The week s biggest mismatch put the A s against the Astros in Houston. The
visitors had the American League s worst run differential, while the home
club had the league s best. The entire A s roster has three career All Star
appearances; the Astros are poised to have three starters in this year s
game alone. The A s have already begun shedding salary, while the Astros
will be in the mix for this trade deadline s biggest names including A s ace
Sonny Gray.

To this imbalance, perhaps we must add one more advantage The Astros path to
this remarkable season is, according to A s architect Billy Beane, off
limits in Oakland.

Every team is born with its own disadvantages, large or small. The Colorado
Rockies play at an altitude that seems to wreck, either physically or
psychologically, young pitchers. The Baltimore Orioles play in a division
that  Jake Smolinski Jersey
<http://www.athleticsfanaticsjersey.com/jake-smolinski-jersey-c-24.html>  ,
for a decade and a half, couldn t be won with fewer than 95 victories. The
San Francisco Giants have to pay players more to offset higher state income
taxes. The Toronto Blue Jays have to convince players to move to a different
country. The Seattle Mariners have to travel farthest. The Chicago White Sox
have to share a market with a more popular team, while the Tampa Bay Rays
don t even get a market. And so on. Every team has a bummer.

Ranking the rebuilders In search of the next Astros
Houston went from zero to hero by shipping away veterans and stockpiling
young talent. Who is best following the blueprint? Hint Tampa Bay has a
strong case ... but so do a few others.

Trust us, you ve NEVER seen this before
One day, 12 MLB games. We watched them all to see if the old baseball
bromide is true that every time you go to the park, something happens that
hasn t ever happened.

Shohei Otani and why being Babe Ruth isn t all it s cracked up to be
The Japanese sensation has teams dreaming of an elite pitcher and an All
Star slugger wrapped into one. But there s a catch Two way stars might hurt
more than they help.
One of the bummers for the A s might be that we can t be like the Cubs and
Astros, as Beane said before the 2016 season. The Astros, of course,
famously and intentionally got very, very bad before getting very, very
good. They had the worst three year run, and the worst four year run, since
the expansion Mets, and boasted all along that this was by design. The Cubs
took a similar, slightly more elevated road to their World Series title,
fielding an unnecessarily bad roster for three years while collecting future
stars and future flexibility. The Braves also did the Full Rebuild which we
can define as a commitment to being very bad for two or more years and
making every decision based entirely on future value rather than present and
are coming out of it with the best farm system in baseball; the Padres are
still in the depths of the Full Rebuild. It s a good plan; crass but
inevitable. The freedom to win three years from now while 27 other teams are
dying to win today is an almost foolproof advantage.

While the A s keep a low payroll and are quick to trade their stars for
young talent, they rarely punt on a season before it starts or build a team
to win 60 games. The result is an in between roster, capable of 70ish wins
but not 90 , containing some young talent but nothing like an elite core. In
this new era when tanking to win is praised as savvy and obvious and even
socially acceptable, there s apparently a gap 
http://www.athleticsfanaticsjersey.com/marcus-semien-jersey-c-19.html
<http://www.athleticsfanaticsjersey.com/marcus-semien-jersey-c-19.html>  
between the teams that get to do it and the teams that don t.

So who can t? If we believe various executives quotes over the years, not
just the A s.

The New York Yankees can t. Team president Randy Levine What has to be
noticed here, unlike very few teams, what we ve done, is we can t rebuild
here. Most teams, they have two, three, four years to rebuild. We don t do
that. 

The Milwaukee Brewers can t. Former GM Doug Melvin We try to avoid the total
rebuild. That s just our philosophical decision because we can t afford to
be so bad. 

The Cincinnati Reds can t. Recently retired GM Walt Jocketty They were
losing for a long time and a lot of markets can t do that. We can t do that
in our market. 

The Philadelphia Phillies can t. Former GM Ed Wade It was that old adage,
You can t rebuild in a place like Philadelphia. True or not, we never got to
a point where we were abandoning a season to try to make it work at the
development level. It was truly a parallel path kind of thing. Let s not
lose sight of the fact we have to win at the big league level. We ve got a
fan base that demands it. 

