http://www.cbc.ca/technology/story/2009/03/24/seaboard-cellphone-contrac
ts.html

Canadian consumers should wait another year for new entrants to join
Canada's wireless market before signing any new cellphone contracts, a
telecommunications report said Tuesday.

While many companies that won spectrum from last year's auction of
wireless airwaves have yet to announce launch dates and pricing plans,
telecom consultancy SeaBoard Group said the new offerings should bring
more competition and lead to better value for consumers.

"Friends don't let friends sign wireless contracts - at least for a year
or so," said the SeaBoard Group in its report, entitled The Shape of the
Market to Come.

In particular, the report cites the announcements of two of the new
carriers: Public Mobile - formerly BMV Holdings - and Globalive
Communications Inc.

Both companies have made public statements suggesting they will launch
discount brands with unlimited talk-and-text for $40 a month.

Public Mobile, backed by several private equity firms, has said it plans
to launch a $40 unlimited talk-and-text service in Ontario and Quebec
late in the third quarter of 2009.

Toronto-based Globalive has said it plans to launch two brands, a
discount phone under the Yak brand with a price target of $40 a month
and a yet to be named core brand, but has only said it plans to launch a
countrywide network - with the exception of Quebec - by the end of 2009.

The SeaBoard report said the $40 monthly price is similar to the plans
offered by Fido, Solo and Koodo, the incumbent discount brands of Rogers
Communications Inc., Bell Canada Inc. and Telus Corp., respectively.
New entrants talk up unlimited minutes

But what separates the new plans is the unlimited talk minutes, the
report said.

"What is different is what is included. 'Everything' is rather a
compelling mantra," said authors Iain Grant, Amit Kaminer, Cynthia Lee
and Anna Mazur.

"SeaBoard expects that Canadians will be delighted by the fruits of the
new competition. As the months unfold, we expect more announcements."

Montreal-based Quebecor Inc. has said it plans to launch its own network
in Quebec by the end of 2009, though in February president and CEO
Pierre Karl Peladeau complained incumbent wireless companies were
delaying the approval of agreements to share towers and roaming
services.

Toronto-based DAVE Wireless, owned by entrepreneur John Bitove, who owns
XM Satellite Canada and a host of fast-food restaurants, has not made
any formal announcements about its plans, but is expected to launch its
own cellphone service. The auction of 292 wireless airwave licences last
year raised $4.2 billion for the federal government. The auction
reserved 40 per cent of the 105 megahertz of airwaves up for sale for
new entrants to encourage competition to established giants Rogers, Bell
and Telus.

Since the auction, Rogers and Bell lowered their prices and dropped
their system access fees on their Fido and Solo brands, following the
lead of Telus discount brand Koodo earlier in 2008 and in anticipation
of new entrants to the marketplace.
Lower prices could drive move from land lines

"The existence of pure wireless companies within a market keeps
everyone's pencils sharpened," the report said.

SeaBoard said companies that specialize in wireless services will be at
an advantage from carriers like Bell and Telus that have home phone
services, since they'll be able to offer lower prices without fear of
stealing from their own customers.

The end result, the report says, is that lower wireless prices will
eventually push more consumers away from land lines and toward
cellphones.

Canada has lagged far behind countries in Europe and Asia in mobile
phone use, which analysts have attributed in part to a more developed
land line infrastructure but also to a lack of competition.

The latest numbers from the Geneva-based International Telecommunication
Union show Canada is also trailing in North America as well in cellphone
use. Canada's mobile cellular penetration - or the number of mobile
phone subscribers per 100 citizens - was 61.7 per cent in 2007, trailing
North American neighbours United States (83.5 per cent) and Mexico (62.5
per cent).

Canada's land line telephone subscribers have also declined in recent
years, from 65.9 per 100 inhabitants in 2002 to 55.5 per 100 inhabitants
in 2007.
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