MARCH 16, 2018 2:31PM PT

*Why Cord-Cutting Soared in 2017: High Cost of Pay TV Was No. 1 Factor*

*By Todd Spangler*
*NY Digital Editor, Variety*

*http://variety.com/2018/biz/news/cord-cutting-2017-high-cost-cancellation-pay-tv-1202728922/
<http://variety.com/2018/biz/news/cord-cutting-2017-high-cost-cancellation-pay-tv-1202728922/>*


The cord-cutting numbers for 2017 are in, and they paint an increasingly
dreary picture for pay-TV providers — which experienced their worst losses
to date.

Analysts estimate U.S. cable, satellite and telco operators shed between
3.1 million and 3.5 million traditional TV subscribers last year. That’s a
significant acceleration over the 1.9 million the sector lost in 2016, per
Kagan, with the sub base shrinking 3.7% in 2017.

As of the end of 2017, combined cable, direct broadcast satellite and
telecommunication (telco) multichannel subscriptions fell to 94 million,
according to Kagan. That’s down 7.4 million from their peak in 2012, a drop
of more than 7%. And there’s no evidence to suggest the slide will slow
down anytime soon, as legacy pay TV’s “fat” bundles look more and more like
a luxury item.

Some of the losses are attributable to more American consumers downgrading
to cheaper “virtual” internet-TV skinny bundles. But those don’t account
for the full exodus: While traditional pay-TV declined by a net 3.3 million
subs in 2017, online pay-TV services added 2.6 million, according to Wall
Street firm MoffettNathanson. The latter category included Dish’s Sling TV,
AT&T’s DirecTV Now, YouTube TV, Hulu’s live TV package, and Sony’s
PlayStation Vue.

The chief culprit for the continued decline of subscription television?

No surprise: The high cost of cable and satellite TV services was the No. 1
reason cord-cutters said they cancelled pay-TV service, according to TiVo’s
Online Video and Pay-TV Trends Report for Q4 2017.

Among cord-cutters, 87% said they cancelled service because of its high
price, up about seven points from a year earlier, per the TiVo report. In
addition, of pay-TV subscribers who said they were unsatisfied, 83% chose
“Too expensive/Increasing fees for cable/satellite services” — the top
response. TiVo’s report was based on a survey of 3,330 adults in the U.S.
and Canada.

The average price U.S. consumers said they would pay for a package of
self-selected channels is $35.87 per month. That’s in line with the prices
of DirecTV Now, Sling TV and YouTube TV. By contrast, only 15% of pay-TV
customers say they pay less than $50 per month — and 56% said they shell
out $76 or more per month for cable or satellite TV.

Clearly, the newer internet-TV players are attracting customers with lower
prices. But it’s not a sustainable model, according to MoffettNathanson’s
Craig Moffett.

For the two big satellite operators in particular, trading traditional subs
for over-the-top TV customers has been a drag on earnings. For the fourth
quarter of 2017, Dish Network revenue dropped 5% — earnings before
interest, tax, depreciation and amortization tumbled 21.5%. At AT&T’s
Entertainment Group (which includes DirecTV) revenue slid 3.5% and EBITDA
dropped 11.2% for the period. “But at least they are adding subscribers. I
mean, that’s something, isn’t it?” Moffett noted archly in a research note
earlier this month.

True, the virtual pay-TV services may simply hike prices the same way
old-fashioned satellite and cable have for years. For example, Google this
week raised the price of YouTube TV by 14% over the intro price, to $40
monthly for new subscribers, after adding Turner networks (just in time for
March Madness).

For now, as long as internet-TV services price themselves at or below cost
— and there’s no reason to believe that will change dramatically — per
Moffett: “Being a vMPVD [virtual multichannel programming video
distributor] will remain a truly lousy business.”
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