stratfor.com Colombia’s Paramilitary Transforms into Guerrilla Force 2320 GMT, 000622 Chances for peace in Colombia took another blow June 20. Colombia’s infamous far-right paramilitary group intensified its opposition to the peace process by kidnapping the brother of a top governmental peace negotiator. The kidnapping is purportedly designed to pressure the government into giving the United Self Defense Forces of Colombia (AUC) a seat at the ongoing peace negotiations. In reality, the AUC is attempting to gain admittance to the talks in order to sabotage them. So far, President Andres Pastrana has resisted the AUC’s demands. Now, with the safety of governmental officials threatened, Pastrana will be forced to combat the escalation of the paramilitary’s activities instead of ignoring it. The AUC is switching strategies in hopes of forcing the government’s hand. This is the first time the AUC has blatantly challenged the government by kidnapping the brother of a peace negotiator. Until now, the rightist group, led by the outlaw Carlos Castaño, only attacked rural villages and local politicians purportedly connected to Colombian rebels. The new tactic won’t likely work, however, because inviting the AUC to participate in the peace negotiations would effectively end the talks. The AUC intends to undermine the peace talks by threatening the government, specifically officials involved in the negotiations. In April, the government accused the paramilitaries of plotting to kill the High Commissioner for Peace Victor G. Ricardo. Although Castaño denied the allegations, Ricardo later resigned. Then, on June 21, Castaño admitted kidnapping regional lawmaker Guillermo Valencia, brother of Fabio Valencia, a top official involved in peace negotiations with the largest guerrilla group, the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). A week before, the AUC roundly criticized Valencia for being “too generous” in the negotiations, reported Agence France Presse on June 20. A day after the kidnapping, Interior Minister Humberto de la Calle Lombana said the kidnapping posed a serious threat to the peace process, reported BBC. The AUC and its supporters adamantly oppose the peace process. According to the U.S. State Department, hawkish members within the government and the military support the paramilitaries. They have long fought the rebels and see the talks as surrender. Already the AUC has decried the concession of a southeastern Switzerland-sized swath of territory to the FARC. The paramilitaries also contest the government’s plan to create another demilitarized zone in the north for the ELN. Indeed, Pastrana’s administration persists in the negotiations, despite the glacial pace of the talks. Leaders from both the government and the FARC met earlier this week in Caracas with Venezuelan Foreign Minister Jose Vincente Rangel. The officials met to prepare for a fundraising mission aimed at garnering international support for the peace talks, reported Venezuela Online News June 19. In addition, the proposed $1.3 billion U.S. aid package to Colombia that had been stalled in the Senate finally received tentative endorsement on June 22. Despite the endorsement, the measure must still receive final approval and be reconciled with a conflicting plan approved by the U.S. House of Representatives. In the meantime, the AUC hopes to prevent further movement in the peace process. The AUC and its backers are now gearing up to challenge Pastrana’s administration on every inch of progress made in the negotiations. The kidnapping of the governmental official is just the first step. Continued momentum will also bring increased violence. The once United Self-Defense Force has now become just another guerrilla group. The difference lies in its base of support. As long as elements of the government continue to undermine each other, the negotiations will continue to flounder. The AUC is simply the hawks’ most violent weapon. --- from list [EMAIL PROTECTED] ---