January 28, 2012

The Bookstore’s Last Stand
By JULIE BOSMAN
NY Times

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/29/business/barnes-noble-taking-on-amazon-in-the-fight-of-its-life.html


PALO ALTO, Calif.

IN March 2009, an eternity ago in Silicon Valley, a small team of 
engineers here was in a big hurry to rethink the future of books. Not 
the paper-and-ink books that have been around since the days of 
Gutenberg, the ones that the doomsayers proclaim — with glee or dread — 
will go the way of vinyl records.

No, the engineers were instead fixated on the forces that are upending 
the way books are published, sold, bought and read: e-books and 
e-readers. Working in secret, behind an unmarked door in a former bread 
bakery, they rushed to build a device that might capture the imagination 
of readers and maybe even save the book industry.

They had six months to do it.

Running this sprint was, of all companies, Barnes & Noble, the giant 
that helped put so many independent booksellers out of business and that 
now finds itself locked in the fight of its life. What its engineers 
dreamed up was the Nook, a relative e-reader latecomer that has 
nonetheless become the great e-hope of Barnes & Noble and, in fact, of 
many in the book business.

Several iterations later, the Nook and, by extension, Barnes & Noble, at 
times seem the only things standing between traditional book publishers 
and oblivion.

Inside the great publishing houses — grand names like Macmillan, Penguin 
and Random House — there is a sense of unease about the long-term fate 
of Barnes & Noble, the last major bookstore chain standing. First, the 
megastores squeezed out the small players. (Think of Tom Hanks’s Fox & 
Sons Books to Meg Ryan’s Shop Around the Corner in the 1998 comedy, 
“You’ve Got Mail”.) Then the chains themselves were gobbled up or driven 
under, as consumers turned to the Web. B. Dalton Bookseller and Crown 
Books are long gone. Borders collapsed last year.

No one expects Barnes & Noble to disappear overnight. The worry is that 
it might slowly wither as more readers embrace e-books. What if all 
those store shelves vanished, and Barnes & Noble became little more than 
a cafe and a digital connection point? Such fears came to the fore in 
early January, when the company projected that it would lose even more 
money this year than Wall Street had expected. Its share price promptly 
tumbled 17 percent that day.

Lurking behind all of this is Amazon.com, the dominant force in books 
online and the company that sets teeth on edge in publishing. From their 
perches in Midtown Manhattan, many publishing executives, editors and 
publicists view Amazon as the enemy — an adversary that, if unchecked, 
could threaten their industry and their livelihoods.

Like many struggling businesses, book publishers are cutting costs and 
trimming work forces. Yes, electronic books are booming, sometimes 
profitably, but not many publishers want e-books to dominate print 
books. Amazon’s chief executive, Jeffrey P. Bezos, wants to cut out the 
middleman — that is, traditional publishers — by publishing e-books 
directly.

Which is why Barnes & Noble, once viewed as the brutal capitalist of the 
book trade, now seems so crucial to that industry’s future. Sure, you 
can buy bestsellers at Walmart and potboilers at the supermarket. But in 
many locales, Barnes & Noble is the only retailer offering a wide 
selection of books. If something were to happen to Barnes & Noble, if it 
were merely to scale back its ambitions, Amazon could become even more 
powerful and — well, the very thought makes publishers queasy.

“It would be like ‘The Road,’ ” one publishing executive in New York 
said, half-jokingly, referring to the Cormac McCarthy novel. “The 
post-apocalyptic world of publishing, with publishers pushing shopping 
carts down Broadway.”

Shouldering the responsibilities of Barnes & Noble is one thing. Holding 
the fate of American book publishing in your hands is quite another. But 
William J. Lynch Jr., the C.E.O. of the company, says he is up for the 
battle. With all of three years of experience in bookselling, Mr. Lynch 
must pull off a balancing act that would be tricky even in good times. 
He must carve out a digital future for Barnes & Noble without forsaking 
its hard-copy past, all while his company’s profit and share price are 
under pressure, his customers are fleeing to the Web and Amazon is circling.

It might come as a surprise, but Mr. Lynch says Barnes & Noble is, in 
fact, a technology company. Never mind that it has 703 bookstores and 
operates in all 50 states. To the delight of publishers, he has pushed 
hard into e-books and, with the help of the well-reviewed Nook, even 
grabbed a lot of market share from Amazon. But he is playing David to 
Mr. Bezos’s Goliath. Barnes & Noble’s stock closed on Friday at $11.95, 
putting the value of the company at $719 million. Amazon’s shares closed 
at $195.37, valuing Mr. Bezos’s company at $88 billion.

“We could sit here and bang our head against the wall and get sick about 
it like we do every week,” Mr. Lynch, 41, said of his company’s stock 
price. But he contends that pushing into e-books with the Nook is the 
right way, and perhaps the only way, forward.

“Had we not launched devices and spent the money we invested in the 
Nook, investors and analysts would have said, ‘Barnes & Noble is crazy, 
and they’re going to go away,’ ” Mr. Lynch said.

