Hi All,

Playing Devil's Advocate, I decided to try coming up with a scenario that 
attempts to maximize the
thermal equilibrium temperature of a chondritic meteoroid just prior to 
encountering the earth's
atmosphere. The typical formula for computing the thermal equilibrium 
temperature for an
object without an atmosphere is:

Te = [S0 * (1-A) / (4*epsilon*sigma)] ^ (1/4)

where the body is assumed to be spherical (the source of the 4 in the 
denominator), S0 is the
solar constant (mean value 1361 W/m^2), A is the bolometric Bond albedo, 
epsilon is the
meteoroid's emissivity, and sigma is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant (5.670 x 
10^-8 W/m^2-K^-4).
A, in turn, can be estimated from the following equation:

A ~= q * pv

where q is the phase integral and pv is the visible albedo. Using Bowell's H, G 
magnitude system,
we can compute q from:

q = 0.290 + .684*G

The commonly used value for the slope parameter, G, is 0.15, in which case:

q = 0.393
A = 0.393 * pv

For very dark asteroids (e.g. Trojan asteroids, Hildas, Cybeles), the albedo 
can be 5% or lower.
However, most NEOs have semi-major axes less than 3 a.u. and albedos averaging 
closer
to 20%.

The final missing value is the emissivity. For regolith, a range of 0.9-0.95 is 
often mentioned.
However, emissivity and albedo work hand-in-hand (epsilon + pv ~= 1). So if 
we're going
to choose an emissivity of 0.9, we should set the albedo, pv, to 10%.

So what is a typical equilibrium temperature for a spherical NEO with 10% 
albedo, 0.9
emissivity, 1 a.u. from the sun?

A = .393*10% = .0393

Te = [1361 * (1-.0393) / (4*0.9*5.67 x 10^-8)]^0.25 = 282.9 K or about 49.6 F

So, cool, but certainly not freezing. How can we get a warmer answer?  One way 
is to pick the
time of year when the earth is closest to the sun (early January) and the solar 
constant is
higher:  about 1414 W/m^2.  This raises the temperature in the above example to 
285.6 K,
or 54.4 F. Still not warm, but warmer. Lowering the emissivity will help, too. 
Let the albedo
increase to 20%, and set the emissivity to 0.8. With the perihelion solar 
constant, the
equilibrium temperature is now up to 291.1 K (64.3 F). Lowering the emissivity 
further
is probably not realistic for most earth-crossing asteroids, so we're at the 
limit of what
we can achieve via S0 and emissivity.

However, there *is* a way to get a big increase in the equilibrium temperature 
which
I'll cover in the next installment.  --Rob
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