On Tue, Jul 2, 2024 at 11:41 PM, RKOB wrote:

> 
> 
> 
> We have repeatedly dealt with the historic decline of U.S. imperialism —
> the hegemonic power among capitalist states since 1945 — and the rise of
> new rivals, mainly China and Russia. While the US is still a leading power
> it is no longer an absolute hegemon that dominates the world economy and
> politics.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> Read more at 
> https://links.org.au/us-dollar-and-pound-sterling-role-currencies-uneven-process-decline-hegemonic-imperialist-powers
> 
> 
> 

The paper compares the decline of the British and US empires in the 20th and 
21st centuries, respectively, using as common metrics of comparison national 
industrial output,  share of world trade and capital export,  warship tonnage, 
and share of global reserve currencies.  The trends are similar between then 
and now, and we know it turned out very badly back then.  What about 
dissimilarities?  The rapid growth of industrial output and Chinese strength 
came from big capital exporting jobs from the global west to east.  Supply 
chains are now very long and labor-optimized leading to brittle 
inter-dependencies and unpredictable supply disruption, as shown during the 
pandemic and its aftermath.  There is also far more capital inter-dependency  
in 2024 than 1914 that merits consideration when making comparisons.

thanks, Mark


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