flawed Middle East policy in
Washington.

In his book, ‘Inside Egypt: The Land of the Pharaohs on the Brink of a
Revolution’, Bradely argued that Egypt was "the most brutal Arab state where
torture and corruption are endemic" and it would therefore be "the next
domino to fall" to popular anger. The book was banned in Egypt.

Today the view from Cairo is that the military-backed regime of 82-year-old
President Hosni Mubarak is far more formidable, and more subtle, than the
brutal regime of Ben Ali that alienated its own people, and failed to handle
the unrest when it first erupted Dec. 17. Mubarak’s supporters say he
carries the public with him, and has a wide support base that includes the
army and many businessmen.

"We should remember that he has survived at least three assassination
attempts and hundreds of protests and demonstrations against food prices and
other issues," says Khaled Mahmoud, an independent analyst. "Mubarak is
simply much stronger than Ben Ali, and enjoys the backing of the country’s
most powerful institution; the army."
full --       http://www.truth-out.org/egypt-not-tunisia-but66899
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