LCD TV shipment growth falls to record low in 2Q11

By Joy Wan
DIGITIMES.COM

Friday 26 August 2011

http://www.digitimes.com/news/a20110826PR200.html


Global TV shipments were soft in first quarter 2011 as the worldwide TV 
supply chain digested excess inventory, but still had an on-year growth 
of 1%. In second-quarter 2011, TV shipment growth turned negative, 
declining 1% on-year, according to DisplaySearch. Price declines and 
inventory pressure at retail due to lackluster consumer demand continue 
to put pressure on TV brands.

LCD TV shipments worldwide grew at least 20% each quarter in 2010, but 
so far have only risen 9% year-on-year in first-quarter 2011 and 6% 
on-year in second-quarter 2011. The slowing growth has impacted both 
developed and emerging markets, with LCD TV units falling 5% and rising 
19% respectively, both well below the rate of growth a year earlier.

LED share increased from 18% of LCD TV shipments in second-quarter 2010 
to over 43% in second-quarter 2011, but still carries a 74% average 
premium across all sizes, though this is down from a more than 120% 
premium a year ago. Critical LED backlight cost breakthroughs have been 
slow to materialize.

Plasma TV shipments had shown surging growth in 2010, increasing a 
remarkable 30% year-on-year after negative growth in 2009. The boost in 
growth had a lot to do with market pricing advantages against LCD for 
similar sizes and consumers who continued to focus on price. LCD TV 
prices started to narrow the gap this year, and the premium for a 42-in 
class CCFL LCD narrowed from 13% in second-quarter 2010 to less than 1% 
in second-quarter 2011 over plasma. Plasma TV shipments fell 6% in 
second-quarter 2011 after double digit growth throughout 2010.

By region, China had stronger growth, rising 10% year-on-year compared 
to a 6% decline in North America. The Asia Pacific region grew to No. 3 
for the first time, surpassing Western Europe, where retail inventory 
remains a problem. Despite concerns about weak demand following the 
March 11, 2011, earthquakes in Japan, shipments of TVs in Japan surged 
40% as consumers replaced older TVs with newer digital tuner equipped 
models ahead of the July 24 analog broadcast cutoff.

As TV brands and retailers continue to push for the transition to LED 
backlights in LCD TVs, due to both premium prices and better energy 
consumption, the growth in shipment share continues to rise, reaching 
43% in second-quarter 2011. Of all LED-backlit LCD TV shipments, 98% 
were edge-lit models due to slimmer form factor, lower power consumption 
and lower cost. LED penetration in Japan and Western Europe has already 
surpassed 50% of LCD TV shipments, and China is nearly at 50%. Most 
other regions, including North America, have around 20-35% of LCD TV 
shipments as LED.

During second-quarter 2011, 3D enjoyed a sizeable increase in market 
share, rising from 4% of shipments in the first quarter to almost 9% in 
the second quarter. The growth in share signifies that manufacturers 
have greatly expanded the number of 3D-capable models and reduced the 
premium associated with the technology, giving consumers more choice. 
There have also been a wider range of new sizes, down to 32-inch, and in 
the case of LCD, lower frame rate models with 3D available. 
DisplaySearch estimates that about a quarter of 3D TV shipments use 
passive 3D technology and the remainder use active shutter-glass technology.

Samsung's global flat panel TV revenue share was up slightly in 
second-quarter 2011 to 22.6%, a substantial lead over the No. 2 brand LG 
Electronics (LGE). Samsung was the No.1 brand on a revenue basis in 
almost every region, with the exception of Japan and China where 
domestic brands dominate, even surpassing LGE in Asia Pacific markets. 
Samsung was the top player in LCD revenues but ranked as the second in 
both plasma and CRT TV revenues. Samsung also regained the No.1 LCD TV 
unit share position in second-quarter 2011 from Vizio for the first time 
in over a year.

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