Europe’s harshest Israel critics aren’t driven by Islamism or antisemitism, report suggests Study to be released before International Holocaust Remembrance Day finds diplomatic failures, national narratives and virtue signaling in countries leading charge against Israel By Zev Stub<https://www.timesofisrael.com/writers/zev-stub/> Follow 8 January 2026, 6:25 pm Share https://www.timesofisrael.com/europes-harshest-israel-critics-arent-driven-by-islamism-or-antisemitism-report-suggests/?utm_source=The+Weekend+Edition&utm_campaign=weekend-edition-2026-01-11&utm_medium=email <https://www.timesofisrael.com/europes-harshest-israel-critics-arent-driven-by-islamism-or-antisemitism-report-suggests/#openwebComments> 26<https://www.timesofisrael.com/europes-harshest-israel-critics-arent-driven-by-islamism-or-antisemitism-report-suggests/#openwebComments> [A woman wearing a Palestinian flag pushes a stroller on a crosswalk outside EU headquarters in Brussels, May 26, 2024. (AP/Virginia Mayo)]<https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2026/01/AP24147435346101-1.jpg> A woman wearing a Palestinian flag pushes a stroller on a crosswalk outside EU headquarters in Brussels, May 26, 2024. (AP/Virginia Mayo) Several European countries that are most critical of Israel may not be driven by classical antisemitism or a large Muslim population, as is commonly believed, but a surprising mix of factors not often considered, according to an upcoming report from Tel Aviv University. The Muslim vote is relatively insignificant in the eight European countries considered most critical of Israel — Ireland, Iceland, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Norway, Slovenia, and Spain. But most of them have national narratives that are unencumbered by guilt over the Holocaust, making critiques of the Jewish state less fraught, and their relatively modest foreign policy footprint also means they both receive scant diplomatic attention from Jerusalem and are not putting much on the line by raising their voices against Israel, according to Prof. Uriya Shavit, who authored the study. The findings are set to be included in an annual report to be published by TAU’s Center for the Study of Contemporary European Jewry ahead of International Holocaust Remembrance Day on January 27, analyzing the year’s significant developments in the fight against antisemitism and racism. This year’s report, entitled “For a Righteous Cause,” relies on dozens of in-depth interviews with diplomats, professors, and journalists, as well as analysis of public opinion surveys, government statements and media reports. “Some of the most important insights came from these discussions,” Shavit, who heads the center, told The Times of Israel ahead of the report’s publication. “I would never have imagined, for example, how closely national narratives in Luxembourg and Slovenia support pro-Palestinian sentiments in those countries.” The governments in question, which the report refers to collectively as the P-8, are those that have emerged as the most consistent and vocal critics of Israel’s military and settlement policies since the Hamas-led attack of October 7, 2023. Many have taken concrete actions, such as formally recognizing Palestinian statehood, calling for European Union-wide sanctions, or suspending arms trade with Israel. [https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2024/09/AP22187379605864-640x400.jpg]European lawmakers gather to vote at the European Parliament, in Strasbourg, eastern France, July 6, 2022. (Jean-Francois Badias/AP) Belgium is unique among the countries on the list for having policies that have actually shifted in Israel’s favor as the war progressed, due to changing domestic political dynamics, Shavit noted. The report “changes the way we conveniently think about the reasons for the anti-Israeli wave in Europe” and calls for Israel to strengthen its presence in the smaller European countries it has largely ignored, he said. “There are small and large countries in Europe,” Shavit said. “But there are no unimportant ones.” The Muslim misconception Many in Israel, including the country’s leaders, have attributed European criticism of Israel to both ingrained hatred of Jews and political pandering to a growing Muslim population, but according to Shavit, the conception is largely misguided. [https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2026/01/WhatsApp-Image-2026-01-06-at-11.49.47-AM-300x480.jpeg]Prof. Uriya Shavit, head of the Center for the Study of Contemporary European Jewry at Tel Aviv University (Courtesy/Center for the Study of Contemporary European Jewry) “If Europe is being ‘taken over’ by Muslims, as some people claim, you would expect to see a correlation in these countries, but we actually see the opposite,” Shavit said. “That narrative may make life easier for some Israelis, but it oversimplifies things.” If approximately six percent of Europe’s population is Muslim, as suggested by various surveys, then six of the P-8 countries fall below the European average, according to the report. Iceland is just 1% Muslim, the figure in Ireland is 2%, and Slovenia, Malta, and Luxembourg are 3-4% Muslim. In Spain, slightly less than 5% of the population is Muslim, but no more than half of the Muslims have citizenship, and very few have made an impression in the political sphere. Norway and Belgium have higher proportions of Muslims, but their political influence likely is not a significant factor in those countries’ positions, Shavit said. [https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2025/10/AFP__20251011__78FK2KN__v1__HighRes__BritainIsraelPalestiniansConflictDemo-e1760190167283-640x400.jpg] Pro-Palestinian, anti-Israel