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=== News Update ===

Future of Iraq: The spoils of war



How the West will make a killing on Iraqi oil riches



By Danny Fortson, Andrew Murray-Watson and Tim Webb



Published: 07 January 2007


Iraq's massive oil reserves, the third-largest in the world, are about to 
be thrown open for large-scale exploitation by Western oil companies under 
a controversial law which is expected to come before the Iraqi parliament 
within days.

The US government has been involved in drawing up the law, a draft of which 
has been seen by The Independent on Sunday. It would give big oil companies 
such as BP, Shell and Exxon 30-year contracts to extract Iraqi crude and 
allow the first large-scale operation of foreign oil interests in the 
country since the industry was nationalised in 1972.

The huge potential prizes for Western firms will give ammunition to critics 
who say the Iraq war was fought for oil. They point to statements such as 
one from Vice-President Dick Cheney, who said in 1999, while he was still 
chief executive of the oil services company Halliburton, that the world 
would need an additional 50 million barrels of oil a day by 2010. "So where 
is the oil going to come from?... The Middle East, with two-thirds of the 
world's oil and the lowest cost, is still where the prize ultimately lies," 
he said.

Oil industry executives and analysts say the law, which would permit 
Western companies to pocket up to three-quarters of profits in the early 
years, is the only way to get Iraq's oil industry back on its feet after 
years of sanctions, war and loss of expertise. But it will operate through 
"production-sharing agreements" (or PSAs) which are highly unusual in the 
Middle East, where the oil industry in Saudi Arabia and Iran, the world's 
two largest producers, is state controlled.

Opponents say Iraq, where oil accounts for 95 per cent of the economy, is 
being forced to surrender an unacceptable degree of sovereignty.

Proposing the parliamentary motion for war in 2003, Tony Blair denied the 
"false claim" that "we want to seize" Iraq's oil revenues. He said the 
money should be put into a trust fund, run by the UN, for the Iraqis, but 
the idea came to nothing. The same year Colin Powell, then Secretary of 
State, said: "It cost a great deal of money to prosecute this war. But the 
oil of the Iraqi people belongs to the Iraqi people; it is their wealth, it 
will be used for their benefit. So we did not do it for oil."

Supporters say the provision allowing oil companies to take up to 75 per 
cent of the profits will last until they have recouped initial drilling 
costs. After that, they would collect about 20 per cent of all profits, 
according to industry sources in Iraq. But that is twice the industry 
average for such deals.

Greg Muttitt, a researcher for Platform, a human rights and environmental 
group which monitors the oil industry, said Iraq was being asked to pay an 
enormous price over the next 30 years for its present instability. "They 
would lose out massively," he said, "because they don't have the capacity 
at the moment to strike a good deal."

Iraq's Deputy Prime Minister, Barham Salih, who chairs the country's oil 
committee, is expected to unveil the legislation as early as today. "It is 
a redrawing of the whole Iraqi oil industry [to] a modern standard," said 
Khaled Salih, spokesman for the Kurdish Regional Government, a party to the 
negotiations. The Iraqi government hopes to have the law on the books by March.

Several major oil companies are said to have sent teams into the country in 
recent months to lobby for deals ahead of the law, though the big names are 
considered unlikely to invest until the violence in Iraq abates.

James Paul, executive director at the Global Policy Forum, the 
international government watchdog, said: "It is not an exaggeration to say 
that the overwhelming majority of the population would be opposed to this. 
To do it anyway, with minimal discussion within the [Iraqi] parliament is 
really just pouring more oil on the fire."

Vince Cable, the Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesman and a former chief 
economist at Shell, said it was crucial that any deal would guarantee funds 
for rebuilding Iraq. "It is absolutely vital that the revenue from the oil 
industry goes into Iraqi development and is seen to do so," he said. 
"Although it does make sense to collaborate with foreign investors, it is 
very important the terms are seen to be fair."

source:
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/article2132569.ece

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