To the extent that AI systems will replace humans at their jobs, it will be a gradual phenomenon. It will also be highly uneven, with some jobs and tasks more exposed than others.
Historically, unemployment has temporarily shot up during times of great technological change but then receded as workers have transitioned to new roles. When you average over these technological cycles, unemployment has been surprisingly stable for hundreds of years. The question is why things would be different this time, especially as AI technology as we know it is a gradual evolution of computer technology that has been in widespread use for decades. In most cases, it is more fruitful to think of human jobs being augmented by AI technology than replaced by it. The increased productivity this affords will become expected of them, and AI-assisted writing will become the norm. The same argument can be made for many professions: advertising professionals and editors had to adapt to desktop publishing technology in the 1990s, which streamlined the process of producing printed pages but did not reduce the number of employees in the advertising and publishing industries. At the same time, the lowered cost of producing printed media (and web pages, as the same content was increasingly published both on paper and online) meant that the demand for publishing and advertising became higher than ever. -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- Groups.io Links: You receive all messages sent to this group. View/Reply Online (#41658): https://groups.io/g/marxmail/message/41658 Mute This Topic: https://groups.io/mt/119122339/21656 -=-=- POSTING RULES & NOTES #1 YOU MUST clip all extraneous text when replying to a message. #2 This mail-list, like most, is publicly & permanently archived. #3 Subscribe and post under an alias if #2 is a concern. #4 Do not exceed five posts a day. -=-=- Group Owner: [email protected] Unsubscribe: https://groups.io/g/marxmail/leave/13617172/21656/1316126222/xyzzy [[email protected]] -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
