I think the accelerations in the last month are not caused by COVID-19 
resp. the lock-down caused by it. It was mainly Benoit, Stanislav (Open 
AI), Glauco (e transcedental) and me (category theory) who contributed. At 
least from my side, I can assure that I didn't have more time for Metamath 
because of COVID-19 as I would have had without it - working at home does 
not increase my spare time significantly.

Alexander

On Monday, April 13, 2020 at 4:52:53 AM UTC+2, David A. Wheeler wrote:
>
> Thierry Arnoux asked me an intriguing question:
>
> > Could it be that the lock-down imposed... due to the Coronavirus
> > is giving people time to progress on their Metamath proofs?
>
> I cannot determine causes from simple counts, but I can at least determine 
> if there are changes in rates and timings that suggest causes. I could 
> certainly believe that some people have more time to create Metamath proofs 
> than before.
>
> So... I just updated the "Metamath contributions over time" graph to see 
> if I can easily answer that question. You can see it here:
>
> https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TnuBekyUP918smZeJRD0WrPhJthi915Ose0cnUnB1uc
>
> There seems to be an acceleration in the last months, simply by looking at 
> it visually. However, the acceleration seems to have started before most 
> confinements worldwide, so there might not be a direct correlation. In 
> addition, the rate of theorem increase is very noisy, so just by examining 
> it visually it is not clear that the recent acceleration is real or simply 
> noise.
>
> I have not done any serious statistical analysis of the data, but I do 
> make the data public. If someone else feels like examining the data in a 
> more serious statistical manner, I'd love to hear about it.
>
> I hope that everyone is staying safe and healthy. I wish everyone the very 
> best.
>
> --- David A.Wheeler

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