David Brauer:

Fundamentally, though, the Historic Theater Group deal seems more certain to
get the theater debt & capital costs off our backs, which is why (for
purposes of Devil's advocacy), I favor that bid in this debate.

Me:

I agree that this is the meatier but less sexy issue, and the more
complicated.  I'm still working out the math and still have questions,
primarily with the HTG deal:

1.  How does the conversion of the nontaxable bond debt to taxable bond debt
help the City's borrowing capacity, as the City ultimately remains on the
hook, though with a guarantee from Clear Channel? Is the CCE guarantee that
powerful?

2.  Does anyone have accurate debt service figures for the City once the
bonds are converted?

3.  Are the $1.6 million estimated lease payments to the City for 30 years
considered the ultimate 'purchase' price of the three theaters, as the HTG
deal seems to imply that its nonprofit partner, Hennepin Theater Trust, will
'assume' ownership of the theaters at the end of the day.  Is this $48
million (not adjusted for inflation over 30 years) a fair price for these
three historic buildings?  Remarkably, I understand that the City has no
appraisals for the buildings but is going forward with this as an ultimate
sale.

4.   HTG/HTT/Clear Channel don't provide a presumed average ticket price,
while the Ordway/Alliance assumes an average of $30.75 for its four venues.
Any clue what HTG must charge for tickets to make this deal work?

I'm not betting I'll get clear answers, but I will bet these issues have
been discussed, perhaps ad nauseum. Would love to know, if anyone does have
a guess. 

Gregory Luce
St. Paul 




David Brauer
Kingfield

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