why does one have to be "active" to be a serious collector I have a couple
of very narrow collecting fields outside of posters where if I am lucky
enough to obtain one item a year I am VERY happy
jim

------------------------------------
Unshredded Nostalgia
Jim Episale
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
323 south main st
Route 9
Barnegat nj 08005
tel: 800 872 9990
www.unshreddednostalgia.com
------------------------------------


-----Original Message-----
From: MoPo List [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Greg
Douglass
Sent: Friday, December 16, 2005 4:36 PM
To: MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU
Subject: Re: [MOPO] How many poster collectors are there?


JR wrote:

> Andy,
>
> They don't have vast amounts of disposable income per person, not
> compared to America and Europe. And that's the key to collecting
> stuff, lots of disposable income that you don't have to use to live
> on. I'm not saying there are no collectors in the 3rd world, but the
> number must be very small compared to America and  Europe (and places
> like Australia and Japan).
>
> The actual sales we see taking place on eBay (sales, not listings that
> don't sell), the various auctions and best-guesses for private
> sellers, based on what they say in public, indicates to me that not
> much more than 100,000 movie posters are sold on average per year.
> Subtract at least 20,000 from that number for the occasional buyer who
> usually purchases a poster for a new film (but likely doesn't keep it
> more than a year or two before moving on to something else) and that
> leaves 80,000 going into the hands of "collectors" (based on the 4 or
> more per year definition). That would mean 20,000 "collectors" --
> except that a lot of collectors buy a *whole lot* more than 4 per
> year. So, I have to conclude that the best guess would be a maximum of
> 10,000 active collectors at any given time.
>
> If there were anything close to 100,000 active collectors out there,
> we would see a whole lot more posters being sold.
>
> -- JR
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> *From:* Andy Neal <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> *To:* MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU <mailto:MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU>
> *Sent:* Friday, December 16, 2005 4:33
> *Subject:* Re: [MOPO] How many poster collectors are there?
>
> JR
>
> China, India and Europe are not 3rd world countries, they have Vasts
> amounts
> of wealth!!!!!
>
> World  6,446,131,400
>
> China  1,306,313,812
> India  1,080,264,388
> European Union  456,953,258
> United States  295,734,134
>
> So what you are saying doesn't really make sense and therefore I have
> every
> reason to have an opinion based on world population.
>
> As i said this is my opinion
>
> Thanks
> Andy
>
>
>
>
> ----Original Message Follows----
> From: JR <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>>
> Reply-To: JR <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>>
> To: MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU <mailto:MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU>
> Subject: Re: [MOPO] How many poster collectors are there?
> Date: Thu, 15 Dec 2005 18:18:49 -0500
>
> No way. The nearly 7 billion people live mostly in the impoverished 3rd
> world -- they don't money to live on, much less spend on movie
> posters. You
> can't use the world population as a guide. The only practical approach
> is to
> go with the evaluations of long-time dealers -- they are the ones with the
> best feel for the market. I'd guess somewhere between Bruce's 5,000 and an
> upper estimate of 10,000 collectors are active at any given time (meaning
> those who buy at least 4 posters a year). Of course, people drift in
> and out
> of collecting. I've drifted in and out 4 times in the past 40 years,
> sometimes staying away for as long as 10 years. But I think if there were
> more than 10,000 currently active buyers that we'd see a lot more
> sales. At
> 4 per year, that's a minimum 40,000 posters sold just to "collectors" --
> with the number probably closed to 60,000 - 80,000 a year (since 4 per
> year
> would be a minimum and many collectors do much more than that). Then there
> are at least another 20,000 "contemporary" posters sold to casual
> buyers who
> just want to have a poster or two from their current favorite films to
> display. So, that's 60,000 to 100,000 posters sold a year -- about what I
> seem to see changing hands on eBay and other auctions, plus factoring in
> some private selling. Of course, we have no real way of gauging how much
> private selling is going on.
>
> -- JR
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Andy Neal
> To: MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU <mailto:MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU>
> Sent: Thursday, December 15, 2005 4:49
> Subject: Re: [MOPO] How many poster collectors are there?
>
>
> I think David is the warmest to the figures mentioned so far....
>
> The World population is approx 6.4 Billion
>
> I would estimate at least 50,000+ serious and casual collectors.
>
> If I had to put a bet on it, I would say more like 100,000. You only
> have to
> look on ebay to see how many dealers and the number they are trading in -
> Their feedback scores are a giveaway.
>
> I am certain there are many many collectors (serious and casual) that need
> to come out of their shell, many won't like using mailing lists or forums,
> or just may not know about them.
>
> I'm not claiming to know something that everyone else doesn't here,
> this is
> just my humble opinion and this is purely food for thought.
>
> I would be interested in seeing ebays stats on individual original movie
> poster purchases.
>
> This is an interesting link on the CIA website regarding world
> populations....
>
> http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/rankorder/2119rank.html
>
>
> Thanks
> Andy
>
>
>
>
> ----Original Message Follows----
> From: David Lieberman <[EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>>
> Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> To: MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU <mailto:MoPo-L@LISTSERV.AMERICAN.EDU>
> Subject: Re: [MOPO] How many poster collectors are there?
> Date: Wed, 14 Dec 2005 18:41:23 EST
>
>
>
> I'd say 10,000 at least. Probably more like 20,000, or even much  more.
>
> Might as well ask how many licks it takes to get to the center of a
> tootsie
> roll tootsie pop.
>
> The world will never know.
>
> David  Lieberman
> CineMasterpieces.com
> 602 309 0500
>
>
>
>
>
>
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