[not on the thread topic]

Avram, please prove that Mark B supports the "permanent colonization of Ukraine 
by Russia"? Even Ukrainians don't support that. Having said that it would be a 
very political stunt if the AFU announced they are going to hold a referendum 
there (with a 98% approval vote of course!) to announce the citizens of Kursk 
want to join Ukraine! That would be great! Such "faux-referendums" are part and 
parcel of Russian's colonization/annexation program in eastern Ukraine.

The AFU seems to continue their expansion into Kursk. The RF have built a long 
West/East trench right south of the main hwy connection the northern part of 
Kursk but south of the city (cities) along that highway. This huge 
embarrassment for Putin changes the military calculus some...it is hard to see 
how this will actually help Ukraine in the east unless very large numbers of 
troops move from the front-lines there to Kursk. There is already evidence, 
provided by Russian military bloggers that this is the case. We will see if 
this makes a difference.

The RF continue to make gains in the east of occupied Ukraine. I will say one 
thing. Contrary to all the military opiners out there, this is only partially 
an intelligence failure on part of the Russians. The Russians knew that the AFU 
were staging troops 15 miles to the south of the Kursk border. There is no 
disputing this anymore. However...the very understandable thought process given 
the massive number of Russian incursions into Ukraine in this area, was these 
troops were positioned as blocking brigades to confront any Russian attacks. 
That is entirely reasonable. They couldn't of known that just the opposite was 
occurring, that the AFU were staging an incursion. The troops were told 3 days 
ahead of time what the plan was by any failure was here: no AFU symps of the 
Russians reported this to them. Thus, a complete surprise.

David


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