protesters hold placards and wave flags in central London, on October 11, 2025. (HENRY NICHOLLS / AFP) “I’m not saying that there is no impact on political discourse in countries like France and Great Britain, where there are large Muslim communities,” Shavit noted. “But it may indicate that their influence isn’t as significant as commonly believed.” The problem with not showing up More significant than the presence of Muslims in these countries is the absence of Israelis, Shavit said. Israel has no embassy or resident ambassador in five of the P-8 countries, leaving the diplomatic arena wide open for pro-Palestinian actors. In the three countries that do have embassies — Norway, Belgium, and Spain — the Jewish communities are relatively small, and pro-Zionist voices carry limited weight. “You can’t underestimate the importance of having diplomats who are seasoned professionals on the ground, which is the responsibility of Israel’s Foreign Ministry,” Shavit said. “Even in a world of global media and social networks, people still primarily consume content within national contexts. There is no substitute for sustained personal engagement with opinion leaders. Malta has a resident Palestinian ambassador but no Israeli one.” He derided attempts at public diplomacy as consisting of “domestic-facing gimmicks that have little to no impact abroad.” [https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2024/05/F240523YS108-640x400.jpg]<https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2024/05/F240523YS108.jpg>Spanish ambassador Ana Sálomon Pérez, Norwegian ambassador Per Egil Selvaag and Irish ambassador Sonya McGuinness watch footage of female soldiers being abducted from the Nahal Oz base on October 7 at the Foreign Ministry in Jerusalem, May 23, 2024. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90) The Foreign Ministry declined to comment to The Times of Israel on the report. Shavit cited the case of Salman Tamimi, a Palestinian who moved to Iceland in 1971, when there were just a handful of Muslims in the country. Tamimi later founded the Iceland-Palestine Association and became an outspoken campaigner for Palestinian causes, eventually helping facilitate the country’s recognition of a Palestinian state in 2011. “His success wasn’t because he was so effective at what he did; it was because there was no one around to counter him,” Shavit said. “Whenever he was on TV, there wasn’t even anyone from the Israeli side who could come to the studio.”
Israel must ensure that it has embassies in all European states, no matter their size, Shavit said. [https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2025/02/fm-saar-inaugurated-the-israeli-embassy-in-moldova-1-640x400.jpg]<https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2025/02/fm-saar-inaugurated-the-israeli-embassy-in-moldova-1.jpg>Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar, left, with Moldova Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mihai Popsoi, inaugurates Israel’s first ever embassy in Moldova, February 4, 2025. (Shlomi Amsalem/GPO) “Politicians who claim that Europe is lost and that losing it would not be a major disaster are wrong on both counts,” Shavit concludes. “Europe is not lost — but if Israel loses it, the consequences will be severe.” Liberal democracies and narratives A few other major trends are driving anti-Israel sentiments in the P-8, and while none are unique to those countries, Shavit said, the combinations reveal some telling insights. The first, perhaps unsurprisingly, is that all of these countries are governed by coalitions led by left or center parties or coalitions in which such parties play a significant role. These governments “speak a very different language than Israel in terms of mainstream European democracy and liberal thought,” Shavit said. Leftist, left-center, or broad coalitions led by leftist politicians have been in power since the beginning of the war in Spain, Ireland, Iceland, Malta, Norway, and Slovenia, the report said. Belgium and Luxembourg are “exceptions that do not disprove the rule,” with coalitions that lean to the right but still require support from liberal parties. [https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2025/10/AP25277381356118-e1759577909237-640x400.jpg]Pro-Palestinian, anti-Israel demonstrators rally during a protest in Barcelona, Spain, October 4, 2025. (AP/Emilio Morenatti) “That’s also the general trend in Europe and the United States, so Israel can’t afford to have this antagonistic relationship with the Western world that gets increasingly intense,” Shavit said. “A pro-Israel stance that sees annexation of the West Bank or transfer of Palestinians is an idea that simply has no buyers in Europe, and that continues to drive a wedge between these different worldviews.” Many of these countries already had strong anti-Israel sentiments even before the October 7 invasion, and public opinion surveys have shown that the Hamas-led terror onslaught failed to change public perceptions of Israel as the “villain,” even in its immediate aftermath, the survey noted. A lack of Holocaust guilt Perhaps less obvious to most observers is the role of a national narrative about the country’s historical role in the Holocaust. Many of the P-8 countries were neutral during World War II, or their conduct toward Jews during the Holocaust never became central to contemporary public discourse. As a result, they lack a strong sense of historical responsibility toward the Jewish people, making it politically easier to adopt anti-Israel positions, Shavit suggested. “When you speak with