September 7, 2011 4:41 PM

NASA: 6.5-ton defunct satellite headed for Earth

By Leonard David
Space.com

http://www.cbsnews.com/2102-205_162-20102887.html?tag=contentMain;contentBody


Heads up! That's the word from NASA today given the impending re-entry 
of a 6.5-ton satellite through Earth's atmosphere.

The huge Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) is expected to 
re-enter Earth's atmosphere in an uncontrolled fall in late September or 
early October. Much of the spacecraft is expected to burn up during 
re-entry, but some pieces are expected to make it intact to the ground, 
NASA officials said.

The U.S. space agency will be taking measures to inform the public about 
the pieces of the spacecraft that are expected to survive re-entry.

"It is too early to say exactly when UARS will re-enter and what 
geographic area may be affected, but NASA is watching the satellite 
closely and will keep you informed," NASA said in a statement released 
Sept. 7.

The satellite launched to Earth orbit in 1991 aboard NASA's space 
shuttle Discovery and was decommissioned on Dec. 14, 2005. It is 35 feet 
(10.7 meters) long and 15 feet (4.5 m) wide.

Small risk to public

One analysis of re-entry survivability for UARS components was performed 
several years ago with a software program called Object Re-entry 
Survival Analysis Tool, or ORSAT for short.

That computer analysis showed that about 150 component types, including 
the parent body of the satellite, will demise during re-entry, and 12 
types (26 counting multiple components) would endure the fiery fall to 
Earth.

That appraisal indicated a surviving mass of 1,170 pounds (532 
kilograms) falling within a debris footprint length of some 500 miles 
(800 kilometers).

"The risk to public safety or property is extremely small, and safety is 
NASA's top priority," noted a NASA website dedicated to the re-entry. 
"Since the beginning of the Space Age in the late-1950s, there have been 
no confirmed reports of an injury resulting from re-entering space 
objects. Nor is there a record of significant property damage resulting 
from a satellite re-entry."

Nonetheless, there is a chance that pieces of debris from the satellite 
will crash in areas accessible to the public.

According to NASA, on UARS re-entry day, "if you find something you 
think may be a piece of UARS, do not touch it. Contact a local law 
enforcement official for assistance."

NASA will host a press conference on Friday (Sept. 9) to discuss the 
anticipated re-entry.

Public to be informed

The actual date of re-entry is difficult to predict because it depends 
on solar flux and the spacecraft's orientation as its orbit decays. As 
re-entry draws closer, predictions on the date will become more reliable.

NASA plans to post updates weekly until about four days before the 
anticipated re-entry. The agency will then share daily updates until 
about 24 hours before re-entry, when it will begin even more frequent 
postings.

The updates will come from the Joint Space Operations Center of U.S. 
Strategic Command at Vandenberg Air Force Base in California, which 
works around the clock to detect, identify and track all man-made 
objects in Earth orbit, including space junk.

Debris in Earth orbit, including broken satellites, spent rocket stages 
and other trash, is a growing problem, both because of the threat it 
will collide with working spacecraft, and the chance that it will 
re-enter Earth's atmosphere and crash in populated areas.

According to a recent National Research Council report, we have now 
reached a tipping point, called the Kessler Threshold, at which there is 
already enough orbital debris that even if no more were added, new 
debris will continually be created through collisions between existing 
objects.

UARS was used to study Earth's atmosphere by observing numerous chemical 
components through multiple instruments. Before it ended its scientific 
life in 2005, UARS data marked the beginning of many long-term records 
for key chemicals in the atmosphere. The satellite also provided key 
information on the amount of light that comes from the sun at 
ultraviolet and visible wavelengths.

Read more: http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-205_162-20102887.html#ixzz1XONDho9Y

-- 
=================================================
George Antunes          Voice (713) 743-3923
Associate Professor     Fax   (713) 743-3927
Political Science       Mail: antunes at uh dot edu
University of Houston
Houston, TX 77204-3011

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