A recent paper in Science looked at this issue. The analysis suggested that hurricane frequency does not appear to be strongly coupled to sea surface temperature, or to other components of global warming. Hurricane frequency appears to follow its own multi-decadal cycle and has been doing so for a long time. However, hurricane intensity is strongly coupled to high sea surface temperature, which is one of the primary results of global warming. The conclusion was that we can expect much more damaging hurricanes over the next century or more (depending on long term warming trends), even though the frequency will probably start to drop again in the next 10-15 years. Overall, not very encouraging for those living in hurricane prone areas.

Chris

*****************************************
Chris L Peterson
Cloudbait Observatory
http://www.cloudbait.com


----- Original Message ----- From: "Manoj Pai" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com>
Sent: Friday, September 02, 2005 1:40 AM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] OT: New Orleans blamestorming


The August 2005 issue of National Geographic Magazine
featured an article on Hurricane Warnings. The article
pointed out that the increase of hurricane freqency
and resultant damages were due to the rapid rise in
ocean temperature.

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