German or Austrian officials, there’s always so much apologetics before they can say anything critical about Israel,” he said. “In countries like Britain or Denmark, there’s a sense that they were the ‘good guys’ in the war. Meanwhile, in places like Ireland, Spain, Iceland and Malta, there doesn’t don’t seem to be any sense of historical debt or guilt.” Thus, for example, while criticism of Israel or of Jews is an exceptionally sensitive issue in German politics and culture, these sensitivities “are completely absent from Spanish public discourse,” the report noted. [https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2025/06/AP25156352883522-640x400.jpg]German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul, left, and Israel’s Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar attend a wreath laying ceremony at the Holocaust Memorial in Berlin, Germany, June 5, 2025. (AP Photo/Markus Schreiber) These differences play out in public opinion, not just on the diplomatic level, Shavit noted. A Pew Research Center poll<https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/06/03/most-people-across-24-surveyed-countries-have-negative-views-of-israel-and-netanyahu/> conducted in the spring of 2025 found that European countries surveyed all held unfavorable views of Israel. But Germany, Poland and Hungary had among the lowest levels of people with “very unfavorable” view of Israel. That shows that people in these countries have learned to be more self-restrained with regard to how they speak about Israel, Shavit said. Virtue signaling P-8 countries are also free of another burden, Shavit said — a sense of power that they can actually influence Middle Eastern politics. Unlike larger countries like Germany, France, or the United Kingdom, “none of these countries have the kind of bilateral relations with Israel where this could actually impact anything,” Shavit said. “So they make statements instead. Some might call this virtue signaling.” These countries are not reliant on the United States, nor at the forefront of fighting Russian expansionism, so the stakes are lower, Shavit said. This puts them “in an awkward win-win situation [where] their hostile views regarding Israel have little direct impact, yet involve few risks,” according to the report. [https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2026/01/AFP__20241005__36JD4HF__v3__HighRes__TopshotSpainIsraelPalestinianLebanonWar-640x400.jpg]Demonstrators hold a balloon reading ‘Stop the weapons trade with Israel’ during an anti-Israel rally in solidarity with Palestinian and Lebanese people ahead of the one-year anniversary of the war between Israel and Hamas, in central Madrid on October 5, 2024 (Thomas COEX / AFP) Spain and Slovenia have both taken recent steps that go beyond mere statements, with defense trade embargoes on Israel and boycotts of Israeli products imported from the West Bank, Golan Heights and East Jerusalem. While Slovenia’s boycotts are expected to have only a symbolic impac<https://www.timesofisrael.com/in-symbolic-move-slovenia-bans-west-bank-settlement-imports-over-war-in-gaza/>t, Spain’s are somewhat more significant<https://www.timesofisrael.com/with-new-trade-restrictions-spain-looks-to-trigger-eu-cascade-against-israel/>, and may draw<https://www.timesofisrael.com/with-new-trade-restrictions-spain-looks-to-trigger-eu-cascade-against-israel/> other countries like Ireland to follow. “Even if these countries are relatively small, there are dynamics that can influence others if they can reach a critical mass,” Shavit said. The underdog myth Shavit also found that six of the P-8 countries have national narratives of independence acquired through struggle from a more powerful country, a factor that strengthens perceptions of the Palestinians as a David fighting against an Israeli Goliath. “There is little need to explain why, in the Republic of Ireland, which gained independence after centuries of brutally imposed British rule, such sentiments are strong,” the report said. But Malta, Slovenia, Iceland and Norway all fought for independence at various points, and Luxembourg, Belgium and Spain have complicated national memories of struggles for self-determination. These narratives might have aligned them more with Zionism in 1948 or 1967, Shavit said, but today they are more popularly linked with the Palestinian cause. “In 2026, anyone who sees themself as a David fighting Goliath automatically identifies with the Palestinians,” he said. [https://static-cdn.toi-media.com/www/uploads/2023/11/F231007YM31-640x400.jpg]A Palestinian stands on an Israeli tank at the border fence near the city of Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip after some 3,000 Hamas terrorists burst through the border and entered Israel, slaughtering some 1,200 people, October 7, 2023. (Yousef Mohammed/Flash90) Israel can still rebuild its relationships with European countries, Shavit said. It must open fully functioning embassies in every European country, employ trained communications professionals to interact with media, and encourage more bloggers and influencers to visit the country and experience it for themselves. Officials must reach out to moderate elements within European social democracies, engage in open dialogue, and avoid labeling all criticism and hostile diplomatic initiatives as antisemitism. “Europe is not lost, but the gap between us is growing,” Shavit said. “We have to act.” Jewish Socialist Bund https://Jewish-Socialist-Bund.net https://Jewish-Socialist-Bund.net/JPLO [email protected] -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. 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