BEFORE Mr. Lynch joined Barnes & Noble in 2009, he had never sold a book 
in his life. (The last book he read — on the Nook, he said last week — 
was “The Spy Who Came In From the Cold,” by John le Carré.) Mr. Lynch 
came to the job from IAC/InterActiveCorp, where he worked for HSN.com, 
the online outlet of the Home Shopping Network, and Gifts.com.

And yet, in three years, he has won a remarkable number of fans in the 
upper echelons of the book world. Most publishers in New York can’t say 
enough good things about him: smart, creative, tech-savvy — the list 
goes on. It helps that he has forged the friendliest relations between 
publishers and Barnes & Noble in recent memory. They are, after all, in 
this together.

Mr. Lynch grew up in Dallas and still speaks with a hint of Texas twang. 
But he has the foot-tapping intensity of a tech type running on four 
Mountain Dews. It seems fitting, then, that he usually works out of an 
office in the Chelsea neighborhood of Manhattan, where Barnes & Noble’s 
Web and digital operations are based, rather than at the company’s 
stately headquarters on Fifth Avenue, not far away. When he talks, you 
get the sense that he could be selling just about anything. As it 
happens, he is selling books.

Mr. Lynch says Barnes & Noble stores will endure. The idea that devices 
like the Nook, Kindle and Apple iPad will make bookstores obsolete is 
nonsense, he says.

“Our stores are not going anywhere,” he said in an interview this month 
in his office. He pointed to a surprisingly robust holiday season. In 
the nine weeks leading up to Christmas, sales were up 4 percent from the 
previous year. Titles for children and young adults are doing well, 
partly a result of the popularity of fiction with paranormal or 
dystopian themes, like “The Hunger Games.” And in the second half of 
2011, Barnes & Noble picked up a big chunk of business from its 
vanquished rival, Borders.

Yet no sooner had the holidays passed than Barnes & Noble came out with 
some downbeat news for the year ahead. On Jan. 5, it projected it would 
lose as much as $1.40 a share in fiscal 2012. On top of that, Mr. Lynch 
said shareholders seemed to be underestimating the Nook’s potential so 
much that perhaps the company would be better off if it just spun off 
its digital business. Wall Street howled, and Barnes & Noble’s stock 
still hasn’t fully recovered. A bit of good news for the company is 
that, thanks to the Nook, it’s been grabbing e-book business from 
Amazon. Mr. Lynch said Barnes & Noble now held about 27 percent of the 
market, a number that publishers confirm gleefully. Amazon has at least 
60 percent.

Responding to questions about the battle over e-books, Amazon issued a 
statement on Friday pointing to its own recent growth. In the nine-week 
holiday period ended Dec. 31, it said, “Kindle unit sales, including 
both the Kindle Fire and e-reader devices, increased 177 percent over 
the same period last year.”

Granted, Mr. Lynch inherited a company at a pivotal moment in its long, 
winding history. Barnes & Noble dates back to 1873, when Charles Barnes 
went into the used-book business in Wheaton, Ill. His company later 
moved to New York, bought an interest in an established textbook 
wholesaler, Noble & Noble, and opened a large bookshop on Fifth Avenue.

So it went until an enterprising young bookseller, Leonard Riggio, came 
along. After gaining a foothold in college bookstores, he bought that 
Barnes & Noble bookshop in 1971. Before long, he was offering deep 
discounts — and expanding wildly across the nation.

Early in his tenure, Mr. Lynch pressed Mr. Riggio’s brother, Stephen, 
his predecessor as C.E.O., to explain the business he’d gotten himself into.

“I had this ‘La Femme Nikita’ immersion with him,” Mr. Lynch recalled. 
“We went to lunch and I just told him, ‘Tell me everything you know 
about the book business.’ ”

But at that time, Amazon had already made the first successful move in 
e-readers: the first-generation Kindle hit the market in November 2007. 
Mr. Lynch had arrived in the C-suite, but was perilously late to the party.

ON Homer Avenue in downtown Palo Alto is a tiny, two-story building that 
once housed the maker of Palo Alto Bread. It was here, in March 2009, 
that Barnes & Noble brought a few new hires to create the Nook. 
Outsiders weren’t quite sure what the company was up to. The landlord 
figured that Mr. Lynch wanted to open a store.

What began as an almost quixotic effort to catch up with the Amazon 
Kindle has now grown into a 300-person operation in the heart of Silicon 
Valley. Mr. Lynch has hired engineers, software developers and 
designers, who are today spread among five low-slung buildings.

In one room, a virtual wallpaper of Nook color devices hangs in rows 
neat as a checkerboard. A common area holds a foosball table and a 
cooler of VitaminWater. Some of the walls are made of silver-colored 
mesh. Some of the cubicles are lime green.

But there are also reminders of the old Barnes & Noble. Over here is a 
basket of actual books, including “Travels With Charley” and “The Little 
Prince.” Over there on a wall are enormous vintage covers of books like 
“Of Mice and Men” and “The Great Gatsby.”

It was Nick Carraway who told Jay Gatsby, “You can’t repeat the past.” 
That warning seems to hang over these offices. A sign above one group of 
engineers says: “We are changing the future of bookselling.”

