http://musliminsuffer.wordpress.com/
bismi-lLahi-rRahmani-rRahiem
In the Name of Allah, the Compassionate, the Merciful
=== News Update ===
Iraq Holocaust
0.9 Million Violent + Non-violent Iraq Excess Deaths
Dr. Gideon Polya, MWC chief political editor
iraq_wideweb__430x404.jpeg
January 17, 2007
The following recent UN report of huge violent deaths in Occupied Iraq
was published on 16 January 2007 in MWC News (see MWC News): "UN
reports that 34,452 civilians have been killed in violence in Iraq over
the past year and about 36,885 people have been wounded. Gianni
Magazzeni, head of the UN human rights office in Iraq, accused the
government in a press conference on Tuesday of failing to provide
security and blamed some of the violence on militias colluding with or
working inside the police and army. The figures are much higher than any
statistics issued by Iraqi government officials. The government itself
branded the UN's last two-monthly report in November as grossly
exaggerated and banned Iraqi officials from releasing data … the UN
figures were compiled from information obtained through the Iraqi health
ministry, the Baghdad mortuary, operations centres at hospitals across
the country and other agencies."
How do these UN estimates of post-invasion Iraq excess deaths compare
with other authoritative estimates?
Excess deaths (excess mortality, avoidable mortality, avoidable deaths,
deaths that should not have happened) can be violent (bombs, bullets,
beating) or non-violent (through disease and deprivation). Overall, the
excess deaths in a country is the difference between the actual deaths
in a country and the deaths expected for a decently-run, peaceful
country with the same demographics (see: here ).
Estimates of VIOLENT post-invasion Iraq excess deaths
Three major estimates of violent post-invasion Iraq excess deaths are
outlined below.
(a) As outlined above, the UN reports 34,452 civilians killed in Iraq in
the last year. Extrapolating over 47 months yields 135,000 violent
deaths (however the annual death rate may well have varied from year to
year). This estimate was based on institutional and agency data across
Iraq - but will NOT include deaths NOT reported to officials.
(b) Iraq Body Count has an upper estimate of about 59,000 Iraqi
civilians killed by military intervention since the US invasion.
However this is based on media reports (notoriously deficient in this
and other conflict zones) and as with (a) this will not include un-
reported deaths.
(c ) Research from a group of top medical epidemiologists and
biometricians from a top department (Bloomberg School of Public Health;
first institution of its kind worldwide; largest school of public health
in the world; receives 25.2% of all federal research funds awarded to
the 37 accredited U.S. schools of public health;) at a top US university
(Johns Hopkins), peer-reviewed and published in the top medical journal
The Lancet in October 2006 – and endorsed by 27 top Australian
institution-linked medical experts – estimated 655,000 post-invasion
excess deaths including about 601,000 violent deaths (for discussion
see: here and here ). Extrapolating over 47 months yields 642,000
violent deaths (as of January 2007). This survey was based on household
surveys and would have included both officially reported and non-
reported violent deaths.
Estimates of TOTAL post-invasion Iraq excess deaths
Four independent estimates of total post-invasion Iraq deaths from
authoritative data sets are outlined below.
(a) From UN Population Division Data using the death rate in Iraq’s
peaceful but impoverished neighbours Jordan and Syria as a baseline,
the post-invasion excess deaths in Occupied Iraq (as of January 2007)
totals 0.6 million (by way of comparison, the corresponding post-
invasion under-5 infant mortality figure is 0.5 million).
(b) Detailed analysis of infant mortality and avoidable mortality for
every country in the world since 1950 reveals that for Third World
countries "under-5 infant mortality" is about 0.7 times the "total
avoidable mortality". Checking the latest data on the UNICEF website, we
see that 122,000 under-5 year old infants die each year (12 months) in
Occupied Iraq i.e. 122,000 x 47/12 = 478,000 would have died over the 47
months since the invasion; dividing by 0.7 yields an estimate of 683,000
(i.e. 0.7 million) post-invasion avoidable deaths in Occupied Iraq (as
of January 2007).
(c) Roberts et al (2004) in The Lancet in which they estimated a post-
invasion annual death rate of 12.3 persons per 1,000 of population (for
links see: here ). Subtracting the annual death rate in impoverished but
peaceful neighbouring Syria and Jordan (about 4 deaths per 1,000 of
population) we get a post-invasion annual avoidable death rate of 8.3
per 1,000. This yields an estimated post-invasion avoidable mortality of
845,000 (0.8 million) assuming an average population of 26 million (as
of January 2007).
(d) Using the latest Johns Hopkins data indicating 13.3 deaths annually
per 1,000 people and a Jordan/Syria baseline of 4 deaths per 1,000
gives an "annual excess death rate" of 9.3 per 1,000 and post-invasion
excess deaths totalling 947,000 (0.9 million) (as of January 2007).
Conclusion: using the most comprehensive and authoritative medical
literature and UN demographic data yields an estimate of 0.9 million
post-invasion excess deaths in US-occupied Iraq. Coupled with UN
estimates of 2 million Iraqi refugees, this constitutes an Iraqi
Genocide, an Iraqi Holocaust in which the US and its Coalition allies
are complicit through gross violation of the Geneva Conventions that
unequivocally demand that Occupiers keep their conquered subjects ALIVE
(see MWC News). The magnitude of this on-going Iraqi Holocaust urgently
requires comprehensive inter-national and intra-national Sanctions and
Boycotts against those complicit in order to halt this appalling Iraqi
Genocide.
Dr Gideon Polya, MWC News Chief political editor, published some 130
works in a 4 decade scientific career, most recently a huge
pharmacological reference text "Biochemical Targets of Plant Bioactive
Compounds" (CRC Press/Taylor & Francis, New York & London, 2003), and is
currently writing a book on global mortality
source:
http://mwcnews.net/content/view/11849&Itemid=1
===
-muslim voice-
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BECAUSE YOU HAVE THE RIGHT TO KNOW
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