On Wed, May 27, 2026 at 12:37 PM National Security Archive <[email protected]>
wrote:

> State Department Said “Uneven Climate Exposure” Likely to Widen Gap
> Between Northern and Southern Europeю Climate Change a “Compounding Factor”
> in Darfur. Pentagon War Game Examined “Environmental Security Challenges”
> and “Adversary Attempts to Exploit
> Them" ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
> ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
> ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
> ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌
> ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
> ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌
>
> *The Climate Security Threat: Pentagon War Games, European Political Risks
> and Darfur Violence*
>
> <https://default.salsalabs.org/Tad0b62b8-b80e-429c-8788-cbc674776bde/12238b38-d371-4bc9-b2b2-ab5a3bdb144f>
> *State Department Said “Uneven Climate Exposure” Likely to Widen Gap
> Between Northern and Southern Europe* *Climate Change a “Compounding
> Factor” in Darfur* *Pentagon War Game Examined “Environmental Security
> Challenges” and “Adversary Attempts to Exploit Them"*
>
> *Washington, D.C., May 27, 2026* - State Department intelligence analysts
> predicted widening political fissures in Europe and warned about the rise
> of populist and radical political parties in response to climate action by
> European governments, according to a Bureau of Intelligence and Research
> (INR) assessment from 2021. The report is one of four newly released
> records on the Biden administration’s climate policies that were obtained
> under the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) and published today by the
> National Security Archive.
>
> The reports shed light on how the intelligence community, the Pentagon,
> and other U.S. agencies assessed climate-driven instability across Europe
> and East Africa while attempting to develop a coordinated
> “whole-of-government” approach to climate security. The documents also
> reveal the extent to which the intelligence and defense communities rely on
> predictive modeling, open-source and third-party climate analysis, and
> interagency coordination to anticipate and prepare for future risks.
>
> The new revelations come as the Trump administration is pursuing an
> aggressive campaign to remove government data and documents related to
> climate change and other important issues from public access.
>
> The records offer some hints as to the intelligence community’s priorities
> around the time that the National Intelligence Council published its
> first National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on climate change, providing
> previously unknown and undisclosed context about the Biden administration’s
> climate security concerns and its coordination with its allies.
>
> This briefing book is part of a National Security Archive effort to
> illuminate the record on the intelligence and defense approaches to climate
> change and follows previous electronic briefing books on the intelligence
> community’s environmental legacy and the ongoing overclassification of
> a 2008 climate intelligence assessment.'
>
     
*https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/climate-change-transparency-project/2026-05-27/climate-security-threat-pentagon-war
<https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/climate-change-transparency-project/2026-05-27/climate-security-threat-pentagon-war>*

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