As I frame this as a hypothesis - it is clearly thus far speculative. However: The signs look to me as if the Israeli government has tried to provoke the Iranian government into a fully fledged war. Israel took the step to illegally (by international law) attack and kill the Iranian members of diplomatic staff and others in the Syrian state. No one contests this as far as I can see. No one of the imperialist nations also condemned this action. It was a clear attempt to "internationalize" the current awful - but localised 'war' in Gaza. The Israeli government wanted other countries to be drawn in, a situation that would ultimately serve its purposes - to physically expand its borders while it was continuing to knock off its pesky problem of Palestinians in its own borders.
Trouble is neither the USA nor Iran - wanted a full out war at this time. But Iran was not to lose face. It had to show somehow that it would not tolerate repeats of this. But - Iran has been openly signalling for the past 6-7 days that it "would respond". The USA equally has been openly signalling that they do not want a full scale war in the Middle east. Basically as far s I can see all the many missiles sent up where intercepted by USA Air force. They had been relieved from any other responsibliity by the British squadrons sent to Cyprus - who announced they would take over 'routine assignments' to free up the USAF that is stationed there. I suspect but I obviously cannot prove, that they have been in close touch and have concocted this enormous (and terribly worrying) charade. Iran gains face. USA shows it has 'defended' Israel, even while very mildly 'rebuking' its ally for being a naughty child and going a wee bit too far. Both USA and Iran thereby de-fang Netanyahu's intent to draw them into the theatre with their boots on the ground. A delicate waltz of course, on a slippery floor. Dangerous for the world's peoples; and a full international war would likely not have boded well for the Palestinians. None of the imperial forces (USA, UK, Germany, France... say for now the EU, and NATO - ranged against Russia and China) are yet ready. Their populations are already fired up about the Palestinian cause, and it would be right now a few steps beyond what they can pull over their peoples. The latter two and weaker imperialists (Russia and China) are too engrossed in sorting out their own back-yards (Ukraine and the South China Seas). As far as I know they have been pretty quiet about most of recent events. (? I am unsure but I think this is true ?- I have not checked out their various public statements right now). Hypotheses demand challenges to their assumptions. Any 'proofs' or 'disproofs' to the above? Thanks for considering, H -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#29894): https://groups.io/g/marxmail/message/29894 Mute This Topic: https://groups.io/mt/105515975/21656 -=-=- POSTING RULES & NOTES #1 YOU MUST clip all extraneous text when replying to a message. #2 This mail-list, like most, is publicly & permanently archived. #3 Subscribe and post under an alias if #2 is a concern. #4 Do not exceed five posts a day. -=-=- Group Owner: [email protected] Unsubscribe: https://groups.io/g/marxmail/leave/8674936/21656/1316126222/xyzzy [[email protected]] -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