For all the bells and whistles and high-minded talk, Barnes & Noble 
doesn’t exactly have the cool factor (or money) of, say, a Google or a 
Facebook.

Ravi Gopalakrishnan, the first engineer whom Mr. Lynch hired and now the 
chief technology officer for digital products, said his techie friends 
were incredulous when he joined Barnes & Noble.

“They were all wondering what I was up to,” Mr. Gopalakrishnan, 46, 
said. “I’m a technology guy — why I was working for a retail company? 
They thought I was nuts. There were a lot of e-mails that said, ‘Barnes 
& Noble?!’ ”

Bill Saperstein, a mild-mannered surfer and a veteran of Apple, said he 
was persuaded to leave retirement to join Barnes & Noble as vice 
president for digital products hardware engineering.

“We don’t see a lot of the stock and the free sushi bar and everything 
else that you find at Google, but there’s a lot of responsibility,” said 
Mr. Saperstein, 62, who spent seven years working for Steve Jobs. “It 
was stuff that I strongly believed in, which was reading.”

Barnes & Noble is trying to strike at Amazon with another device. At its 
labs in Silicon Valley last week, engineers were putting final touches 
on their fifth e-reading device, a product that executives said would be 
released sometime this spring. (A Barnes & Noble spokeswoman declined to 
elaborate.)

Back in New York, Mr. Lynch has been working to revamp the look of 
Barnes & Noble stores. Last year, the company expanded sections for toys 
and games and added shiny new display space for its Nook devices. In 
another sign of the digital revolution, Mr. Lynch expects to eliminate 
the dedicated sections for music and DVD’s within two years — while 
still selling some of them elsewhere in the stores. He also plans to 
experiment with slightly smaller stores. And, before long, executives 
will take the Nook overseas — a big switch, given that Barnes & Noble 
has focused almost exclusively on the American market for decades. The 
first stop is expected to be Waterstones bookstores in Britain.

All of this would be a tall order for any C.E.O., and some analysts 
wonder if Mr. Lynch has bitten off more than he can chew. Then again, 
given this industry’s pace of change, Barnes & Noble may have to adapt 
to new realities, or die trying.

“I think they realize they can’t continue at the rate they’re going,” 
said Jack W. Perry, a publishing consultant. “They need more money to 
invest, to slug it out.”

THESE are trying times for almost everyone in the book business. Since 
2002, the United States has lost roughly 500 independent bookstores — 
nearly one out of five. About 650 bookstores vanished when Borders went 
out of business last year.

No wonder that some New York publishers have gone so far as to sketch 
out what the industry might look like without Barnes & Noble. It’s not a 
happy thought for them: Certainly, there would be fewer places to sell 
books. Independents account for less than 10 percent of business, and 
Target, Walmart and the like carry far smaller selections than 
traditional bookstores.

Without Barnes & Noble, the publishers’ marketing proposition crumbles. 
The idea that publishers can spot, mold and publicize new talent, then 
get someone to buy books at prices that actually makes economic sense, 
suddenly seems a reach. Marketing books via Twitter, and relying on 
reviews, advertising and perhaps an appearance on the “Today” show 
doesn’t sound like a winning plan.

What publishers count on from bookstores is the browsing effect. Surveys 
indicate that only a third of the people who step into a bookstore and 
walk out with a book actually arrived with the specific desire to buy one.

“That display space they have in the store is really one of the most 
valuable places that exists in this country for communicating to the 
consumer that a book is a big deal,” said Madeline McIntosh, president 
of sales, operations and digital for Random House.

What’s more, sales of older books — the so-called backlist, which has 
traditionally accounted for anywhere from 30 to 50 percent of the 
average big publisher’s sales — would suffer terribly.

“For all publishers, it’s really important that brick-and-mortar 
retailers survive,” said David Shanks, the chief executive of the 
Penguin Group USA. “Not only are they key to keeping our physical book 
business thriving, there is also the carry-on effect of the display of a 
book that contributes to selling e-books and audio books. The more 
visibility a book has, the more inclined a reader is to make a purchase.”

Carolyn Reidy, president and chief executive of Simon & Schuster, says 
the biggest challenge is to give people a reason to step into Barnes & 
Noble stores in the first place. “They have figured out how to use the 
store to sell e-books," she said of the company. "Now, hopefully, we can 
figure out how to make that go full circle and see how the e-books can 
sell the print books.”

Mr. Bezos, for one, isn’t waiting. Amazon has set the book industry on 
edge by starting a publishing unit that has snagged authors like Timothy 
Ferriss and James Franco. And, each day, the stock market provides a 
sobering reminder that Mr. Bezos, not Mr. Lynch, has the deeper pockets.

While publishers’ fates are closely tied to Barnes & Noble, said John 
Sargent, the C.E.O. of Macmillan, it’s not all about them.

“Anybody who is an author, a publisher, or makes their living from 
distributing intellectual property in book form is badly hurt,” he said, 
“if Barnes & Noble does not prosper.”

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