OCTOBER 21, 2009

Carriers Eye Pay-As-You-Go Internet
Amid Government Push to Open Networks, Some See Cover for Pricing Based 
on Usage

By CHRISTOPHER RHOADS And NIRAJ SHETH
Wall Street Journal

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703816204574483674228258540.html


In the early years of the Internet, the more time people spent online, 
the more they paid a provider like AOL for their connection. But as 
customers have shifted to always-on broadband services, many Web surfers 
have enjoyed all-you-can-eat Internet for a flat rate.

Some cable and telecommunications providers are trying to turn back the 
clock and return to usage-based pricing for Internet connections. 
Carriers including AT&T Inc. and Time Warner Cable Inc. say they may 
have to switch amid a surge in Internet traffic as more people go online 
to watch videos and download movies.

Recent efforts to introduce usage-based, or metered, broadband services 
have met stiff resistance from consumers. But a new push by the federal 
government to adopt rules that would force Internet providers to treat 
all Web traffic equally, no matter how much bandwidth they take up, 
could give ammunition to the broadband providers that want to change how 
they charge for Web access, Internet experts and consumer advocates say.

"This could come down to carriers saying, 'If you don't allow us to 
manage our networks the way we see fit, then we will just have to cap 
everything,' " says Phillip Dampier, a consumer advocate focusing on 
technology issues in Rochester, N.Y. "They'll make it an either/or 
thing: give them more control over their network or expect metered 
broadband."

Mr. Dampier was among those who forced Time Warner Cable to shelve a 
metered Internet pilot program in several cities last year. The company, 
which had argued the plan would be a fairer way to charge for access, 
acknowledged it was a "debacle." It won't say if it plans to revive the 
trials.

Some broadband providers argue that a pay-as-you-go Internet is 
unavoidable. "A flat-rate, infinitely expandable service is 
unachievable,"Dick Lynch, chief technology officer of Verizon 
Communications Inc., said at a recent industry conference, referring to 
the industry in general. "We're going to have to consider pricing 
structures that allow us to sell packages of bytes."

Advocates say unlimited monthly Internet service has been critical to 
the Internet's growth and the formation of online start-ups. Paying by 
the amount of Internet traffic used could damp usage and the sort of 
tinkering that can lead to breakthroughs, they warn.

Carriers believe it is only fair that heavy users pay more, especially 
since online file-sharing software, such as BitTorrent, takes up so much 
bandwidth.

Last year, the Federal Communications Commission sanctioned Comcast 
Corp. for violating so-called network neutrality principles. Comcast, 
which is appealing the decision, had hindered the use of file-sharing 
software without informing customers. It argued it needed to control 
such usage to keep traffic flowing properly.

In Beaumont, Texas, and Reno, Nev., AT&T has been pricing Internet 
access based on usage. Since last year, it has let new customers choose 
from one of six tiers, depending on the desired speed and how much data 
they think they will download in a month. Existing customers can keep 
their old flat-rate plan, which is capped at 150 gigabytes a month

The most basic plan, which costs $19.95, offers 20 gigabytes of 
downloads; the most expensive, for $65, allows 150 gigabytes a month. 
For every gigabyte over the limit, there is a $1 fee.

"Some type of usage-based model, for those customers who have abnormally 
high usage patterns, seems inevitable," an AT&T spokesman says. AT&T 
declined to provide more details on its trials.

Some cable companies have instituted monthly usage limits, though they 
are usually so high they affect only the heaviest users. A plan with 150 
gigabytes, for example, would enable sending and receiving 75 million 
emails, or downloading more than 30,000 songs. The average Internet user 
consumes around 15 gigabytes a month, according to University of 
Minnesota professor Andrew Odlyzko.

Comcast earlier this year instituted a cap of 250 gigabytes a month. The 
company says the rule affects a very small minority of its high-usage 
customers. Some smaller and regional Internet service providers also 
charge on a metered basis, including Sunflower Broadband in Kansas. 
Frontier Communications Corp. last year briefly used metered pricing in 
Rochester before scrapping the policy in the face of protest.

"Unquestionably, the carriers erred in their initial selling of 
broadband with a flat rate," says Elroy Jopling, research director of 
Gartner Inc. "They assumed no one would use it as much as they do now, 
but then along came high-definition movies. They're now trying to get 
around that mistake."

Network neutrality deals primarily with ensuring that Internet providers 
don't favor any online traffic over any other. Still, Mr. Jopling and 
other analysts argue, the net neutrality debate might provide the 
carriers with an opening to argue for changing that pricing.

The FCC last month proposed strengthening the existing principles on 
network neutrality—turning them into more strictly enforceable rules—to 
ensure that carriers treat all Internet traffic equally.The idea is that 
as Internet providers themselves get more into the content business—as 
foreshadowed most recently by Comcast's overtures to acquire a majority 
stake in NBC Universal—they shouldn't be able to make it easier for 
users to access their own content than other companies' content

The agency also said it wants more transparency in how carriers manage 
their networks.

In announcing the proposals, FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski cited 
Comcast's approach to BitTorrent, as well as phone companies' blocking 
the use of online phone services on their networks.

"With network neutrality enforced, the only other option for carrriers 
is to charge by the byte or to raise the flat-rate pricing," says Johna 
Till Johnson, president of Nemertes Research. "Right now they're just 
deciding which one to do. Just be prepared to pay more."

When Time Warner announced last March it would expand its 
metered-pricing approach to other cities, including Austin and 
Rochester, protests erupted. Rep. Joe Messa of Rochester introduced a 
bill in Congress banning tiered Internet pricing plans, arguing the plan 
would put his city at a disadvantage for corporate investment.

Time Warner Chief Executive Glenn Britt told a conference the following 
month that the company erred in communicating the rollout, not in the 
plan itself.

"We did not handle the public relations very well and had a bit of a 
debacle, to he honest," Mr. Britt said at the conference. "I still think 
some notion of you use less and pay less, use more and pay more, will 
ultimately be what happens."

-- 
================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204 
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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