The New York Mets can t. Former GM Omar Minaya It s not a market where you
can go young. You have to bring in players. 

The Giants can t. Then GM Brian Sabean We can t go through a tear down and
rebuild program. ... If we don t win we won t draw. 

The White Sox can t. Owner Jerry Reinsdorf My original plan was to unload
all the high salaried guys and trade for young players, rebuild the ball
club. To get the payroll down. If we drew a million fans 
http://www.athleticsfanaticsjersey.com/danny-valencia-jersey-c-20.html
<http://www.athleticsfanaticsjersey.com/danny-valencia-jersey-c-20.html>  ,
my accountant had it figured out we d make a 5 million profit. It would have
been the smart thing to do. Then I got nervous. What if I destroyed the
franchise? 

The Boston Red Sox can t. Former GM Ben Cherington We re in a unique
baseball market. We have an obligation to give the fans our best shot every
year. That s the way the business model is set up, and the baseball model is
a reflection of that. 

And the A s can t, as laid out by Beane. Our market won t allow us to punt
for five years 
http://www.athleticsfanaticsjersey.com/max-muncy-jersey-c-18.html
<http://www.athleticsfanaticsjersey.com/max-muncy-jersey-c-18.html>  , he
said. The A s are the second team in a two team market, with an inferior fan
experience and a rickety base of season ticket holders. Even hoarding good
young stars, he says, isn t viable in Oakland because he can t hold on to
those players as long as the Cubs and Astros can. Just collecting young
players is not something in our market place we can do, he said in 2014.

That s nine teams out of 30, and those are just the ones whose GMs let
themselves be quoted. Taken together, we ve got virtually every kind of team
and every kind of market represented in the can t tank category 

The Yankees and the Red Sox can t they re too rich, and expectations are too
high; so, then, probably neither can the Dodgers and Angels.

The Mets and Phillies can t they re slightly less rich teams with still big
budgets and still big metro areas; so, then, probably neither can the Tigers
or the Nationals.

The Reds and A s can t they re in markets with the slimmest possible
margins; so, then, probably neither can the Rays, the Indians, the Pirates,
the Padres or the Royals.

The White Sox can t they re the secondary team in a two team market, which
presumably rules out the Orioles, too.

The Giants can t they re the primary team in a two team market, so I guess
neither can the Cubs.

The Brewers can t they re a midmarket team that seems to outperform in
attendance and/or TV ratings its raw market size, so that probably rules out
the Mariners, the Braves and the Cardinals.

By the GMs implications, we ve ruled out 23 of the 30 teams, and it wouldn t
surprise me if the Blue Jays and Rangers can t because baseball is a
secondary sport in their cities , and the Rockies and Diamondbacks can t
because they don t have many decades of history in their cities . Which
leaves the Twins, the Marlins and the Astros as exceptions. Arguably.

Of course, many of the teams we ve ruled out as total tear down candidates
have done total tear downs. Some of them are doing so right now! Either we
ve overfit these reasons for not tearing down, or you can t rebuild in is
just a myth GMs hold on to until they realize it s the obvious, if
uncomfortable, way forward.

The Phillies clearly believe the latter. They cut payroll from 177 million
in 2014 to 88 million last year, and the scattered signings they made last
offseason were designed not to make the 2017 playoffs but to set up trades
for young talent this summer.


 The teams that have gone through successful rebuilds have gone through
periods much like we re going through right now, GM Matt Klentak told the
New York Times this month. The Chicago Cubs were among the worst teams for a
handful of years. In all of those stretches, there were stretches very
similar to what we ve gone through in the last six weeks. ... This is one of
the challenges of rebuilding. We owe it to our franchise, to our fans, to
our ownership to make sure that we don t deviate from what we know is the
right thing for the future of the club. 

Maybe the A s are right about their market. And even if they re wrong, I m
not sad as a baseball fan to see them eschew the Full Rebuild. It s no fun
to watch a proud franchise intentionally gut itself for years on end, gaming
the system while offering fans no short term hope. But one need only look on
the field in Houston this week to see which way the sport is going. I m glad
the A s don t think they can be like the Cubs and Astros, but I m not an A s
fan.



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